Winning tips of the day · Friday
Winning tips 4 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time54 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 29.001Huracanes Izcalli – Racing de Veracruz TDP· Mexico (3rd division)2-2model 12%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:2FT 0:2
- 15.002FK Jonava – DFK Dainava· Lithuania · I LygaX-Xmodel 18%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 13.003SC Salgueiros – AD Machico· Portugal (3rd division) · Liga 32-Xmodel 22%Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 4HT 0:0FT 0:28.30Jabaquara U20 – União Suzano U20X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Brazil (U20)
- 5HT 1:1FT 2:28.00Kufstein – LauterachX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Austria (Vorarlberg)
1X2
match result160 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 18.00#1Academica Clinceni – Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu· Romania (3rd division)2model 38%Away winHT 0:0FT 1:3
- 6.40#2PSG – Monaco· France · Ligue 12model 48%Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2
- 4.30#3Hannover 96 – Karlsruher SC· Germany (2. Bundesliga) · 2. BundesligaXmodel 36%DrawHT 2:1FT 2:2
- 4.00#4Kufstein – Lauterach· Austria (Vorarlberg)Xmodel 41%DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
- 3.50#5Sol de América (PAR) – General Caballero JLM· Paraguay (2nd division)Xmodel 43%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
Over/Under 2.5 goals
168 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.95#1Real Betis – Real Madrid· Spain · La LigaU 2.5model 54%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.85#2Defensores de Belgrano – Racing de Cordoba· Argentina · Primera NacionalO 2.5model 58%Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 3:0
- 2.80#3Richards Bay – AmaZulu FC· South Africa · South African Premier DivisionO 2.5model 56%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:2
- 2.65#4Sandefjord – Viking FK· Norway · EliteserienU 2.5model 52%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.50#5Llandudno – Ammanford· Wales · Cymru PremierU 2.5model 75%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
BTTS
both teams to score169 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.98#1Akademiya Konoplev U20 – Ural U19· Russia (youth)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0
- 2.75#2Heracles – De Graafschap· Netherlands · Eerste DivisieNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 5:0
- 2.46#3Atlético JBG – 9 de Octubre· Ecuador · Ecuadorian Serie BGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 2:2
- 2.37#4Pogon Grodzisk Maz. – Warta Poznan· Poland · Polish I ligaNGmodel 53%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.36#5Al Arabi Kuwait – Sulaibikhat· KuwaitGGmodel 67%Both teams scoreHT 2:1FT 3:3
ELO
result by rating7 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.18#1Aalesund FK – IK Start· Norway · Eliteserien1model 43%Home winHT 2:0FT 2:0
- 1.80#2Genoa – Como· Italy · Serie A2model 57%Away winFT 1:4
- 1.64#3Deportivo Pereira – Ind Medellin· Colombia · Categoría Primera A2model 42%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:3
- 1.51#4Lyon – Auxerre· France · Ligue 11model 62%Home winHT 2:1FT 3:1
- 1.30#5Fredrikstad – Bodo/Glimt· Norway · Eliteserien2model 55%Away winHT 0:1FT 1:2
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+23 wins
2.85- Beerschot Wilrijk – Patro Eisden4:22.80
- Şimal – Cəbrayıl1:22.60
- FC Domagnano – SS San Giovanni4:02.45
- FC Cajamarca – Cienciano2:52.44
1 & BTTS19 wins
5.20- Baglan Dragons – Afan Lido2:14.40
- Beerschot Wilrijk – Patro Eisden4:24.10
- Alianza Atlético – UTC Cajamarca3:23.75
- Emmen – Volendam5:33.70
2 & BTTS7 wins
10.43- RFC Seraing U21 – RAAL La Louvière U211:24.60
- Tekstilshchik Iv. – Torpedo Moscow1:44.30
- Elana Torun – Wda Swiecie1:24.10
- Basaksehir – Galatasaray2:32.85
1X & BTTS45 wins
3.20- Porto – Moreirense FC2:12.85
- Polissya Zhy – Kudrivka5:12.65
- Cobh Ramblers – UCD Dublin1:12.50
- Noah – Gandzasar3:22.49
X2 & BTTS32 wins
4.70- Dunkerque – Clermont1:13.35
- La Luz FC – Huracán FC1:33.30
- Navbahor – Lokomotiv Tashkent1:13.25
- Hannover 96 – Karlsruher SC2:23.20
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.