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Winning tips of the day · Saturday

Winning tips 17 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

21.00biggest winning odds60winning tips here45wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time146 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 21.001
    Motor Lublin – Slask Wroclaw
    · Poland · Ekstraklasa
    2-1model 20%
    Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 0:1FT 3:2
  2. 15.002
    EFC Fréjus-St-Raphaël – Perpignan Canet
    · France (4th division)
    X-1model 19%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 4:0
  3. 15.003
    Pčinja Trgovište – Malošište
    · Serbia (3rd division)
    X-2model 14%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:3
  1. 4
    Veertien Mie – Azul Claro Numazu
    2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · Japan (4th division)
    HT 0:1FT 2:214.00
  2. 5
    Hartlepool Utd – Marine
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · England (FA Cup)
    HT 0:0FT 0:212.00

1X2

match result491 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 7.20#1
    Bala Town – Holyhead Hotspur
    · Wales (3rd division)
    2model 35%
    Away winHT 1:1FT 3:4
  2. 6.50#2
    Pčinja Trgovište – Malošište
    · Serbia (3rd division)
    2model 37%
    Away winHT 1:1FT 1:3
  3. 6.25#3
    Saint-Colomban Locminé – Chauray FC
    · France (4th division)
    1model 67%
    Home winHT 0:1FT 3:1
  4. 5.50#4
    FC Limonest – Saint-Priest
    · France (4th division)
    Xmodel 47%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  5. 5.50#5
    Matrei – SAK Klagenfurt
    · Austria
    2model 46%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2

Over/Under 2.5 goals

556 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.75#1
    Arsenal LFC W – Birmingham W
    · England (women) · Women's Super League
    U 2.5model 54%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  2. 3.40#2
    US Avranches – Tarbes Pyrénées
    · France (4th division)
    U 2.5model 97%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0
  3. 3.40#3
    RC France Colombes – Feignies Aulnoye
    · France (4th division)
    U 2.5model 90%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  4. 3.40#4
    Hauts Lyonnais – Sporting Toulon
    · France (4th division)
    U 2.5model 65%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  5. 3.40#5
    V. Châteaubriant – Stade Briochin
    · France (4th division)
    U 2.5model 65%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1

BTTS

both teams to score535 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.80#1
    26 de Febrero – CD FATIC
    · Bolivia (2nd division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
  2. 2.80#2
    Independiente Cochabamba – Central Union
    · Bolivia (2nd division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 3:0
  3. 2.75#3
    ÅIFK Turku – FC Honka Espoo
    · Finland · Ykkönen
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
  4. 2.63#4
    ASC Jaraaf – AJEL
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
  5. 2.60#5
    RC France Colombes – Feignies Aulnoye
    · France (4th division)
    NGmodel 67%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0

ELO

result by rating57 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.55#1
    Barnsley – Cambridge Utd
    · England (League One) · League One
    2model 39%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2
  2. 2.50#2
    Sigma Olomouc – Slovan Liberec
    · Czechia · Czech First League
    1model 37%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
  3. 2.47#3
    Elversberg – Augsburg
    · Germany · Bundesliga
    1model 45%
    Home winHT 3:1FT 4:3
  4. 2.39#4
    Watford – Charlton Athletic
    · England (Championship) · Championship
    1model 37%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
  5. 2.37#5
    SV Ried – Austria Wien
    · Austria · Austrian Bundesliga
    1model 52%
    Home winHT 2:1FT 3:2

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+110 wins

8.82
Leiston FC – Guiseley AFC
· England (FA Cup)
HT 0:3FT 0:3
  1. Dulwich Hamlet – Carshalton2:25.00
  2. Carlisle Utd – Tamworth2:13.72
  3. Independiente Rivadavia – CA Tigre2:23.48
  4. Boreham Wood – Woking3:23.38

1H BTTS21 wins

4.10
Juventus U20 – Santo André U20
· Brazil (U20)
HT 1:1FT 3:1
  1. Manchester City – Ipswich Town3:24.00
  2. SV Ried – Austria Wien3:23.95
  3. Viking FK – Fredrikstad3:23.65
  4. AIK Fotboll – IFK Göteborg2:23.56

2H BTTS10 wins

4.60
Fazendense – Estrela Amadora
· Portugal (cup)
HT 0:0FT 1:2
  1. Crewe Alexandra – Rochdale3:23.35
  2. Sporting Gijón – Albacete Balompie2:13.30
  3. Manchester City – Ipswich Town3:23.10
  4. Maidstone United – Maidenhead Utd2:12.95

1 & BTTS45 wins

4.80
Viktoriya Mykolaivka – Chernihiv
· Ukraine · Ukrainian First League
HT 1:1FT 2:1
  1. Tobol Kostanay – Zhenis4:24.75
  2. EIF Ekenas – KäPa Helsinki3:24.40
  3. SV Ried – Austria Wien3:24.33
  4. Kelty Hearts – Forfar Athletic2:14.20

2 & BTTS24 wins

11.00
FK Minija Kretinga – FK Babrungas
· Lithuania · I Lyga
HT 0:0FT 2:3
  1. Avellino U19 – Catanzaro U191:24.90
  2. Pelikan Lowicz – Wigry Suwalki1:44.30
  3. Real Sociedad B – UD Almería2:44.10
  4. Bamber Bridge – Workington1:23.80

1X & BTTS120 wins

3.00
Zanaco FC – Napsa Stars
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. Skenderbeu – AF Elbasani2:12.95
  2. CC Mariners – Newcastle Jets2:22.75
  3. Independiente Rivadavia – CA Tigre2:22.70
  4. US Quevilly – US Orléans3:22.65

X2 & BTTS77 wins

5.20
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – Defensores Pto. Vilelas
· Argentina
HT 0:2FT 3:3
  1. Hong Linh Ha Tinh – Song Lam Nghe An2:23.65
  2. FK Minija Kretinga – FK Babrungas2:33.55
  3. Shenzhen Juniors – Dalian Kuncheng1:13.45
  4. Lokomotive Leipzig – Chemie Leipzig2:23.10

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks