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Winning tips of the day · Monday

Winning tips 12 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

15.00biggest winning odds55winning tips here27wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time33 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 15.001
    Sport Huancayo II – Deportivo Llacuaba
    · Peru (2nd division)
    X-Xmodel 13%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
  2. 9.002
    Zlate Moravce – FK Pohronie
    · Slovakia · Slovak 2. Liga
    X-2model 22%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:3
  3. 9.003
    Atlético San Luis – Santos Laguna
    · Mexico · Liga MX
    X-2model 21%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
  1. 4
    Brown de Adrogué – Sportivo Dock Sud
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Argentina
    HT 0:0FT 1:05.60
  2. 5
    Al Adalah – Al Anwar
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Saudi Arabia (2nd division) · Saudi First Division
    HT 0:0FT 1:15.30

1X2

match result77 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 5.00#1
    Bristol City U23 – Exeter U21
    · England (U23 Cup)
    2model 36%
    Away winHT 2:3FT 3:5
  2. 4.20#2
    Olancho – Atlético Independiente
    · Honduras · Honduran Liga Nacional
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
  3. 4.00#3
    Zlate Moravce – FK Pohronie
    · Slovakia · Slovak 2. Liga
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 1:1FT 1:3
  4. 3.60#4
    Atlético San Luis – Santos Laguna
    · Mexico · Liga MX
    2model 36%
    Away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
  5. 3.50#5
    Pescara – Guidonia Montecelio 1937
    · Italy (3rd division)
    Xmodel 54%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

91 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.00#1
    Pacific – Atlético Ottawa
    · Canada · Canadian Premier League
    U 2.5model 60%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 2.62#2
    Suranaree Black Cat – Yasothon United
    · Thailand (3rd division)
    U 2.5model 73%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
  3. 2.50#3
    JS El Biar – CR Belouizdad
    · Algeria · Algerian Ligue Professionnelle 1
    O 2.5model 53%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:2FT 2:3
  4. 2.35#4
    Bnei Herzliya – Maccabi Yavne
    · Israel
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  5. 2.22#5
    CD Lugo – UD Logrones
    · Spain (3rd division) · Primera Federación
    O 2.5model 68%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:1FT 3:1

BTTS

both teams to score91 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 3.00#1
    Pacific – Atlético Ottawa
    · Canada · Canadian Premier League
    NGmodel 56%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 2.40#2
    Ario Eslamshahr – Be'sat Kermanshah
    · Iran (2nd division)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 2:1
  3. 2.25#3
    Arab Contractors – FC Masr
    · Egypt · Egyptian Premier League
    GGmodel 54%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:1
  4. 2.24#4
    Bashkimi Kumanovo – FC Struga
    · North Macedonia · Macedonian First Football League
    GGmodel 83%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 2:1
  5. 2.22#5
    Dalian Kewei – Langfang Glory City
    · China (3rd division)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 2:2

ELO

result by rating16 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.15#1
    Coventry – Newcastle United
    · England · Premier League
    1model 41%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 4:1
  2. 2.76#2
    KFUM Oslo – Valerenga
    · Norway · Eliteserien
    1model 44%
    Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
  3. 2.35#3
    Torino – Udinese
    · Italy · Serie A
    1model 38%
    Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
  4. 2.26#4
    Gimnasia Mendoza – Newell's Old Boys
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 47%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
  5. 2.25#5
    Lanús – Vélez Sársfield
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 40%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+27 wins

3.08
CD Lugo – UD Logrones
· Spain (3rd division) · Primera Federación
HT 2:1FT 3:1
  1. Torino – Udinese2:13.05
  2. Barletta Calcio – SS Cavese1:12.86
  3. Picerno – Cosenza Calcio1:22.86
  4. Ludogorets – Arda Kardzhali5:02.75

1H BTTS7 wins

5.15
Bashkimi Kumanovo – FC Struga
· North Macedonia · Macedonian First Football League
HT 1:1FT 2:1
  1. Torino – Udinese2:14.80
  2. Hapoel Katamon – Maccabi Haifa1:43.84
  3. Laholms FK – Tvaakers IF1:13.54
  4. GV San José – CD Guabirá4:13.10

2H BTTS2 wins

3.05
Pachuca CF – Club Necaxa
· Mexico · Liga MX
HT 1:2FT 3:3
  1. Coventry City – Newcastle United4:12.85

1 & BTTS6 wins

3.75
Hapoel Kfar Shalem – Hapoel Raanana
· Israel (2nd division)
HT 1:0FT 2:1
  1. Pyramids – Ceramica Cleopatra4:13.50
  2. Cultural Leonesa – Arenas de Guecho4:13.35
  3. Atalanta – Venezia3:12.90
  4. Bournemouth U23 – Plymouth U236:12.80

2 & BTTS3 wins

5.25
JS El Biar – CR Belouizdad
· Algeria · Algerian Ligue Professionnelle 1
HT 1:2FT 2:3
  1. Ponte Preta U20 – Santos U201:22.90
  2. Hapoel Kfar Saba – FC Ashdod2:42.88

1X & BTTS16 wins

3.80
Pakhtakor – Qadisiya Khubar
· AFC Champions League · AFC Champions League
HT 0:1FT 1:1
  1. CD Lugo – UD Logrones3:12.55
  2. Dijon FCO – Metz4:22.40
  3. Pyramids – Ceramica Cleopatra4:12.38
  4. Coritiba – Botafogo1:12.37

X2 & BTTS17 wins

3.10
Bristol City U23 – Exeter U21
· England (U23 Cup)
HT 2:3FT 3:5
  1. Pescara – Guidonia Montecelio 19371:12.90
  2. JS El Biar – CR Belouizdad2:32.65
  3. Barletta Calcio – SS Cavese1:12.65
  4. Laholms FK – Tvaakers IF1:12.60

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks