Winning tips of the day · Friday
Winning tips 9 October 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time63 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 9.001Vilniaus BFA – Zalgiris-2· Lithuania · I LygaX-2model 17%Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
- 8.002San Martín Mendoza – Argentino Monte Maíz· Argentina2-2model 16%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 7.503Nõmme United II – Levadia II Tallinn· Estonia (2nd division)X-2model 26%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 4HT 1:1FT 2:17.00SC Retz – Admira IIX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Austria
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:17.00IFK Skövde FK – Skara FCX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Sweden · Division 2
1X2
match result170 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 4.75#1San Martín Mendoza – Argentino Monte Maíz· Argentina2model 41%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 4.60#2West Ham – QPR· England (Championship) · ChampionshipXmodel 46%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 4.21#3Bayern Munchen II – Unterhaching· GermanyXmodel 42%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 4.03#4Burnley FC U23s – Preston North End U21· England (U23 Cup)Xmodel 41%DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
- 3.97#5Stoke City U23s – Charlton U23· England (U23 Cup)Xmodel 40%DrawHT 0:1FT 2:2
Over/Under 2.5 goals
189 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.55#1Bayern Munchen II – Unterhaching· GermanyU 2.5model 54%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.43#2Sakura W – Taipei Bear WU 2.5model 62%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.40#3Team Wiener Linien – Vorwärts Brigittenau· AustriaU 2.5model 60%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.38#4IFK Skövde FK – Skara FC· Sweden · Division 2U 2.5model 62%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.35#5Rohrbach an der Lafnitz – SC Bruck an der Mur· AustriaU 2.5model 70%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
BTTS
both teams to score174 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 3.26#1FSV Zwickau – Tasmania Berlin· GermanyNGmodel 63%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.79#2Holywell Town – The New Saints· Wales · Cymru PremierGGmodel 87%Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 1:6
- 2.65#3Rapperswil – Stade Lausanne Ouchy· Switzerland (2nd division) · Challenge LeagueNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:3
- 2.51#4IFK Skövde FK – Skara FC· Sweden · Division 2NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.38#5Kashima Antlers – Gamba Osaka· Japan · J1 LeagueNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
ELO
result by rating19 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.00#1Rakow Czestochowa – GKS Katowice· Poland · Ekstraklasa2model 36%Away winHT 1:1FT 1:4
- 2.55#2Seinajoen JK – FC Lahti· Finland · Veikkausliiga1model 40%Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.47#3Lens – Lyon· France · Ligue 11model 44%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
- 2.25#4Incheon United – Pohang Steelers· South Korea · K League 11model 47%Home winHT 3:0FT 3:0
- 2.20#5Daejeon Citizen – Jeonbuk Hyundai· South Korea · K League 11model 51%Home winHT 0:1FT 2:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+46 wins
2.95- Phrae United – Kanchanaburi FC2:12.83
- Nautico – Novorizontino SP0:22.65
- Pen-y-Bont FC – Barry Town3:12.58
- Cobh Ramblers – Kerry0:22.57
1H BTTS7 wins
6.35- Jaiyq – FC Turan1:13.61
- KäPa Helsinki – MP Mikkeli1:13.34
- Parndorf – Wiener SK1:13.34
- Eastern AA – North District1:33.28
2H BTTS2 wins
3.75- Preußen Münster – Essen3:32.75
1 & BTTS10 wins
5.50- Westerlo U21 – Kortrijk U212:15.20
- TOP Oss – Helmond Sport3:13.75
- Slavia Prague U19 – Slovacko U194:13.70
- Persepolis FC – Sanat Naft AC3:13.65
2 & BTTS10 wins
8.50- Rakow Czestochowa – GKS Katowice1:44.80
- Lokomotiv Moskva U19 – Zenit U191:34.30
- Warta Sieradz – Wigry Suwalki1:34.20
- Briton Ferry – GAP Connah's Quay1:23.20
1X & BTTS39 wins
3.60- FC Stade Nyonnais – FC Aarau2:13.55
- Ismaily – Tanta FC2:12.75
- Almaz-Antey U19 – Krasnodar U195:22.70
- Preußen Münster – Essen3:32.65
X2 & BTTS43 wins
4.50- West Ham – QPR1:13.75
- Bala Town – Buckley Town2:33.10
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk – FK Chelyabinsk2:43.05
- Beitar Nahariya – Hapoel Umm Al Fahm1:13.00
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
- 10 OctSaturday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.