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Winning tips of the day · Sunday

Winning tips 11 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

26.00biggest winning odds58winning tips here42wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time143 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 26.001
    Modena FC – Verona
    · Italy (2nd division) · Serie B
    2-1model 15%
    Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 1:2FT 3:2
  2. 18.002
    Celoricense – AC Vila Meã
    · Portugal (3rd division) · Liga 3
    X-Xmodel 13%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 15.623
    Shangyu Pterosaur – Nantong Haimen
    · China (3rd division)
    2-Xmodel 16%
    Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:1FT 1:1
  1. 4
    Persib Bandung – Dewa United
    2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · Indonesia · Liga 1
    HT 0:2FT 2:215.00
  2. 5
    Atlético GO – Sport Recife
    1-X · Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · Brazil (Série B) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B
    HT 1:0FT 1:115.00

1X2

match result404 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 7.50#1
    CD Algar – SJ Mar Menor
    · Spain (5th division) · Tercera Federación
    2model 46%
    Away winHT 0:2FT 0:3
  2. 5.25#2
    Surin City – Khonkaen FC
    · Thailand (3rd division)
    2model 44%
    Away winHT 0:2FT 1:4
  3. 4.75#3
    Deportivo Lara – Zamora FC B
    · Venezuela (2nd division)
    1model 56%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
  4. 4.75#4
    CS Herediano – San Carlos
    · Costa Rica · Liga FPD
    2model 52%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
  5. 4.75#5
    Aragua – Mineros Guyana
    · Venezuela (2nd division)
    1model 43%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 3:0

Over/Under 2.5 goals

433 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.50#1
    SFC Minerva – Águilas II
    · Spain (5th division) · Tercera Federación
    U 2.5model 60%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 3.45#2
    Greifswalder – Erzgebirge Aue
    · Germany
    U 2.5model 57%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
  3. 2.75#3
    IK Sleipner – Fittja IF
    · Sweden · Division 2
    U 2.5model 57%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.62#4
    La Tribu de Cd. Juárez – FC Santiago
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    U 2.5model 75%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
  5. 2.55#5
    St Pauli – Karlsruher SC
    · Germany (2. Bundesliga) · 2. Bundesliga
    U 2.5model 54%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0

BTTS

both teams to score421 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.97#1
    Panachaiki FC – Pallixouriakos
    · Greece (3rd division)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 2:0FT 3:1
  2. 2.75#2
    Ängby – Viggbyholms IK
    · Sweden · Division 2
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2
  3. 2.64#3
    Hallescher FC – RSV Eintracht
    · Germany
    NGmodel 53%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
  4. 2.64#4
    La Tribu de Cd. Juárez – FC Santiago
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
  5. 2.56#5
    Medeama SC – Heart of Lions
    · Ghana · Ghana Premier League
    GGmodel 57%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 3:1

ELO

result by rating59 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.19#1
    KV Mechelen – Sint-Truiden
    · Belgium · Belgian Pro League
    1model 39%
    Home winHT 3:1FT 4:3
  2. 3.08#2
    Coquimbo Unido – Colo Colo
    · Chile · Chilean Primera División
    1model 49%
    Home winHT 3:1FT 5:2
  3. 2.80#3
    Cadiz – Sporting Gijón
    · Spain · Segunda División
    2model 44%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  4. 2.80#4
    Atlanta United – FC Cincinnati
    · USA · MLS
    2model 42%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 1:3
  5. 2.80#5
    Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest
    · England · Premier League
    1model 37%
    Home winHT 2:1FT 3:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+57 wins

3.30
Septemvri Sofia – Dunav Ruse
· Bulgaria · Bulgarian First League
HT 2:0FT 2:3
  1. Rio Ave – Nacional Madeira3:23.05
  2. CE Europa – Algeciras CF2:12.97
  3. Mahasarakham Sambaitao FC – Uttaradit FC2:32.76
  4. Besa Kavaje – Iliria Fushe Kruje2:02.76

1H BTTS17 wins

4.90
Besiktas – Kocaelispor
· Turkey · Süper Lig
HT 2:1FT 2:1
  1. CE Europa – Algeciras CF2:14.75
  2. Hartberg – Austria Lustenau4:34.00
  3. IK Start – HamKam2:43.74
  4. Lorenskog IF – SK Trygg/Lade3:33.20

2H BTTS3 wins

3.70
Rio Ave – Nacional Madeira
· Portugal · Primeira Liga
HT 1:1FT 3:2
  1. Sassuolo – Milan1:13.10
  2. Ingolstadt – SV Wehen2:42.90

1 & BTTS36 wins

5.20
Zalaegerszegi TE – Nyiregyhaza
· Hungary · NB I
HT 0:1FT 5:1
  1. UD Almeria B – Atlético Malagueño2:14.70
  2. Atlético CP – Caldas SC4:14.30
  3. Palmeiras – Corinthians4:14.20
  4. Campodarsego – Bolzano4:14.20

2 & BTTS14 wins

6.50
Mahasarakham Sambaitao FC – Uttaradit FC
· Thailand
HT 0:3FT 2:3
  1. Girona B – RCD Espanyol B1:25.20
  2. IFK Varnamo – Falkenbergs FF1:25.20
  3. Alemannia Aachen – Viktoria Köln2:54.90
  4. Sogdiana Jizzakh – Lokomotiv Tashkent2:34.50

1X & BTTS99 wins

4.40
Ragusa – Nissa
· Italy (4th division)
HT 1:1FT 1:1
  1. Slaven Belupo – Rijeka4:13.65
  2. Graficar Belgrade – Javor Ivanjica1:13.30
  3. Sassuolo – Milan1:13.00
  4. Hull City – Everton2:22.90

X2 & BTTS69 wins

5.80
SK Zápy – FK Caslav
· Czechia (3rd division)
HT 0:1FT 2:3
  1. Reggina Calcio – Vibonese Calcio1:13.75
  2. Deportivo Alavés B – Gernika Club1:13.25
  3. Vikingur Reykjavik – IA Akranes2:23.25
  4. Aurora FC – Nacional Potosí2:23.10

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks