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Winning tips of the day · Friday

Winning tips 16 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

22.00biggest winning odds55winning tips here25wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time42 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 22.001
    Sport Huancayo – Cusco FC
    · Peru · Peruvian Liga 1
    2-1model 16%
    Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 0:1FT 2:1
  2. 21.002
    ND Ilirija – Tabor Sezana
    · Slovenia · Slovenian Second League
    2-2model 18%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
  3. 13.603
    Madura United FC – Bhayangkara Utd
    · Indonesia · Liga 1
    2-Xmodel 23%
    Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:1FT 3:3
  1. 4
    Fortuna Köln – VfB Stuttgart II
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Germany (3. Liga) · 3. Liga
    HT 0:0FT 0:17.60
  2. 5
    Boca Juniors Res. – Ferro Carril Reserves
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Argentina (reserves)
    HT 0:0FT 1:06.00

1X2

match result134 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 5.00#1
    Viitorul Corbeanca – Progresul Drăgăneşti
    · Romania (3rd division)
    Xmodel 37%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  2. 4.33#2
    Bodø / Glimt W – Lyn W
    · Norway (women)
    2model 59%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 1:4
  3. 4.00#3
    Deportivo Cali W – Club Libertad W
    · UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  4. 4.00#4
    Unirea Bascov – Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
    · Romania (3rd division)
    1model 39%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
  5. 3.40#5
    Strabane Athletic – Loughgall FC
    · Northern Ireland · NIFL Championship
    Xmodel 51%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

138 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.88#1
    Rapperswil – St Gallen
    · Switzerland
    U 2.5model 77%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 2.80#2
    Energie Cottbus – Nürnberg
    · Germany (2. Bundesliga) · 2. Bundesliga
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  3. 2.62#3
    FC Ashdod – Ironi Kiryat Gat
    · Israel (2nd division)
    U 2.5model 75%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  4. 2.62#4
    Kauno Zalgiris-2 – TransINVEST Vilnius II
    · Lithuania · I Lyga
    U 2.5model 55%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
  5. 2.55#5
    Olympique Akbou – ES Ben Aknoun
    · Algeria · Algerian Ligue Professionnelle 1
    O 2.5model 57%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 2:1

BTTS

both teams to score133 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.88#1
    Kauno Zalgiris-2 – TransINVEST Vilnius II
    · Lithuania · I Lyga
    NGmodel 59%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
  2. 2.50#2
    Stade Lausanne Ouchy – Étoile Carouge
    · Switzerland
    NGmodel 60%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 3:0FT 3:0
  3. 2.47#3
    Velden – Donau Klagenfurt
    · Austria (Styria/Carinthia)
    GGmodel 61%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:1
  4. 2.42#4
    St Polten – Rapid Wien II
    · Austria · Austrian 2. Liga
    NGmodel 54%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
  5. 2.32#5
    Hertha BSC II – RSV Eintracht
    · Germany
    NGmodel 67%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1

ELO

result by rating6 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.59#1
    FC Obolon-Brovar – Veres Rivne
    · Ukraine · Ukrainian Premier League
    1model 41%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
  2. 2.50#2
    Frosinone – Sassuolo
    · Italy · Serie A
    1model 50%
    Home winHT 3:2FT 4:2
  3. 2.02#3
    Çorum Belediyesi – Rizespor
    · Turkey · Süper Lig
    1model 51%
    Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
  4. 1.65#4
    Heerenveen – Excelsior
    · Netherlands · Eredivisie
    1model 50%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 4:0
  5. 1.46#5
    Brommapojkarna – Djurgårdens
    · Sweden · Allsvenskan
    2model 53%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+31 wins

3.28
Gomora – Cape Town City
· South Africa (2nd division)
HT 0:2FT 2:3
  1. Livorno – US Grosseto4:42.47
  2. Pribram – Fotbal Trinec2:32.45
  3. Ittifaq Maqaba – Manama Club2:22.43
  4. Al Dhafra – Dubai United5:12.42

1H BTTS5 wins

3.82
SV Lafnitz – FC Gleisdorf 09
· Austria (Styria/Carinthia)
HT 2:2FT 4:2
  1. Wexford Youths – UCD Dublin2:53.34
  2. Favoritner AC – FCM Traiskirchen1:23.34
  3. RW Erfurt – FSV Zwickau2:22.99
  4. Ural U19 – Lokomotiv Moskva U195:72.88

1 & BTTS7 wins

4.00
Sumqayit FK – Araz Nakhchivan
· Azerbaijan · Azerbaijan Premier League
HT 0:1FT 2:1
  1. SV Lafnitz – FC Gleisdorf 094:23.50
  2. Rodina Moscow U19 – Fakel U195:12.55
  3. Alashkert – Syunik5:12.55
  4. Qadisiya Khubar – Abha Club2:12.52

2 & BTTS9 wins

7.00
Gomora – Cape Town City
· South Africa (2nd division)
HT 0:2FT 2:3
  1. Lunds BK – Trelleborgs FF2:44.88
  2. Gulf United – Emirates Club1:73.80
  3. ASK Voitsberg – First Vienna1:23.75
  4. Favoritner AC – FCM Traiskirchen1:23.10

1X & BTTS36 wins

3.80
ATSV Wolfsberg – SK Treibach
· Austria (Styria/Carinthia)
HT 1:1FT 2:1
  1. Rubin Kazan U19 – Spartak Moskva U194:23.05
  2. Velden – Donau Klagenfurt1:12.75
  3. Strabane Athletic – Loughgall FC1:12.75
  4. Olympique Akbou – ES Ben Aknoun2:12.60

X2 & BTTS28 wins

3.85
St Patricks Dublin – Shelbourne FC
· Ireland · League of Ireland Premier Division
HT 1:0FT 1:2
  1. Alcorcón – Huesca1:13.75
  2. Stade Laval – Clermont3:32.95
  3. Gomora – Cape Town City2:32.85
  4. Thitsar Arman – ISPE FC2:32.85

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks