Winning tips of the day · Saturday
Winning tips 17 October 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time146 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 21.001Motor Lublin – Slask Wroclaw· Poland · Ekstraklasa2-1model 20%Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 0:1FT 3:2
- 15.002EFC Fréjus-St-Raphaël – Perpignan Canet· France (4th division)X-1model 19%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 4:0
- 15.003Pčinja Trgovište – Malošište· Serbia (3rd division)X-2model 14%Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:3
- 4HT 0:1FT 2:214.00Veertien Mie – Azul Claro Numazu2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · Japan (4th division)
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:212.00Hartlepool Utd – MarineX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · England (FA Cup)
1X2
match result491 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 7.20#1Bala Town – Holyhead Hotspur· Wales (3rd division)2model 35%Away winHT 1:1FT 3:4
- 6.50#2Pčinja Trgovište – Malošište· Serbia (3rd division)2model 37%Away winHT 1:1FT 1:3
- 6.25#3Saint-Colomban Locminé – Chauray FC· France (4th division)1model 67%Home winHT 0:1FT 3:1
- 5.50#4FC Limonest – Saint-Priest· France (4th division)Xmodel 47%DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 5.50#5Matrei – SAK Klagenfurt· Austria2model 46%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
Over/Under 2.5 goals
556 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.75#1Arsenal LFC W – Birmingham W· England (women) · Women's Super LeagueU 2.5model 54%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 3.40#2US Avranches – Tarbes Pyrénées· France (4th division)U 2.5model 97%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 3.40#3RC France Colombes – Feignies Aulnoye· France (4th division)U 2.5model 90%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 3.40#4Hauts Lyonnais – Sporting Toulon· France (4th division)U 2.5model 65%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 3.40#5V. Châteaubriant – Stade Briochin· France (4th division)U 2.5model 65%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1
BTTS
both teams to score535 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.80#126 de Febrero – CD FATIC· Bolivia (2nd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.80#2Independiente Cochabamba – Central Union· Bolivia (2nd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 3:0
- 2.75#3ÅIFK Turku – FC Honka Espoo· Finland · YkkönenNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.63#4ASC Jaraaf – AJELGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 2.60#5RC France Colombes – Feignies Aulnoye· France (4th division)NGmodel 67%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
ELO
result by rating57 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.55#1Barnsley – Cambridge Utd· England (League One) · League One2model 39%Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2
- 2.50#2Sigma Olomouc – Slovan Liberec· Czechia · Czech First League1model 37%Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.47#3Elversberg – Augsburg· Germany · Bundesliga1model 45%Home winHT 3:1FT 4:3
- 2.39#4Watford – Charlton Athletic· England (Championship) · Championship1model 37%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.37#5SV Ried – Austria Wien· Austria · Austrian Bundesliga1model 52%Home winHT 2:1FT 3:2
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+110 wins
8.82- Dulwich Hamlet – Carshalton2:25.00
- Carlisle Utd – Tamworth2:13.72
- Independiente Rivadavia – CA Tigre2:23.48
- Boreham Wood – Woking3:23.38
1H BTTS21 wins
4.10- Manchester City – Ipswich Town3:24.00
- SV Ried – Austria Wien3:23.95
- Viking FK – Fredrikstad3:23.65
- AIK Fotboll – IFK Göteborg2:23.56
2H BTTS10 wins
4.60- Crewe Alexandra – Rochdale3:23.35
- Sporting Gijón – Albacete Balompie2:13.30
- Manchester City – Ipswich Town3:23.10
- Maidstone United – Maidenhead Utd2:12.95
1 & BTTS45 wins
4.80- Tobol Kostanay – Zhenis4:24.75
- EIF Ekenas – KäPa Helsinki3:24.40
- SV Ried – Austria Wien3:24.33
- Kelty Hearts – Forfar Athletic2:14.20
2 & BTTS24 wins
11.00- Avellino U19 – Catanzaro U191:24.90
- Pelikan Lowicz – Wigry Suwalki1:44.30
- Real Sociedad B – UD Almería2:44.10
- Bamber Bridge – Workington1:23.80
1X & BTTS120 wins
3.00- Skenderbeu – AF Elbasani2:12.95
- CC Mariners – Newcastle Jets2:22.75
- Independiente Rivadavia – CA Tigre2:22.70
- US Quevilly – US Orléans3:22.65
X2 & BTTS77 wins
5.20- Hong Linh Ha Tinh – Song Lam Nghe An2:23.65
- FK Minija Kretinga – FK Babrungas2:33.55
- Shenzhen Juniors – Dalian Kuncheng1:13.45
- Lokomotive Leipzig – Chemie Leipzig2:23.10
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
- 10 OctSaturday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.