Winning tips of the day · Thursday
Winning tips 5 November 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time18 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 7.001Celta Vigo – Union Saint-Gilloise· UEFA Europa LeagueX-2model 16%Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
- 5.202Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia· UEFA Europa LeagueX-1model 21%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 4.503Diyala FC – Mina'a Basra· Iraq · Iraqi Premier LeagueX-Xmodel 20%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 4HT 1:0FT 1:04.00Angouleme CFC – US Saint-Malo1-1 · Home ahead at half-time, home win · · France (4th division)
- 5HT 0:0FT 3:23.96Mohun Bagan AC – OdishaX-1 · Level at half-time, home win ·
1X2
match result57 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 3.80#1Real Sociedad – Lyon· UEFA Europa LeagueXmodel 39%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 3.39#2M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik – Hapoel Beit Shean· Israel (3rd division)Xmodel 40%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 3.23#3Valenciennes FC – US Orléans· France (National) · Championnat NationalXmodel 43%DrawHT 0:2FT 2:2
- 3.10#4Sunrise – Merreikh Al Sudan· Rwanda · Rwanda Premier LeagueXmodel 42%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 3.00#5Diyala FC – Mina'a Basra· Iraq · Iraqi Premier LeagueXmodel 47%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
Over/Under 2.5 goals
51 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.80#1Atalanta – Kairat Almaty· UEFA Conference LeagueU 2.5model 55%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.35#2Rayyan (R) – Kharaitiyat· Qatar (2nd division)U 2.5model 75%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 2.31#3Real Sociedad – Lyon· UEFA Europa LeagueU 2.5model 53%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.28#4Beitar Nahariya – Tzeirey Tamra· Israel (3rd division)U 2.5model 87%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.22#5Sunderland – Dinamo Zagreb· UEFA Europa LeagueU 2.5model 60%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:2FT 0:2
BTTS
both teams to score49 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.48#1Crvena Zvezda – Inter d'Escaldes· UEFA Conference LeagueGGmodel 55%Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 2.38#2Qatar U23 – Khor SC· Qatar (2nd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:3
- 2.27#3Monaco – FC Nordsjælland· UEFA Conference LeagueNGmodel 60%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.25#4NBE – Bur FouadGGmodel 63%Both teams scoreHT 3:0FT 4:1
- 2.25#5Fanja Club – Mussanah Club· OmanGGmodel 52%Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 2:1
ELO
result by rating5 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.20#1Gimnasia La Plata – Belgrano Córdoba· Argentina · Liga Profesional1model 49%Home winHT 2:1FT 2:1
- 1.62#2Botafogo – Atlético Mineiro· Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A1model 37%Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 1.40#3CA Aldosivi – River Plate· Argentina · Liga Profesional2model 55%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:2
- 1.21#4Palmeiras – Remo PA· Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A1model 80%Home winHT 4:1FT 6:1
- 1.14#5SL Benfica – Lech Poznan· UEFA Europa League1model 48%Home winHT 1:0FT 3:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+7 wins
2.41- Sebail FK – Cəbrayıl2:22.38
- Sao Paulo U20 – Ceará U204:12.34
- Escorpiones Belén – LD Alajuelense1:42.30
- Midtjylland – Ajax1:62.17
1H BTTS3 wins
3.96- Sebail FK – Cəbrayıl2:23.50
- Midtjylland – Ajax1:63.35
2H BTTS2 wins
4.20- Celtic – Besiktas3:22.60
1 & BTTS1 win
2.852 & BTTS2 wins
3.80- Escorpiones Belén – LD Alajuelense1:43.10
1X & BTTS16 wins
2.75- Crvena Zvezda – Inter d'Escaldes2:12.60
- Gimnasia La Plata – Belgrano Córdoba2:12.42
- Riga FC – FK Jablonec1:12.41
- Valenciennes FC – US Orléans2:22.41
X2 & BTTS6 wins
2.65- Génesis – Real España1:12.24
- Midtjylland – Ajax1:62.11
- Sparta Praha – Bournemouth1:32.07
- Escorpiones Belén – LD Alajuelense1:41.99
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
- 10 OctSaturday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.