Winning tips of the day · Monday
Winning tips 14 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time27 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 6.501Cariari Pococí – AD Carmelita· Costa Rica · Costa Rican Segunda DivisiónX-Xmodel 31%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 6.002Ceramica Cleopatra – NBE· Egypt · Egyptian Premier LeagueX-1model 24%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 5.503Tartu JK Welco – Nomme Kalju II· Estonia (2nd division)1-1model 36%Home ahead at half-time, home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 4HT 0:0FT 2:15.50CA Huracán – Racing ClubX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Argentina · Liga Profesional
- 5HT 1:1FT 2:15.50Atlético Independiente – JuticalpaX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Honduras · Honduran Liga Nacional
1X2
match result65 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 7.00#1Zvezda SPb – Luki-Energiya· Russia (4th division)2model 45%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 4.20#2Roma U19 – Como U19· Italy (Primavera U19) · Primavera 1Xmodel 36%DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 3.80#3Shamal SC – Ittihad Jeddah· AFC Champions League · AFC Champions LeagueXmodel 39%DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 3.60#4Villarreal – Real Betis· Spain · La Liga2model 48%Away winHT 1:2FT 1:2
- 3.50#5Cariari Pococí – AD Carmelita· Costa Rica · Costa Rican Segunda DivisiónXmodel 47%DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
Over/Under 2.5 goals
80 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.88#1Defensores de Belgrano – Deportivo Madryn· Argentina · Primera NacionalO 2.5model 53%Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 2:1
- 2.75#2Al Ahli – Pakhtakor· AFC Champions League · AFC Champions LeagueU 2.5model 58%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.28#3Shakhtar Donetsk – Chernomorets Od· Ukraine · Ukrainian Premier LeagueU 2.5model 52%Under 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 2:0
- 2.27#4Deportivo Guastatoya – Club Xelajú MC· GuatemalaO 2.5model 51%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:1
- 2.25#5Moreirense FC – Marítimo· Portugal · Primeira LigaO 2.5model 56%Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 3:1
BTTS
both teams to score77 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.80#1Tartu JK Welco – Nomme Kalju II· Estonia (2nd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 2.75#2San Diego – Philadelphia Union· USA · MLSNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:5
- 2.62#3Haninge – Syrianska FC· Sweden · Division 2NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
- 2.50#4CA Fénix Pilar – Centro Español· ArgentinaGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 2.37#5Defensores de Belgrano – Deportivo Madryn· Argentina · Primera NacionalGGmodel 52%Both teams scoreHT 2:0FT 2:1
ELO
result by rating15 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.55#1CA Huracán – Racing Club· Argentina · Liga Profesional1model 47%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 2.40#2Leeds – Newcastle United· England · Premier League1model 47%Home winFT 4:1
- 2.38#3Audax Italiano – O Higgins· Chile · Chilean Primera División1model 49%Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 1.76#4Cúcuta Deportivo – Millonarios· Colombia · Categoría Primera A2model 40%Away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
- 1.75#5Midtjylland – Brøndby· Denmark · Danish Superliga1model 63%Home winHT 2:0FT 4:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+12 wins
3.00- Waterford United – Derry City2:22.55
- Torpedo Kutaisi – Samgurali Tsqaltubo3:22.47
- Kayserispor – Istanbulspor AS4:02.46
- FCSB – Petrolul Ploiesti2:22.41
1H BTTS1 win
4.602H BTTS1 win
3.551 & BTTS8 wins
3.90- Peñarol – Albion FC3:13.80
- Hebar Pazardzhik – Etar Veliko Tarnovo4:13.40
- Midtjylland – Brøndby4:13.25
- Ludogorets – Septemvri Sofia2:13.20
2 & BTTS3 wins
6.00- Libertad FC (ECU) – Ind del Valle2:34.10
- Rīgas FS II – Skanstes3:43.35
1X & BTTS21 wins
2.75- Ludogorets – Septemvri Sofia2:12.60
- Calcio Como – Parma2:12.55
- Peñarol – Albion FC3:12.47
- Hapoel Haifa – Bnei Sakhnin3:12.46
X2 & BTTS20 wins
4.50- Roma U19 – Como U191:13.85
- Aveley FC – Wingate & Finchley3:43.45
- Once Caldas – Deportivo Cali1:23.20
- CA Fénix Pilar – Centro Español1:12.75
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.