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Winning tips of the day · Thursday

Winning tips 15 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

8.50biggest winning odds48winning tips here14wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time28 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 8.501
    Hoffenheim – Besiktas
    · UEFA Europa League
    X-2model 18%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 2:3
  2. 6.502
    FC Cincinnati – New England Revolution
    · USA · MLS
    2-2model 16%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 1:2FT 2:3
  3. 5.723
    Manisa BBSK – Erokspor
    · Turkey · TFF First League
    X-Xmodel 20%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. 4
    Valledupar FC – Bogotá FC
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Colombia · Categoría Primera B
    HT 0:0FT 0:05.50
  2. 5
    Ma'an SC – Ittihad Jerash
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Jordan
    HT 0:0FT 0:25.00

1X2

match result74 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 6.50#1
    Vélez Sársfield Res. – Racing Club Res.
    · Argentina (reserves)
    1model 40%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 4:0
  2. 4.15#2
    Preston Lions – Wollongong FC
    Xmodel 35%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 4.10#3
    FC Cincinnati – New England Revolution
    · USA · MLS
    2model 38%
    Away winHT 1:2FT 2:3
  4. 3.75#4
    Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
    · UEFA Europa League
    Xmodel 45%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
  5. 3.75#5
    Hearts – FC Nordsjælland
    · UEFA Conference League
    Xmodel 37%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

73 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.47#1
    Preston Lions – Wollongong FC
    U 2.5model 78%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  2. 2.35#2
    Sint-Truiden – Saburtalo
    · UEFA Conference League
    U 2.5model 55%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
  3. 2.30#3
    Talleres Córdoba Res. – Unión Santa Fe Res.
    · Argentina (reserves)
    O 2.5model 58%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 3:0
  4. 2.30#4
    Vélez Sársfield Res. – Racing Club Res.
    · Argentina (reserves)
    O 2.5model 52%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 4:0
  5. 2.25#5
    Palmeiras U20 – Botafogo U20
    · Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato Carioca
    O 2.5model 64%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 4:1

BTTS

both teams to score73 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.37#1
    FC Dallas – Seattle Sounders
    · USA · MLS
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
  2. 2.30#2
    Mansoura SC – Nasr Cairo
    · Egypt (2nd division)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:2
  3. 2.25#3
    Olympique Marseille – Olympiacos FC
    · UEFA Europa League
    NGmodel 61%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:1
  4. 2.25#4
    Fluminense – Palmeiras
    · Copa Libertadores
    GGmodel 57%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:2
  5. 2.20#5
    Panathinaikos – Borac
    · UEFA Conference League
    GGmodel 57%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 2:1

ELO

result by rating12 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.45#1
    Chicago Fire – Philadelphia Union
    · USA · MLS
    2model 45%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 1:3
  2. 2.30#2
    Lyon – Crystal Palace
    · UEFA Europa League
    1model 49%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 3:2
  3. 2.05#3
    Los Angeles Galaxy – Portland Timbers
    · USA · MLS
    1model 54%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
  4. 1.95#4
    Ferencvaros – Viktoria Plzen
    · UEFA Europa League
    1model 50%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
  5. 1.90#5
    Columbus Crew – Charlotte FC
    · USA · MLS
    1model 37%
    Home winHT 1:1FT 3:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+10 wins

2.63
Kharaitiyat – Al Bidda SC
· Qatar (2nd division)
HT 2:0FT 5:2
  1. Energetik Mingachevir – Şimal1:42.50
  2. CSKA-Sofia – Monaco1:22.40
  3. Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia3:12.35
  4. Palmeiras U20 – Botafogo U204:12.29

2H BTTS1 win

2.90
Hajduk Split – Ajax
· UEFA Conference League
HT 1:0FT 2:1

1 & BTTS5 wins

4.00
Lyon – Crystal Palace
· UEFA Europa League
HT 2:0FT 3:2
  1. Dinamo Minsk – Slavia Mozyr3:13.60
  2. Freiburg – FK Jablonec3:22.70
  3. Brann – Lincoln Red Imps2:12.50
  4. Cumbayá FC – 22 de Julio7:12.10

2 & BTTS2 wins

3.10
CSKA-Sofia – Monaco
· UEFA Conference League
HT 0:2FT 1:2
  1. Flora Tallinn – Levadia Tallinn1:32.55

1X & BTTS14 wins

2.43
Dinamo Minsk – Slavia Mozyr
· Belarus · Belarusian Premier League
HT 0:0FT 3:1
  1. Hearts – FC Nordsjælland1:12.41
  2. Envigado FC – Real San Andrés1:12.39
  3. Lugano – Crvena Zvezda3:22.33
  4. Panathinaikos – Borac2:12.31

X2 & BTTS10 wins

3.15
Rubin Kazan – FK Orenburg
· Russia
HT 0:2FT 1:4
  1. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia1:12.90
  2. Barranquilla FC – Tigres FC2:22.70
  3. Zaqatala FK – Sebail FK1:32.50
  4. Uttaradit FC – Satun1:12.44

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks