Winning tips of the day · Thursday
Winning tips 3 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time16 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 6.501Rigas Futbola skola – Riga FC· LatviaX-2model 15%Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 2:3
- 5.002Santos – Palmeiras· Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato CariocaX-Xmodel 16%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 4.753Bodrumspor SK – Erokspor· Turkey · TFF First LeagueX-Xmodel 43%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 4HT 0:2FT 1:24.50Rakow Czestochowa – Gornik Zabrze2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · · Poland · Ekstraklasa
- 5HT 0:0FT 1:04.33Gent – OH LeuvenX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Belgium · Belgian Pro League
1X2
match result54 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 5.00#1Vancouver Whitecaps – Montreal Impact· Canada (cup)Xmodel 37%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 4.40#2Avia Świdnik – Wieczysta Kraków· Poland (cup)1model 52%Home winHT 1:1FT 3:1
- 4.00#3Express FC – KCC Kampala· Uganda · Uganda Premier League1model 42%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 3.50#4Forward Madison – One Knoxville· USAXmodel 54%DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 3.30#5Santos – Palmeiras· Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato CariocaXmodel 37%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
Over/Under 2.5 goals
63 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 4.00#1FC Basel – FC Sion· Switzerland · Swiss Super LeagueO 2.5model 54%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:2
- 2.60#2Thisted FC – Sonderjyske· DenmarkU 2.5model 52%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
- 2.55#3Lech Poznan – Jagiellonia· Poland · EkstraklasaO 2.5model 81%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 2:1
- 2.38#4Haras Al Hodoud – Al Intagh Al Harbi· Egypt (2nd division)O 2.5model 57%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 2:1
- 2.38#5FA Siauliai – FK Kauno Zalgiris· Lithuania (cup)U 2.5model 51%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
BTTS
both teams to score62 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.25#1Dzhebel 2025 – Krumovgrad· BulgariaNGmodel 76%At least one team fails to scoreFT 0:0
- 2.25#2Lugano – Servette· Switzerland · Swiss Super LeagueNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.23#3FA Siauliai – FK Kauno Zalgiris· Lithuania (cup)NGmodel 58%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.23#4Fort Wayne – Richmond Kickers· USANGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.22#5CD Maxaquene – Ferroviário da Beira· Mozambique · MoçambolaGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:2
ELO
result by rating14 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.50#1Ind Santa Fe – Millonarios· Colombia · Categoría Primera A1model 48%Home winHT 1:1FT 3:2
- 2.85#2Rakow Czestochowa – Gornik Zabrze· Poland · Ekstraklasa2model 37%Away winHT 0:2FT 1:2
- 2.70#3Limache – Ñublense· Chile · Chilean Primera División1model 39%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.70#4Hibernian – Hearts· Scotland · Scottish Premiership2model 38%Away winHT 0:2FT 1:3
- 2.45#5FC Basel – FC Sion· Switzerland · Swiss Super League2model 39%Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+5 wins
2.62- Rakow Czestochowa – Gornik Zabrze1:22.60
- CSKA II Sofia – Spartak Pleven5:12.55
- Vihren Sandanski – Etar Veliko Tarnovo4:12.29
- Avia Świdnik – Wieczysta Kraków3:12.29
1 & BTTS1 win
3.552 & BTTS1 win
5.40Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.