High-probability tips today
Press Generate to pick selections our statistics rate at 80% or more, with the total odds and the chance that the whole ticket wins. There are no safe bets: these are the most likely ones by the numbers.
When the margin-free odds gave 80–90%, 87% of 585 matches won (last 69 days).
At 90% and above, 96% of 93 matches won.
The first tally of the log comes after the first Daily list matches (from 8 Nov).
Day
Minimum chance per pick
Order
Bet type
Number of picks
The 85% and 90% thresholds, bet-type filter, up to 5 picks and sending to your ticket are for members. The first 7 days are free. Try it free
Out of 10 tickets like this, on average 6 win and 4 lose. Statistics, not a guarantee. 18+
Daily list · Sun 8 Nov
Recorded at 09:00 (CET) and never changed: one pick per match, the highest odds with an 80%+ chance.
- 22:30Barcelona SC – LDU QuitoEcuador · Ecuadorian Serie A0-4At most 4 goals1.0887%Starts 22:30
- 22:30Real Apodaca FC – Dragones DE OaxacaMexico · Liga MXX2Draw or away win1.0883%Starts 22:30
- 23:00Deportivo Lara – Zamora FC BVenezuela · Segunda División1XHome win or draw1.0883%Starts 23:00
- 23:00Saprissa – PuntarenasCosta Rica · Costa Rican Primera División1XHome win or draw1.0982%Starts 23:00
- 23:15Ceara – AmericaBrazil · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B0-4At most 4 goals1.0986%Starts 23:15
- 23:15Goias EC GO – Ponte PretaBrazil · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B2+At least 2 goals1.1283%Starts 23:15
- 23:30Sportivo Trin. – Sportivo AM.Paraguay · Paraguayan Primera División0-4At most 4 goals1.1284%Starts 23:30
80%+ log
Every pick from the Daily list, settled after the match the same way as our tickets. Postponed matches (void) don't count.
No settled picks yet.
No settled picks yet.
No settled picks yet.
What an 80% chance means
Out of 10 picks with an 80% chance, on average 8 win and 2 lose. That's why the odds are low, mostly 1.05 to 1.25. Odds of 1.20 mean about 83%, and about 79% once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
Why the ticket chance is lower
Every pick has to win for the ticket to win, so the chances multiply. Two picks at 85% together have 72%, three have 61%, five have 44%. That's why the generator shows the ticket chance, not just the odds.
How we calculate the chance
For each pick we combine a statistical team model with the margin-free bookmaker odds. The blend is learned from thousands of settled matches over the previous 90 days. A pick's chance is never higher than what the margin-free odds alone say, so the estimate is more cautious than the bookmaker, not more optimistic.
Higher odds or highest chance
Higher odds picks the selections with the biggest odds that still have an 80%+ chance. Highest chance picks the safest selections, at lower odds. The Value tag means our model is at least 2 percentage points above the margin-free odds.
The 80%+ log
Every day at 09:00 (CET) we record the Daily list: up to 12 picks with an 80%+ chance and the highest odds, one per match. The list never changes and every result is filled in automatically after the match. Anyone can check whether 80% picks really win about 80% of the time.
How the estimates performed is published daily on the AI model performance page.
FAQ
Are there safe bets?
No. Any pick can lose, even one at 90%. These are the picks our statistics rate as most likely, with the chance shown honestly.
How many picks should a ticket have?
As few as possible. Every pick lowers the ticket chance: three picks at 80% give the whole ticket about 51%.
Why do some matches disappear from the generator?
The generator only offers matches that haven't started. The Daily list stays complete all day, with results.
Is it free?
The generator at 80% with up to 3 picks, the Daily list and the log are free for everyone. Members get the 85% and 90% thresholds, the bet-type filter, up to 5 picks and sending picks to their ticket on the site.