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Winning tips of the day · Friday

Winning tips 9 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

9.00biggest winning odds57winning tips here36wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time63 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 9.001
    Vilniaus BFA – Zalgiris-2
    · Lithuania · I Lyga
    X-2model 17%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
  2. 8.002
    San Martín Mendoza – Argentino Monte Maíz
    · Argentina
    2-2model 16%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
  3. 7.503
    Nõmme United II – Levadia II Tallinn
    · Estonia (2nd division)
    X-2model 26%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  1. 4
    SC Retz – Admira II
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Austria
    HT 1:1FT 2:17.00
  2. 5
    IFK Skövde FK – Skara FC
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Sweden · Division 2
    HT 0:0FT 0:17.00

1X2

match result170 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 4.75#1
    San Martín Mendoza – Argentino Monte Maíz
    · Argentina
    2model 41%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 4.60#2
    West Ham – QPR
    · England (Championship) · Championship
    Xmodel 46%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
  3. 4.21#3
    Bayern Munchen II – Unterhaching
    · Germany
    Xmodel 42%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
  4. 4.03#4
    Burnley FC U23s – Preston North End U21
    · England (U23 Cup)
    Xmodel 41%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
  5. 3.97#5
    Stoke City U23s – Charlton U23
    · England (U23 Cup)
    Xmodel 40%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 2:2

Over/Under 2.5 goals

189 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.55#1
    Bayern Munchen II – Unterhaching
    · Germany
    U 2.5model 54%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
  2. 2.43#2
    Sakura W – Taipei Bear W
    U 2.5model 62%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 2.40#3
    Team Wiener Linien – Vorwärts Brigittenau
    · Austria
    U 2.5model 60%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
  4. 2.38#4
    IFK Skövde FK – Skara FC
    · Sweden · Division 2
    U 2.5model 62%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  5. 2.35#5
    Rohrbach an der Lafnitz – SC Bruck an der Mur
    · Austria
    U 2.5model 70%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1

BTTS

both teams to score174 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 3.26#1
    FSV Zwickau – Tasmania Berlin
    · Germany
    NGmodel 63%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 2:0
  2. 2.79#2
    Holywell Town – The New Saints
    · Wales · Cymru Premier
    GGmodel 87%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 1:6
  3. 2.65#3
    Rapperswil – Stade Lausanne Ouchy
    · Switzerland (2nd division) · Challenge League
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:3
  4. 2.51#4
    IFK Skövde FK – Skara FC
    · Sweden · Division 2
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
  5. 2.38#5
    Kashima Antlers – Gamba Osaka
    · Japan · J1 League
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0

ELO

result by rating19 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.00#1
    Rakow Czestochowa – GKS Katowice
    · Poland · Ekstraklasa
    2model 36%
    Away winHT 1:1FT 1:4
  2. 2.55#2
    Seinajoen JK – FC Lahti
    · Finland · Veikkausliiga
    1model 40%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
  3. 2.47#3
    Lens – Lyon
    · France · Ligue 1
    1model 44%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
  4. 2.25#4
    Incheon United – Pohang Steelers
    · South Korea · K League 1
    1model 47%
    Home winHT 3:0FT 3:0
  5. 2.20#5
    Daejeon Citizen – Jeonbuk Hyundai
    · South Korea · K League 1
    1model 51%
    Home winHT 0:1FT 2:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+46 wins

2.95
Mbeya City – Kagera Sugar
· Tanzania · Tanzanian Premier League
HT 1:1FT 1:3
  1. Phrae United – Kanchanaburi FC2:12.83
  2. Nautico – Novorizontino SP0:22.65
  3. Pen-y-Bont FC – Barry Town3:12.58
  4. Cobh Ramblers – Kerry0:22.57

1H BTTS7 wins

6.35
Holywell Town – The New Saints
· Wales · Cymru Premier
HT 1:1FT 1:6
  1. Jaiyq – FC Turan1:13.61
  2. KäPa Helsinki – MP Mikkeli1:13.34
  3. Parndorf – Wiener SK1:13.34
  4. Eastern AA – North District1:33.28

2H BTTS2 wins

3.75
Fortaleza (COL) – Millonarios
· Colombia · Categoría Primera A
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. Preußen Münster – Essen3:32.75

1 & BTTS10 wins

5.50
Avellino – Sampdoria
· Italy (2nd division) · Serie B
HT 4:1FT 4:1
  1. Westerlo U21 – Kortrijk U212:15.20
  2. TOP Oss – Helmond Sport3:13.75
  3. Slavia Prague U19 – Slovacko U194:13.70
  4. Persepolis FC – Sanat Naft AC3:13.65

2 & BTTS10 wins

8.50
Bala Town – Buckley Town
· Wales
HT 0:2FT 2:3
  1. Rakow Czestochowa – GKS Katowice1:44.80
  2. Lokomotiv Moskva U19 – Zenit U191:34.30
  3. Warta Sieradz – Wigry Suwalki1:34.20
  4. Briton Ferry – GAP Connah's Quay1:23.20

1X & BTTS39 wins

3.60
Fortaleza (COL) – Millonarios
· Colombia · Categoría Primera A
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. FC Stade Nyonnais – FC Aarau2:13.55
  2. Ismaily – Tanta FC2:12.75
  3. Almaz-Antey U19 – Krasnodar U195:22.70
  4. Preußen Münster – Essen3:32.65

X2 & BTTS43 wins

4.50
Borussia Dortmund – Werder Bremen
· Germany · Bundesliga
HT 0:0FT 2:2
  1. West Ham – QPR1:13.75
  2. Bala Town – Buckley Town2:33.10
  3. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk – FK Chelyabinsk2:43.05
  4. Beitar Nahariya – Hapoel Umm Al Fahm1:13.00

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks