Winning tips of the day · Thursday
Winning tips 22 October 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time21 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 12.001Teraktor Sazi – Sanat Naft AC· Iran · Persian Gulf Pro LeagueX-1model 25%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 3:0
- 10.002Sporting JAX – Louisville City· USA · USL ChampionshipX-2model 27%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:2
- 7.503Carabobo – Mineros Guyana· Venezuela (cup)X-Xmodel 19%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 4HT 1:2FT 1:35.50Surindra – Phichit United2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · · Thailand (cup)
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:05.50CD FAS – Isidro MetapánX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · El Salvador · Salvadoran Primera División
1X2
match result64 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 4.75#1Getafe – Lugano· UEFA Conference League2model 34%Away winHT 1:3FT 2:5
- 4.50#2Carabobo – Mineros Guyana· Venezuela (cup)Xmodel 41%DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 4.33#3AGF Aarhus – Egnatia Rrogozhine· UEFA Conference LeagueXmodel 40%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 4.20#4Juventus – Rennes· UEFA Europa LeagueXmodel 38%DrawHT 1:2FT 2:2
- 3.60#5Crvena Zvezda – København· UEFA Conference LeagueXmodel 46%DrawHT 2:1FT 2:2
Over/Under 2.5 goals
84 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.60#1Sporting JAX – Louisville City· USA · USL ChampionshipU 2.5model 75%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
- 2.70#2Godoy Cruz Res. – Instituto Res.· Argentina (reserves)U 2.5model 61%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 1:1
- 2.70#3Atlético Tucumán Res. – Gimnasia Mendoza Res· Argentina (reserves)U 2.5model 60%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.70#4Huracán Res. – Boca Juniors Res.· Argentina (reserves)U 2.5model 56%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.70#5Unión Santa Fe Res. – Barracas Central Res.· Argentina (reserves)U 2.5model 53%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
BTTS
both teams to score64 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.80#1Atlético Tucumán Res. – Gimnasia Mendoza Res· Argentina (reserves)NGmodel 63%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.60#2Al Sharara – Al Ahli BenghaziNGmodel 75%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.39#3Kedus Giorgis – Adama KenemaGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 2.37#4San Antonio – 9 de Octubre· Ecuador · Ecuadorian Serie BGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 3:3
- 2.22#5Bihor Oradea – FCM Resita· Romania (2nd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 2:0
ELO
result by rating5 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.70#1Sturm Graz – Olympique Marseille· UEFA Europa League1model 45%Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.20#2Monaco – Freiburg· UEFA Conference League1model 37%Home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 1.65#3FC Cincinnati – DC United· USA · MLS1model 65%Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
- 1.61#4Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos· UEFA Conference League2model 43%Away winHT 0:2FT 1:5
- 1.30#5Ind Santa Fe – Jaguares de Córdoba· Colombia · Categoría Primera A1model 61%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+13 wins
3.05- Mornar – Mladost Donja Gorica4:12.68
- Cumbayá FC – El Nacional Quito2:12.55
- Persik Kediri – PSS Sleman2:12.47
- Al Ahli Dubai – Al Ain2:22.44
1H BTTS2 wins
3.80- Flora Tallinn II – Nõmme United II3:22.43
2H BTTS2 wins
3.75- Besiktas – Crystal Palace2:22.55
1 & BTTS4 wins
3.80- Cumbayá FC – El Nacional Quito2:13.65
- Şimal – Baku Sporting5:23.65
- Persik Kediri – PSS Sleman2:13.60
2 & BTTS2 wins
4.00- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente1:42.65
1X & BTTS10 wins
2.49- Cumbayá FC – El Nacional Quito2:12.37
- MOIK Baku – Karvan Yevlakh3:12.31
- Hibernians Paola – Gzira United2:12.26
- Mornar – Mladost Donja Gorica4:12.18
X2 & BTTS12 wins
3.35- Getafe – Lugano2:53.25
- Viktoria Plzen – Levski Sofia1:23.05
- Sama Al Sarhan – Amman1:22.33
- Birkirkara FC – Floriana FC1:12.31
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
- 10 OctSaturday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.