Winning tips of the day · Sunday
Winning tips 11 October 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time143 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 26.001Modena FC – Verona· Italy (2nd division) · Serie B2-1model 15%Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 1:2FT 3:2
- 18.002Celoricense – AC Vila Meã· Portugal (3rd division) · Liga 3X-Xmodel 13%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 15.623Shangyu Pterosaur – Nantong Haimen· China (3rd division)2-Xmodel 16%Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 4HT 0:2FT 2:215.00Persib Bandung – Dewa United2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · Indonesia · Liga 1
- 5HT 1:0FT 1:115.00Atlético GO – Sport Recife1-X · Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · Brazil (Série B) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B
1X2
match result404 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 7.50#1CD Algar – SJ Mar Menor· Spain (5th division) · Tercera Federación2model 46%Away winHT 0:2FT 0:3
- 5.25#2Surin City – Khonkaen FC· Thailand (3rd division)2model 44%Away winHT 0:2FT 1:4
- 4.75#3Deportivo Lara – Zamora FC B· Venezuela (2nd division)1model 56%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 4.75#4CS Herediano – San Carlos· Costa Rica · Liga FPD2model 52%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 4.75#5Aragua – Mineros Guyana· Venezuela (2nd division)1model 43%Home winHT 2:0FT 3:0
Over/Under 2.5 goals
433 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.50#1SFC Minerva – Águilas II· Spain (5th division) · Tercera FederaciónU 2.5model 60%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 3.45#2Greifswalder – Erzgebirge Aue· GermanyU 2.5model 57%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.75#3IK Sleipner – Fittja IF· Sweden · Division 2U 2.5model 57%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.62#4La Tribu de Cd. Juárez – FC Santiago· Mexico (3rd division)U 2.5model 75%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
- 2.55#5St Pauli – Karlsruher SC· Germany (2. Bundesliga) · 2. BundesligaU 2.5model 54%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
BTTS
both teams to score421 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.97#1Panachaiki FC – Pallixouriakos· Greece (3rd division)GGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 2:0FT 3:1
- 2.75#2Ängby – Viggbyholms IK· Sweden · Division 2NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 2.64#3Hallescher FC – RSV Eintracht· GermanyNGmodel 53%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.64#4La Tribu de Cd. Juárez – FC Santiago· Mexico (3rd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
- 2.56#5Medeama SC – Heart of Lions· Ghana · Ghana Premier LeagueGGmodel 57%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 3:1
ELO
result by rating59 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.19#1KV Mechelen – Sint-Truiden· Belgium · Belgian Pro League1model 39%Home winHT 3:1FT 4:3
- 3.08#2Coquimbo Unido – Colo Colo· Chile · Chilean Primera División1model 49%Home winHT 3:1FT 5:2
- 2.80#3Cadiz – Sporting Gijón· Spain · Segunda División2model 44%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.80#4Atlanta United – FC Cincinnati· USA · MLS2model 42%Away winHT 0:0FT 1:3
- 2.80#5Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest· England · Premier League1model 37%Home winHT 2:1FT 3:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+57 wins
3.30- Rio Ave – Nacional Madeira3:23.05
- CE Europa – Algeciras CF2:12.97
- Mahasarakham Sambaitao FC – Uttaradit FC2:32.76
- Besa Kavaje – Iliria Fushe Kruje2:02.76
1H BTTS17 wins
4.90- CE Europa – Algeciras CF2:14.75
- Hartberg – Austria Lustenau4:34.00
- IK Start – HamKam2:43.74
- Lorenskog IF – SK Trygg/Lade3:33.20
2H BTTS3 wins
3.70- Sassuolo – Milan1:13.10
- Ingolstadt – SV Wehen2:42.90
1 & BTTS36 wins
5.20- UD Almeria B – Atlético Malagueño2:14.70
- Atlético CP – Caldas SC4:14.30
- Palmeiras – Corinthians4:14.20
- Campodarsego – Bolzano4:14.20
2 & BTTS14 wins
6.50- Girona B – RCD Espanyol B1:25.20
- IFK Varnamo – Falkenbergs FF1:25.20
- Alemannia Aachen – Viktoria Köln2:54.90
- Sogdiana Jizzakh – Lokomotiv Tashkent2:34.50
1X & BTTS99 wins
4.40- Slaven Belupo – Rijeka4:13.65
- Graficar Belgrade – Javor Ivanjica1:13.30
- Sassuolo – Milan1:13.00
- Hull City – Everton2:22.90
X2 & BTTS69 wins
5.80- Reggina Calcio – Vibonese Calcio1:13.75
- Deportivo Alavés B – Gernika Club1:13.25
- Vikingur Reykjavik – IA Akranes2:23.25
- Aurora FC – Nacional Potosí2:23.10
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
- 10 OctSaturday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.