Winning tips of the day · Thursday
Winning tips 10 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time25 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 6.501Montreal Impact – Charlotte FC· USA · MLSX-2model 19%Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
- 6.252Beitar Petah Tikva – Bnei Jaffa Orthodox· Israel1-1model 21%Home ahead at half-time, home winHT 3:0FT 4:1
- 6.253Slavia Praha – Lens· UEFA Champions LeagueX-2model 14%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 2:3
- 4HT 1:1FT 1:16.00Teleoptik – NaftagasX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First League
- 5HT 1:1FT 1:35.75Botafogo SP – Novorizontino SPX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Brazil (Série B) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B
1X2
match result63 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 4.33#1Minnesota United – FC Dallas· USA · MLS2model 41%Away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
- 4.10#2Chicago Fire – Inter Miami CF· USA · MLSXmodel 35%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 4.00#3Beitar Petah Tikva – Bnei Jaffa Orthodox· Israel1model 42%Home winHT 3:0FT 4:1
- 3.60#4Teleoptik – Naftagas· Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First LeagueXmodel 37%DrawHT 1:1FT 1:1
- 3.50#5York 9 FC – Pacific· Canada · Canadian Premier LeagueXmodel 43%DrawHT 0:1FT 3:3
Over/Under 2.5 goals
86 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.10#1Los Angeles FC – New York Red Bulls· USA · MLSU 2.5model 52%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 3.00#2Dubai United – Al Ahli Dubai· UAE · UAE Pro LeagueU 2.5model 60%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.50#3Masar – Sekka Al Hadid· Egypt (2nd division)O 2.5model 55%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 3:1
- 2.38#4Bokelj Kotor – FK Otrant· Montenegro · Montenegrin First LeagueO 2.5model 52%Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:1FT 2:1
- 2.34#5Como U19 – RB Leipzig U19· UEFA Champions League (U19)U 2.5model 99%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1
BTTS
both teams to score76 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.37#1Deportivo Riestra – CA Banfield· Argentina (cup)GGmodel 53%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.37#2Los Angeles FC – New York Red Bulls· USA · MLSNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.35#3Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil – Hapoel Yarka· IsraelNGmodel 53%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.30#4Masar – Sekka Al Hadid· Egypt (2nd division)GGmodel 64%Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 3:1
- 2.25#5Central Córdoba SdE Res. – Estudiantes RC Res.· Argentina (reserves)GGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:2
ELO
result by rating12 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.00#1Atlanta United – Orlando City SC· USA · MLS2model 49%Away winHT 1:1FT 2:3
- 3.00#2Stevenage – Luton Town· England (League One) · League One1model 40%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
- 2.62#3Montreal Impact – Charlotte FC· USA · MLS2model 50%Away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
- 2.62#4Slavia Praha – Lens· UEFA Champions League2model 38%Away winHT 0:0FT 2:3
- 1.80#5Calcio Como – RB Leipzig· UEFA Champions League1model 48%Home winHT 2:0FT 4:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+5 wins
2.85- Beitar Petah Tikva – Bnei Jaffa Orthodox4:12.58
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion – Kiryat Yam SC4:22.38
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem – Ahi Nazareth3:32.34
- Viimsi JK – FC Elva5:02.10
2H BTTS2 wins
3.25- Slavia Praha – Lens2:32.85
1 & BTTS3 wins
4.60- Falkenbergs FF – Östers IF2:13.70
- Panathinaikos – Kifisia3:13.40
2 & BTTS1 win
4.201X & BTTS17 wins
3.75- Masar – Sekka Al Hadid3:12.70
- Stevenage – Luton Town2:12.70
- Panathinaikos – Kifisia3:12.50
- Jazeera Amman – Shabab Al Urdun1:12.45
X2 & BTTS9 wins
3.60- Jazeera Amman – Shabab Al Urdun1:12.60
- Maccabi Umm Al Fahm – Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1:12.43
- Aurora – CSD Municipal1:22.30
- Slavia Praha – Lens2:32.28
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.