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Winning tips of the day · Monday

Winning tips 14 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

7.00biggest winning odds50winning tips here25wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time27 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 6.501
    Cariari Pococí – AD Carmelita
    · Costa Rica · Costa Rican Segunda División
    X-Xmodel 31%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
  2. 6.002
    Ceramica Cleopatra – NBE
    · Egypt · Egyptian Premier League
    X-1model 24%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
  3. 5.503
    Tartu JK Welco – Nomme Kalju II
    · Estonia (2nd division)
    1-1model 36%
    Home ahead at half-time, home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
  1. 4
    CA Huracán – Racing Club
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    HT 0:0FT 2:15.50
  2. 5
    Atlético Independiente – Juticalpa
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Honduras · Honduran Liga Nacional
    HT 1:1FT 2:15.50

1X2

match result65 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 7.00#1
    Zvezda SPb – Luki-Energiya
    · Russia (4th division)
    2model 45%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
  2. 4.20#2
    Roma U19 – Como U19
    · Italy (Primavera U19) · Primavera 1
    Xmodel 36%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  3. 3.80#3
    Shamal SC – Ittihad Jeddah
    · AFC Champions League · AFC Champions League
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  4. 3.60#4
    Villarreal – Real Betis
    · Spain · La Liga
    2model 48%
    Away winHT 1:2FT 1:2
  5. 3.50#5
    Cariari Pococí – AD Carmelita
    · Costa Rica · Costa Rican Segunda División
    Xmodel 47%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

80 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.88#1
    Defensores de Belgrano – Deportivo Madryn
    · Argentina · Primera Nacional
    O 2.5model 53%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 2:1
  2. 2.75#2
    Al Ahli – Pakhtakor
    · AFC Champions League · AFC Champions League
    U 2.5model 58%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  3. 2.28#3
    Shakhtar Donetsk – Chernomorets Od
    · Ukraine · Ukrainian Premier League
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.27#4
    Deportivo Guastatoya – Club Xelajú MC
    · Guatemala
    O 2.5model 51%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:1
  5. 2.25#5
    Moreirense FC – Marítimo
    · Portugal · Primeira Liga
    O 2.5model 56%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 3:1

BTTS

both teams to score77 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.80#1
    Tartu JK Welco – Nomme Kalju II
    · Estonia (2nd division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
  2. 2.75#2
    San Diego – Philadelphia Union
    · USA · MLS
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:5
  3. 2.62#3
    Haninge – Syrianska FC
    · Sweden · Division 2
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
  4. 2.50#4
    CA Fénix Pilar – Centro Español
    · Argentina
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
  5. 2.37#5
    Defensores de Belgrano – Deportivo Madryn
    · Argentina · Primera Nacional
    GGmodel 52%
    Both teams scoreHT 2:0FT 2:1

ELO

result by rating15 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.55#1
    CA Huracán – Racing Club
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 47%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
  2. 2.40#2
    Leeds – Newcastle United
    · England · Premier League
    1model 47%
    Home winFT 4:1
  3. 2.38#3
    Audax Italiano – O Higgins
    · Chile · Chilean Primera División
    1model 49%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
  4. 1.76#4
    Cúcuta Deportivo – Millonarios
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
  5. 1.75#5
    Midtjylland – Brøndby
    · Denmark · Danish Superliga
    1model 63%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 4:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+12 wins

3.00
Rio Ave – Estrela Amadora
· Portugal · Primeira Liga
HT 1:1FT 3:3
  1. Waterford United – Derry City2:22.55
  2. Torpedo Kutaisi – Samgurali Tsqaltubo3:22.47
  3. Kayserispor – Istanbulspor AS4:02.46
  4. FCSB – Petrolul Ploiesti2:22.41

1H BTTS1 win

4.60
Inter – Udinese
· Italy · Serie A
HT 2:2FT 5:3

2H BTTS1 win

3.55
Inter – Udinese
· Italy · Serie A
HT 2:2FT 5:3

1 & BTTS8 wins

3.90
Torpedo Kutaisi – Samgurali Tsqaltubo
· Georgia · Erovnuli Liga
HT 2:1FT 3:2
  1. Peñarol – Albion FC3:13.80
  2. Hebar Pazardzhik – Etar Veliko Tarnovo4:13.40
  3. Midtjylland – Brøndby4:13.25
  4. Ludogorets – Septemvri Sofia2:13.20

2 & BTTS3 wins

6.00
Villarreal – Real Betis
· Spain · La Liga
HT 1:2FT 1:2
  1. Libertad FC (ECU) – Ind del Valle2:34.10
  2. Rīgas FS II – Skanstes3:43.35

1X & BTTS21 wins

2.75
FC Osaka – Ehime FC
· Japan (3rd division) · J3 League
HT 1:0FT 2:1
  1. Ludogorets – Septemvri Sofia2:12.60
  2. Calcio Como – Parma2:12.55
  3. Peñarol – Albion FC3:12.47
  4. Hapoel Haifa – Bnei Sakhnin3:12.46

X2 & BTTS20 wins

4.50
FCSB – Petrolul Ploiesti
· Romania · Liga I
HT 2:1FT 2:2
  1. Roma U19 – Como U191:13.85
  2. Aveley FC – Wingate & Finchley3:43.45
  3. Once Caldas – Deportivo Cali1:23.20
  4. CA Fénix Pilar – Centro Español1:12.75

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks