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Winning tips of the day · Wednesday

Winning tips 21 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

6.80biggest winning odds53winning tips here22wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time36 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 6.501
    Rasi Salai United – Port FC
    · Thailand (cup)
    2-2model 39%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 1:3FT 1:3
  2. 6.202
    FC Juárez – Atlante FC
    · Mexico · Liga MX
    X-2model 15%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  3. 6.003
    Bayern Munich – Arsenal
    · UEFA Champions League
    X-Xmodel 18%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:1FT 2:2
  1. 4
    Millonarios – Once Caldas
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    HT 0:0FT 1:15.80
  2. 5
    Zlate Moravce – KFC Komarno
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Slovakia (cup)
    HT 0:0FT 0:05.50

1X2

match result88 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 6.80#1
    22 de Julio – Liga de Portoviejo
    · Ecuador · Ecuadorian Serie B
    Xmodel 40%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
  2. 4.50#2
    SC Kalsdorf – SV Lafnitz
    · Austria (Styria/Carinthia)
    Xmodel 46%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
  3. 4.33#3
    Norwich U23s – Bristol City U23
    · England (U23 Cup)
    Xmodel 40%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
  4. 3.90#4
    Rasi Salai United – Port FC
    · Thailand (cup)
    2model 62%
    Away winHT 1:3FT 1:3
  5. 3.90#5
    Chumphon United – Songkhla FC
    · Thailand (cup)
    2model 41%
    Away winHT 1:3FT 3:6

Over/Under 2.5 goals

82 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.85#1
    Rodopa Smolyan – Gigant Saedinenie
    · Bulgaria (3rd division)
    U 2.5model 51%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
  2. 2.45#2
    Gasogi United – Gorilla
    · Rwanda · Rwanda Premier League
    U 2.5model 58%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 2.43#3
    Neftohimik Burgas – Sayana Haskovo
    · Bulgaria (3rd division)
    U 2.5model 58%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.24#4
    Reading – Leyton Orient
    · England (League One) · League One
    U 2.5model 68%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
  5. 2.17#5
    Villaverde Norte – Unión Sur Yaiza
    · Spain (5th division) · Tercera Federación
    U 2.5model 80%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1

BTTS

both teams to score83 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.80#1
    Ferro Carril Reserves – Colón Res.
    · Argentina (reserves)
    NGmodel 73%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:1
  2. 2.67#2
    15 de Agosto – Simba
    · Africa (CAF)
    GGmodel 60%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:6
  3. 2.62#3
    Aston Villa U19 – Viking U19
    · UEFA Champions League (U19)
    NGmodel 55%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
  4. 2.30#4
    INAC Kobe Leonessa W – JEF United W
    · Japan (women)
    GGmodel 70%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:2
  5. 2.22#5
    Criciuma U20 – Flamengo RJ U20
    · Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato Carioca
    NGmodel 60%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2

ELO

result by rating9 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 5.89#1
    V-Varen Nagasaki – Sanfrecce
    · Japan · J1 League
    1model 40%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 4:0
  2. 3.35#2
    Levante – Athletic Club
    · Spain · La Liga
    1model 45%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 3:1
  3. 2.30#3
    Kawasaki Frontale – Vissel Kobe
    · Japan · J1 League
    1model 39%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
  4. 2.15#4
    Shimizu S-Pulse – Machida Zelvia
    · Japan · J1 League
    2model 48%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:5
  5. 2.05#5
    Internacional de Bogotá – Fortaleza
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    1model 48%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+17 wins

6.47
AFC Whyteleafe – Burgess Hill
· England (Isthmian League) · Isthmian League
HT 2:2FT 2:3
  1. PK-35 Vantaa – FF Jaro1:13.25
  2. Al Anwar (KSA) – Al Wahda Mecca1:12.51
  3. Kagoshima United – Kochi United SC3:12.48
  4. Heist – KVK Tienen4:02.38

1H BTTS3 wins

3.48
Real Betis U19 – Feyenoord U19
· UEFA Champions League (U19)
HT 1:2FT 1:4
  1. 22 de Julio – Liga de Portoviejo2:23.42
  2. Bayern U19 – Arsenal U193:32.60

2H BTTS4 wins

3.15
Atlético San Luis – Querétaro FC
· Mexico · Liga MX
HT 0:0FT 2:1
  1. Aston Villa – Viking FK3:12.85
  2. Bayern Munich – Arsenal2:22.75
  3. Calcio Como – Manchester United4:12.65

1 & BTTS4 wins

3.55
Kagoshima United – Kochi United SC
· Japan (3rd division) · J3 League
HT 2:0FT 3:1
  1. Persija Jakarta – Arema FC5:12.75
  2. Navbahor – Gazalkent3:12.44
  3. Sogndal – Raufoss IL2:12.43

2 & BTTS2 wins

4.20
AFC Whyteleafe – Burgess Hill
· England (Isthmian League) · Isthmian League
HT 2:2FT 2:3
  1. Rasi Salai United – Port FC1:32.50

1X & BTTS30 wins

2.60
Yokohama Marinos – Tokyo Verdy
· Japan · J1 League
HT 1:0FT 2:2
  1. Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Blaublitz Akita2:12.60
  2. Solbiatese 1911 – Coriano2:12.55
  3. Shonan Bellmare – Iwaki FC1:12.46
  4. Internacional de Bogotá – Fortaleza2:12.43

X2 & BTTS11 wins

3.45
Millonarios – Once Caldas
· Colombia · Categoría Primera A
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. Hamrun Spartans – Balzan FC1:13.00
  2. Estudiantes FC – Caracas1:13.00
  3. Shonan Bellmare – Iwaki FC1:12.75
  4. 15 de Agosto – Simba1:62.75

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks