Winning tips of the day · Friday
Winning tips 11 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time55 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 21.001Galway United – Bohemians FC· Ireland · League of Ireland Premier Division1-2model 16%Home ahead at half-time, away winHT 1:0FT 2:3
- 11.002Union Perg – Bad Ischl· AustriaX-1model 23%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 8.503Deportivo de La Coruña W – Real Madrid W· Spain (women)2-2model 35%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:2FT 0:2
- 4HT 2:2FT 6:28.50Rohrbach an der Lafnitz – LeobenX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Austria
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:18.00Unión Sur Yaiza – San BartoloméX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Spain (5th division) · Tercera Federación
1X2
match result158 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 4.50#1Ostermiething – SPG Kornspitz Pregarten· Austria1model 57%Home winHT 2:1FT 3:2
- 4.50#2Union Perg – Bad Ischl· Austria1model 48%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 4.33#3UTC Cajamarca – Juan Pablo II College· Peru · Peruvian Liga 12model 40%Away winHT 0:1FT 1:2
- 4.10#4FC Fiorentino – SP La Fiorita· San MarinoXmodel 40%DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 4.10#5Orsomarso SC – Tigres FC· Colombia · Categoría Primera B2model 40%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
Over/Under 2.5 goals
179 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.60#1Lokomotiv Moskva U19 – Rostov U19· Russia (youth)U 2.5model 50%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.44#2Gharrafa SC – Lusail City FC· Qatar · Qatar Stars LeagueU 2.5model 54%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.35#3Leithaprodersdorf – Lackenbach· AustriaU 2.5model 80%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 1:1
- 2.30#4Galvez U20 – Santa Cruz AC U20· Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato CariocaO 2.5model 57%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:5
- 2.10#5Simmeringer SC – Red Star-Penzing· AustriaO 2.5model 52%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:3
BTTS
both teams to score163 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.75#1Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 – RAAL La Louvière U21· Belgium (U21)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 4:0
- 2.53#2SC Bad Sauerbrunn – SK Pama· AustriaNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 5:0
- 2.50#3Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat – La Viena· Egypt (2nd division)GGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 2:0FT 2:1
- 2.38#4Itesalat – Tanta FC· Egypt (2nd division)GGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 3:1
- 2.38#5Tersana Giza – Mansoura SC· Egypt (2nd division)GGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:1
ELO
result by rating11 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.00#1Vissel Kobe – Kashima Antlers· Japan · J1 League1model 43%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 2.20#2Wisla Krakow – Jagiellonia· Poland · Ekstraklasa1model 36%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.15#3Rennes – Marseille· France · Ligue 11model 52%Home winFT 1:0
- 2.05#4Kolos Kovalivka – Karpaty Lviv· Ukraine · Ukrainian Premier League2model 36%Away winHT 0:2FT 0:2
- 2.00#5Sevilla – Valencia· Spain · La Liga1model 42%Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+38 wins
2.75- Cherno More Varna – Lokomotiv Sofia2:22.70
- Barry Town – Llandudno4:12.50
- Ajman Club – Ittihad Kalba2:32.44
- UCD Dublin – Athlone Town2:22.41
2H BTTS1 win
2.801 & BTTS16 wins
4.50- Nürnberg – Hannover 962:14.30
- Illertissen – 1. FC Nurnberg II2:14.20
- Barry Town – Llandudno4:14.10
- Parma U19 – Genoa U192:13.95
2 & BTTS4 wins
3.95- Kyoto Sanga – Kashiwa Reysol2:33.45
- Lindome GIF – Landvetter IS1:23.15
- Baťov – FK Kozlovice2:32.94
1X & BTTS48 wins
4.10- Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat – La Viena2:13.05
- Al Arabi (UAE) – Al Oruba1:12.70
- Vissel Kobe – Kashima Antlers2:12.70
- Benevento Calcio – Verona3:12.65
X2 & BTTS35 wins
7.40- Riga FC – Auda2:24.40
- UTC Cajamarca – Juan Pablo II College1:23.10
- Newell's Old Boys – Vélez Sársfield1:13.00
- Sariyer SK – Bandirmaspor1:12.95
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.