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Winning tips of the day · Thursday

Winning tips 10 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

6.50biggest winning odds46winning tips here21wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time25 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 6.501
    Montreal Impact – Charlotte FC
    · USA · MLS
    X-2model 19%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
  2. 6.252
    Beitar Petah Tikva – Bnei Jaffa Orthodox
    · Israel
    1-1model 21%
    Home ahead at half-time, home winHT 3:0FT 4:1
  3. 6.253
    Slavia Praha – Lens
    · UEFA Champions League
    X-2model 14%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 2:3
  1. 4
    Teleoptik – Naftagas
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First League
    HT 1:1FT 1:16.00
  2. 5
    Botafogo SP – Novorizontino SP
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Brazil (Série B) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B
    HT 1:1FT 1:35.75

1X2

match result63 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 4.33#1
    Minnesota United – FC Dallas
    · USA · MLS
    2model 41%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
  2. 4.10#2
    Chicago Fire – Inter Miami CF
    · USA · MLS
    Xmodel 35%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
  3. 4.00#3
    Beitar Petah Tikva – Bnei Jaffa Orthodox
    · Israel
    1model 42%
    Home winHT 3:0FT 4:1
  4. 3.60#4
    Teleoptik – Naftagas
    · Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First League
    Xmodel 37%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 1:1
  5. 3.50#5
    York 9 FC – Pacific
    · Canada · Canadian Premier League
    Xmodel 43%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 3:3

Over/Under 2.5 goals

86 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.10#1
    Los Angeles FC – New York Red Bulls
    · USA · MLS
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
  2. 3.00#2
    Dubai United – Al Ahli Dubai
    · UAE · UAE Pro League
    U 2.5model 60%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  3. 2.50#3
    Masar – Sekka Al Hadid
    · Egypt (2nd division)
    O 2.5model 55%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 3:1
  4. 2.38#4
    Bokelj Kotor – FK Otrant
    · Montenegro · Montenegrin First League
    O 2.5model 52%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:1FT 2:1
  5. 2.34#5
    Como U19 – RB Leipzig U19
    · UEFA Champions League (U19)
    U 2.5model 99%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1

BTTS

both teams to score76 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.37#1
    Deportivo Riestra – CA Banfield
    · Argentina (cup)
    GGmodel 53%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:1
  2. 2.37#2
    Los Angeles FC – New York Red Bulls
    · USA · MLS
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
  3. 2.35#3
    Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil – Hapoel Yarka
    · Israel
    NGmodel 53%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
  4. 2.30#4
    Masar – Sekka Al Hadid
    · Egypt (2nd division)
    GGmodel 64%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 3:1
  5. 2.25#5
    Central Córdoba SdE Res. – Estudiantes RC Res.
    · Argentina (reserves)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:2

ELO

result by rating12 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.00#1
    Atlanta United – Orlando City SC
    · USA · MLS
    2model 49%
    Away winHT 1:1FT 2:3
  2. 3.00#2
    Stevenage – Luton Town
    · England (League One) · League One
    1model 40%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
  3. 2.62#3
    Montreal Impact – Charlotte FC
    · USA · MLS
    2model 50%
    Away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
  4. 2.62#4
    Slavia Praha – Lens
    · UEFA Champions League
    2model 38%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 2:3
  5. 1.80#5
    Calcio Como – RB Leipzig
    · UEFA Champions League
    1model 48%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 4:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+5 wins

2.85
Estrela Amadora – Sporting Braga
· Portugal · Primeira Liga
HT 1:1FT 2:1
  1. Beitar Petah Tikva – Bnei Jaffa Orthodox4:12.58
  2. Hapoel Rishon Lezion – Kiryat Yam SC4:22.38
  3. Hapoel Kfar Shalem – Ahi Nazareth3:32.34
  4. Viimsi JK – FC Elva5:02.10

2H BTTS2 wins

3.25
Stevenage – Luton Town
· England (League One) · League One
HT 1:0FT 2:1
  1. Slavia Praha – Lens2:32.85

1 & BTTS3 wins

4.60
Hapoel Rishon Lezion – Kiryat Yam SC
· Israel (2nd division)
HT 2:0FT 4:2
  1. Falkenbergs FF – Östers IF2:13.70
  2. Panathinaikos – Kifisia3:13.40

2 & BTTS1 win

4.20
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa – Hapoel Raanana
· Israel (2nd division)
HT 0:1FT 1:3

1X & BTTS17 wins

3.75
Estrela Amadora – Sporting Braga
· Portugal · Primeira Liga
HT 1:1FT 2:1
  1. Masar – Sekka Al Hadid3:12.70
  2. Stevenage – Luton Town2:12.70
  3. Panathinaikos – Kifisia3:12.50
  4. Jazeera Amman – Shabab Al Urdun1:12.45

X2 & BTTS9 wins

3.60
PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk
· UEFA Champions League
HT 0:1FT 1:1
  1. Jazeera Amman – Shabab Al Urdun1:12.60
  2. Maccabi Umm Al Fahm – Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1:12.43
  3. Aurora – CSD Municipal1:22.30
  4. Slavia Praha – Lens2:32.28

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks