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Winning tips of the day · Friday

Winning tips 4 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

29.00biggest winning odds50winning tips here25wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time54 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 29.001
    Huracanes Izcalli – Racing de Veracruz TDP
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    2-2model 12%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:2FT 0:2
  2. 15.002
    FK Jonava – DFK Dainava
    · Lithuania · I Lyga
    X-Xmodel 18%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 13.003
    SC Salgueiros – AD Machico
    · Portugal (3rd division) · Liga 3
    2-Xmodel 22%
    Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:1FT 1:1
  1. 4
    Jabaquara U20 – União Suzano U20
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Brazil (U20)
    HT 0:0FT 0:28.30
  2. 5
    Kufstein – Lauterach
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Austria (Vorarlberg)
    HT 1:1FT 2:28.00

1X2

match result160 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 18.00#1
    Academica Clinceni – Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
    · Romania (3rd division)
    2model 38%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 1:3
  2. 6.40#2
    PSG – Monaco
    · France · Ligue 1
    2model 48%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2
  3. 4.30#3
    Hannover 96 – Karlsruher SC
    · Germany (2. Bundesliga) · 2. Bundesliga
    Xmodel 36%
    DrawHT 2:1FT 2:2
  4. 4.00#4
    Kufstein – Lauterach
    · Austria (Vorarlberg)
    Xmodel 41%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
  5. 3.50#5
    Sol de América (PAR) – General Caballero JLM
    · Paraguay (2nd division)
    Xmodel 43%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

168 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.95#1
    Real Betis – Real Madrid
    · Spain · La Liga
    U 2.5model 54%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
  2. 2.85#2
    Defensores de Belgrano – Racing de Cordoba
    · Argentina · Primera Nacional
    O 2.5model 58%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 3:0
  3. 2.80#3
    Richards Bay – AmaZulu FC
    · South Africa · South African Premier Division
    O 2.5model 56%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:2
  4. 2.65#4
    Sandefjord – Viking FK
    · Norway · Eliteserien
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  5. 2.50#5
    Llandudno – Ammanford
    · Wales · Cymru Premier
    U 2.5model 75%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0

BTTS

both teams to score169 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.98#1
    Akademiya Konoplev U20 – Ural U19
    · Russia (youth)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0
  2. 2.75#2
    Heracles – De Graafschap
    · Netherlands · Eerste Divisie
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 5:0
  3. 2.46#3
    Atlético JBG – 9 de Octubre
    · Ecuador · Ecuadorian Serie B
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 2:2
  4. 2.37#4
    Pogon Grodzisk Maz. – Warta Poznan
    · Poland · Polish I liga
    NGmodel 53%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
  5. 2.36#5
    Al Arabi Kuwait – Sulaibikhat
    · Kuwait
    GGmodel 67%
    Both teams scoreHT 2:1FT 3:3

ELO

result by rating7 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.18#1
    Aalesund FK – IK Start
    · Norway · Eliteserien
    1model 43%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 2:0
  2. 1.80#2
    Genoa – Como
    · Italy · Serie A
    2model 57%
    Away winFT 1:4
  3. 1.64#3
    Deportivo Pereira – Ind Medellin
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    2model 42%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:3
  4. 1.51#4
    Lyon – Auxerre
    · France · Ligue 1
    1model 62%
    Home winHT 2:1FT 3:1
  5. 1.30#5
    Fredrikstad – Bodo/Glimt
    · Norway · Eliteserien
    2model 55%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 1:2

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+23 wins

2.85
Leones – Atlético FC
· Colombia · Categoría Primera B
HT 0:2FT 0:3
  1. Beerschot Wilrijk – Patro Eisden4:22.80
  2. Şimal – Cəbrayıl1:22.60
  3. FC Domagnano – SS San Giovanni4:02.45
  4. FC Cajamarca – Cienciano2:52.44

1 & BTTS19 wins

5.20
Esperance Zarzis – ASC Diambars
· Africa (regional club cup)
HT 1:1FT 3:1
  1. Baglan Dragons – Afan Lido2:14.40
  2. Beerschot Wilrijk – Patro Eisden4:24.10
  3. Alianza Atlético – UTC Cajamarca3:23.75
  4. Emmen – Volendam5:33.70

2 & BTTS7 wins

10.43
PSG – Monaco
· France · Ligue 1
HT 1:0FT 1:2
  1. RFC Seraing U21 – RAAL La Louvière U211:24.60
  2. Tekstilshchik Iv. – Torpedo Moscow1:44.30
  3. Elana Torun – Wda Swiecie1:24.10
  4. Basaksehir – Galatasaray2:32.85

1X & BTTS45 wins

3.20
Atlético JBG – 9 de Octubre
· Ecuador · Ecuadorian Serie B
HT 1:0FT 2:2
  1. Porto – Moreirense FC2:12.85
  2. Polissya Zhy – Kudrivka5:12.65
  3. Cobh Ramblers – UCD Dublin1:12.50
  4. Noah – Gandzasar3:22.49

X2 & BTTS32 wins

4.70
PSG – Monaco
· France · Ligue 1
HT 1:0FT 1:2
  1. Dunkerque – Clermont1:13.35
  2. La Luz FC – Huracán FC1:33.30
  3. Navbahor – Lokomotiv Tashkent1:13.25
  4. Hannover 96 – Karlsruher SC2:23.20

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks