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Winning tips of the day · Thursday

Winning tips 3 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

6.50biggest winning odds32winning tips here14wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time16 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 6.501
    Rigas Futbola skola – Riga FC
    · Latvia
    X-2model 15%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 2:3
  2. 5.002
    Santos – Palmeiras
    · Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato Carioca
    X-Xmodel 16%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 4.753
    Bodrumspor SK – Erokspor
    · Turkey · TFF First League
    X-Xmodel 43%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
  1. 4
    Rakow Czestochowa – Gornik Zabrze
    2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · · Poland · Ekstraklasa
    HT 0:2FT 1:24.50
  2. 5
    Gent – OH Leuven
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Belgium · Belgian Pro League
    HT 0:0FT 1:04.33

1X2

match result54 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 5.00#1
    Vancouver Whitecaps – Montreal Impact
    · Canada (cup)
    Xmodel 37%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
  2. 4.40#2
    Avia Świdnik – Wieczysta Kraków
    · Poland (cup)
    1model 52%
    Home winHT 1:1FT 3:1
  3. 4.00#3
    Express FC – KCC Kampala
    · Uganda · Uganda Premier League
    1model 42%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
  4. 3.50#4
    Forward Madison – One Knoxville
    · USA
    Xmodel 54%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  5. 3.30#5
    Santos – Palmeiras
    · Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato Carioca
    Xmodel 37%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0

Over/Under 2.5 goals

63 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 4.00#1
    FC Basel – FC Sion
    · Switzerland · Swiss Super League
    O 2.5model 54%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:2
  2. 2.60#2
    Thisted FC – Sonderjyske
    · Denmark
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
  3. 2.55#3
    Lech Poznan – Jagiellonia
    · Poland · Ekstraklasa
    O 2.5model 81%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 2:1
  4. 2.38#4
    Haras Al Hodoud – Al Intagh Al Harbi
    · Egypt (2nd division)
    O 2.5model 57%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 2:1
  5. 2.38#5
    FA Siauliai – FK Kauno Zalgiris
    · Lithuania (cup)
    U 2.5model 51%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1

BTTS

both teams to score62 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.25#1
    Dzhebel 2025 – Krumovgrad
    · Bulgaria
    NGmodel 76%
    At least one team fails to scoreFT 0:0
  2. 2.25#2
    Lugano – Servette
    · Switzerland · Swiss Super League
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
  3. 2.23#3
    FA Siauliai – FK Kauno Zalgiris
    · Lithuania (cup)
    NGmodel 58%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
  4. 2.23#4
    Fort Wayne – Richmond Kickers
    · USA
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
  5. 2.22#5
    CD Maxaquene – Ferroviário da Beira
    · Mozambique · Moçambola
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:2

ELO

result by rating14 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.50#1
    Ind Santa Fe – Millonarios
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    1model 48%
    Home winHT 1:1FT 3:2
  2. 2.85#2
    Rakow Czestochowa – Gornik Zabrze
    · Poland · Ekstraklasa
    2model 37%
    Away winHT 0:2FT 1:2
  3. 2.70#3
    Limache – Ñublense
    · Chile · Chilean Primera División
    1model 39%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.70#4
    Hibernian – Hearts
    · Scotland · Scottish Premiership
    2model 38%
    Away winHT 0:2FT 1:3
  5. 2.45#5
    FC Basel – FC Sion
    · Switzerland · Swiss Super League
    2model 39%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+5 wins

2.62
Academia Anzoátegui – Monagas SC
· Venezuela · Venezuelan Primera División
HT 1:1FT 1:3
  1. Rakow Czestochowa – Gornik Zabrze1:22.60
  2. CSKA II Sofia – Spartak Pleven5:12.55
  3. Vihren Sandanski – Etar Veliko Tarnovo4:12.29
  4. Avia Świdnik – Wieczysta Kraków3:12.29

1 & BTTS1 win

3.55
CSKA II Sofia – Spartak Pleven
· Bulgaria · Bulgarian Second League
HT 2:1FT 5:1

2 & BTTS1 win

5.40
Rakow Czestochowa – Gornik Zabrze
· Poland · Ekstraklasa
HT 0:2FT 1:2

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks