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Winning tips of the day · Saturday

Winning tips 5 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

29.00biggest winning odds59winning tips here36wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time136 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 29.001
    Consultants Moravia – Santa Ana
    · Costa Rica · Costa Rican Segunda División
    1-2model 25%
    Home ahead at half-time, away winHT 1:0FT 1:2
  2. 23.002
    Clyde FC – Edinburgh City
    · Scotland (4th division)
    2-1model 21%
    Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 0:1FT 3:2
  3. 21.003
    Hässleholms IF – Kristianstads FF
    · Sweden · Division 2
    2-1model 21%
    Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 0:1FT 2:1
  1. 4
    Neudorf / Parndorf – Oberpullendorf
    1-1 · Home ahead at half-time, home win · · Austria
    HT 2:0FT 4:120.50
  2. 5
    Le Puy Foot – US Orléans
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · France (National) · Championnat National
    HT 1:1FT 1:117.00

1X2

match result411 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 19.00#1
    UNAM FC Windhoek – Kabuscorp SC
    · Africa (regional club cup)
    2model 62%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 8.00#2
    Neudorf / Parndorf – Oberpullendorf
    · Austria
    1model 48%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 4:1
  3. 6.00#3
    Bylis Ballsh – KF Sopoti
    · Albania (2nd division)
    Xmodel 50%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  4. 5.50#4
    Inter Lagos – Doma United
    · Nigeria
    2model 45%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  5. 5.00#5
    Nara United – Samui United
    · Thailand
    1model 39%
    Home winHT 2:1FT 3:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

473 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.40#1
    Blau-Weiß Feldkirch – Riefensberg
    · Austria
    U 2.5model 80%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 3.40#2
    Talent Warszawa U19 – Legia Warszawa U19
    · Poland (youth)
    U 2.5model 65%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  3. 3.40#3
    SC Pinkafeld – Klingenbach
    · Austria
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
  4. 3.25#4
    Ajax – PSV Eindhoven
    · Netherlands · Eredivisie
    O 2.5model 78%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:2FT 1:3
  5. 2.75#5
    FK Komarov – Okula Nýrsko
    · Czechia
    U 2.5model 70%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 2:0

BTTS

both teams to score456 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.88#1
    Bylis Ballsh – KF Sopoti
    · Albania (2nd division)
    GGmodel 52%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:1
  2. 2.75#2
    Vestri – Trottur Reykjavik
    · Iceland · Icelandic 1. deild karla
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
  3. 2.74#3
    Invergordon – Strathspey Thistle
    · Scotland (5th division)
    NGmodel 57%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
  4. 2.62#4
    Lindö FF – Nyköpings BIS
    · Sweden · Division 2
    NGmodel 50%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:3
  5. 2.60#5
    Kvant Obninsk – FK Ryazan
    · Russia (4th division)
    GGmodel 64%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 1:3

ELO

result by rating49 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 5.50#1
    SK Lisen – Viktoria Plzen
    · Czechia · Czech First League
    1model 38%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
  2. 3.50#2
    RB Bragantino – Bahia
    · Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 2:2FT 2:3
  3. 3.25#3
    Atlético Bucaramanga – Ind Medellin
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    1model 42%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
  4. 2.70#4
    Gimnasia La Plata – CA Tigre
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 47%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
  5. 2.65#5
    Doncaster Rovers – Plymouth Argyle
    · England (League One) · League One
    2model 41%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 2:3

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+64 wins

2.95
Preston North End – Blackburn Rovers
· England (Championship) · Championship
HT 2:0FT 2:1
  1. Valencia W – Madrid CFF W1:32.85
  2. CSM Ramnicu Valcea – FCM Resita1:22.85
  3. Nakhon Si United – Muang Trang United6:12.85
  4. Crewe Alexandra – York City1:12.75

1H BTTS4 wins

4.30
Crewe Alexandra – York City
· England (League Two) · League Two
HT 1:1FT 1:1
  1. Billericay – Dorking Wanderers3:33.85
  2. Borussia M'gladbach – SV Elversberg3:43.70
  3. Holstein Kiel – Nürnberg2:23.65

2H BTTS8 wins

3.55
Burton Albion – Cambridge Utd
· England (League One) · League One
HT 1:1FT 2:2
  1. Reading – Blackpool3:13.15
  2. Accrington Stanley – Crawley Town3:23.05
  3. Billericay – Dorking Wanderers3:32.90
  4. Hansa Rostock – SV Wehen1:12.85

1 & BTTS33 wins

6.80
Chiclana – Linense
· Spain (5th division) · Tercera Federación
HT 1:1FT 2:1
  1. FC Kuressaare – Trans Narva3:15.80
  2. Hellerup IK – Brabrand IF2:14.50
  3. Borac Cacak – Graficar Belgrade2:14.10
  4. HK Kopavogur – Fylkir FC2:13.90

2 & BTTS28 wins

6.60
Oskarshamns AIK – Nosaby
· Sweden · Division 2
HT 1:0FT 1:2
  1. Borussia M'gladbach – SV Elversberg3:46.16
  2. Karlstad BK – AFC Eskilstuna1:25.80
  3. CSM Ramnicu Valcea – FCM Resita1:24.70
  4. Leixões U23 – Sporting CP U233:44.60

1X & BTTS7 wins

2.46
Avispa Fukuoka – Mito HollyHock
· Japan · J1 League
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. Metalist Kharkov – UCSA3:12.40
  2. Kagoshima United – Ryukyu2:12.24
  3. Bhayangkara Utd – Persebaya Surabaya1:12.22
  4. Ascoli U19 – Spezia U191:12.06

X2 & BTTS14 wins

3.45
Concordia Chiajna – CS Afumati
· Romania (2nd division)
HT 0:1FT 1:2
  1. Avispa Fukuoka – Mito HollyHock1:13.10
  2. Shonan Bellmare – Vegalta Sendai1:32.50
  3. Thespakusatsu – Fukushima United1:32.41
  4. Bhayangkara Utd – Persebaya Surabaya1:12.37

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks