Winning tips of the day · Wednesday
Winning tips 21 October 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time36 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 6.501Rasi Salai United – Port FC· Thailand (cup)2-2model 39%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 1:3FT 1:3
- 6.202FC Juárez – Atlante FC· Mexico · Liga MXX-2model 15%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 6.003Bayern Munich – Arsenal· UEFA Champions LeagueX-Xmodel 18%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:1FT 2:2
- 4HT 0:0FT 1:15.80Millonarios – Once CaldasX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:05.50Zlate Moravce – KFC KomarnoX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Slovakia (cup)
1X2
match result88 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 6.80#122 de Julio – Liga de Portoviejo· Ecuador · Ecuadorian Serie BXmodel 40%DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
- 4.50#2SC Kalsdorf – SV Lafnitz· Austria (Styria/Carinthia)Xmodel 46%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 4.33#3Norwich U23s – Bristol City U23· England (U23 Cup)Xmodel 40%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 3.90#4Rasi Salai United – Port FC· Thailand (cup)2model 62%Away winHT 1:3FT 1:3
- 3.90#5Chumphon United – Songkhla FC· Thailand (cup)2model 41%Away winHT 1:3FT 3:6
Over/Under 2.5 goals
82 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.85#1Rodopa Smolyan – Gigant Saedinenie· Bulgaria (3rd division)U 2.5model 51%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.45#2Gasogi United – Gorilla· Rwanda · Rwanda Premier LeagueU 2.5model 58%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.43#3Neftohimik Burgas – Sayana Haskovo· Bulgaria (3rd division)U 2.5model 58%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.24#4Reading – Leyton Orient· England (League One) · League OneU 2.5model 68%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.17#5Villaverde Norte – Unión Sur Yaiza· Spain (5th division) · Tercera FederaciónU 2.5model 80%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
BTTS
both teams to score83 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.80#1Ferro Carril Reserves – Colón Res.· Argentina (reserves)NGmodel 73%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 2.67#215 de Agosto – Simba· Africa (CAF)GGmodel 60%Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:6
- 2.62#3Aston Villa U19 – Viking U19· UEFA Champions League (U19)NGmodel 55%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.30#4INAC Kobe Leonessa W – JEF United W· Japan (women)GGmodel 70%Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:2
- 2.22#5Criciuma U20 – Flamengo RJ U20· Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato CariocaNGmodel 60%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
ELO
result by rating9 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 5.89#1V-Varen Nagasaki – Sanfrecce· Japan · J1 League1model 40%Home winHT 2:0FT 4:0
- 3.35#2Levante – Athletic Club· Spain · La Liga1model 45%Home winHT 2:0FT 3:1
- 2.30#3Kawasaki Frontale – Vissel Kobe· Japan · J1 League1model 39%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 2.15#4Shimizu S-Pulse – Machida Zelvia· Japan · J1 League2model 48%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:5
- 2.05#5Internacional de Bogotá – Fortaleza· Colombia · Categoría Primera A1model 48%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+17 wins
6.47- PK-35 Vantaa – FF Jaro1:13.25
- Al Anwar (KSA) – Al Wahda Mecca1:12.51
- Kagoshima United – Kochi United SC3:12.48
- Heist – KVK Tienen4:02.38
1H BTTS3 wins
3.48- 22 de Julio – Liga de Portoviejo2:23.42
- Bayern U19 – Arsenal U193:32.60
2H BTTS4 wins
3.15- Aston Villa – Viking FK3:12.85
- Bayern Munich – Arsenal2:22.75
- Calcio Como – Manchester United4:12.65
1 & BTTS4 wins
3.55- Persija Jakarta – Arema FC5:12.75
- Navbahor – Gazalkent3:12.44
- Sogndal – Raufoss IL2:12.43
2 & BTTS2 wins
4.20- Rasi Salai United – Port FC1:32.50
1X & BTTS30 wins
2.60- Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Blaublitz Akita2:12.60
- Solbiatese 1911 – Coriano2:12.55
- Shonan Bellmare – Iwaki FC1:12.46
- Internacional de Bogotá – Fortaleza2:12.43
X2 & BTTS11 wins
3.45- Hamrun Spartans – Balzan FC1:13.00
- Estudiantes FC – Caracas1:13.00
- Shonan Bellmare – Iwaki FC1:12.75
- 15 de Agosto – Simba1:62.75
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.