Winning tips of the day · Thursday
Winning tips 15 October 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time28 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 8.501Hoffenheim – Besiktas· UEFA Europa LeagueX-2model 18%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 2:3
- 6.502FC Cincinnati – New England Revolution· USA · MLS2-2model 16%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 1:2FT 2:3
- 5.723Manisa BBSK – Erokspor· Turkey · TFF First LeagueX-Xmodel 20%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 4HT 0:0FT 0:05.50Valledupar FC – Bogotá FCX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Colombia · Categoría Primera B
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:25.00Ma'an SC – Ittihad JerashX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Jordan
1X2
match result74 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 6.50#1Vélez Sársfield Res. – Racing Club Res.· Argentina (reserves)1model 40%Home winHT 2:0FT 4:0
- 4.15#2Preston Lions – Wollongong FCXmodel 35%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 4.10#3FC Cincinnati – New England Revolution· USA · MLS2model 38%Away winHT 1:2FT 2:3
- 3.75#4Nijmegen – Levski Sofia· UEFA Europa LeagueXmodel 45%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 3.75#5Hearts – FC Nordsjælland· UEFA Conference LeagueXmodel 37%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
Over/Under 2.5 goals
73 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.47#1Preston Lions – Wollongong FCU 2.5model 78%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.35#2Sint-Truiden – Saburtalo· UEFA Conference LeagueU 2.5model 55%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.30#3Talleres Córdoba Res. – Unión Santa Fe Res.· Argentina (reserves)O 2.5model 58%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 2.30#4Vélez Sársfield Res. – Racing Club Res.· Argentina (reserves)O 2.5model 52%Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 4:0
- 2.25#5Palmeiras U20 – Botafogo U20· Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato CariocaO 2.5model 64%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 4:1
BTTS
both teams to score73 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.37#1FC Dallas – Seattle Sounders· USA · MLSNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.30#2Mansoura SC – Nasr Cairo· Egypt (2nd division)GGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:2
- 2.25#3Olympique Marseille – Olympiacos FC· UEFA Europa LeagueNGmodel 61%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 2.25#4Fluminense – Palmeiras· Copa LibertadoresGGmodel 57%Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:2
- 2.20#5Panathinaikos – Borac· UEFA Conference LeagueGGmodel 57%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 2:1
ELO
result by rating12 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.45#1Chicago Fire – Philadelphia Union· USA · MLS2model 45%Away winHT 1:0FT 1:3
- 2.30#2Lyon – Crystal Palace· UEFA Europa League1model 49%Home winHT 2:0FT 3:2
- 2.05#3Los Angeles Galaxy – Portland Timbers· USA · MLS1model 54%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 1.95#4Ferencvaros – Viktoria Plzen· UEFA Europa League1model 50%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 1.90#5Columbus Crew – Charlotte FC· USA · MLS1model 37%Home winHT 1:1FT 3:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+10 wins
2.63- Energetik Mingachevir – Şimal1:42.50
- CSKA-Sofia – Monaco1:22.40
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia3:12.35
- Palmeiras U20 – Botafogo U204:12.29
2H BTTS1 win
2.901 & BTTS5 wins
4.00- Dinamo Minsk – Slavia Mozyr3:13.60
- Freiburg – FK Jablonec3:22.70
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps2:12.50
- Cumbayá FC – 22 de Julio7:12.10
2 & BTTS2 wins
3.10- Flora Tallinn – Levadia Tallinn1:32.55
1X & BTTS14 wins
2.43- Hearts – FC Nordsjælland1:12.41
- Envigado FC – Real San Andrés1:12.39
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda3:22.33
- Panathinaikos – Borac2:12.31
X2 & BTTS10 wins
3.15- Nijmegen – Levski Sofia1:12.90
- Barranquilla FC – Tigres FC2:22.70
- Zaqatala FK – Sebail FK1:32.50
- Uttaradit FC – Satun1:12.44
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
- 10 OctSaturday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.