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Winning tips of the day · Friday

Winning tips 11 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

21.00biggest winning odds50winning tips here25wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time55 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 21.001
    Galway United – Bohemians FC
    · Ireland · League of Ireland Premier Division
    1-2model 16%
    Home ahead at half-time, away winHT 1:0FT 2:3
  2. 11.002
    Union Perg – Bad Ischl
    · Austria
    X-1model 23%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
  3. 8.503
    Deportivo de La Coruña W – Real Madrid W
    · Spain (women)
    2-2model 35%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:2FT 0:2
  1. 4
    Rohrbach an der Lafnitz – Leoben
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Austria
    HT 2:2FT 6:28.50
  2. 5
    Unión Sur Yaiza – San Bartolomé
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Spain (5th division) · Tercera Federación
    HT 0:0FT 0:18.00

1X2

match result158 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 4.50#1
    Ostermiething – SPG Kornspitz Pregarten
    · Austria
    1model 57%
    Home winHT 2:1FT 3:2
  2. 4.50#2
    Union Perg – Bad Ischl
    · Austria
    1model 48%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
  3. 4.33#3
    UTC Cajamarca – Juan Pablo II College
    · Peru · Peruvian Liga 1
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 1:2
  4. 4.10#4
    FC Fiorentino – SP La Fiorita
    · San Marino
    Xmodel 40%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  5. 4.10#5
    Orsomarso SC – Tigres FC
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera B
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2

Over/Under 2.5 goals

179 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.60#1
    Lokomotiv Moskva U19 – Rostov U19
    · Russia (youth)
    U 2.5model 50%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
  2. 2.44#2
    Gharrafa SC – Lusail City FC
    · Qatar · Qatar Stars League
    U 2.5model 54%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 2.35#3
    Leithaprodersdorf – Lackenbach
    · Austria
    U 2.5model 80%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 1:1
  4. 2.30#4
    Galvez U20 – Santa Cruz AC U20
    · Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato Carioca
    O 2.5model 57%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:5
  5. 2.10#5
    Simmeringer SC – Red Star-Penzing
    · Austria
    O 2.5model 52%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:3

BTTS

both teams to score163 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.75#1
    Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 – RAAL La Louvière U21
    · Belgium (U21)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 4:0
  2. 2.53#2
    SC Bad Sauerbrunn – SK Pama
    · Austria
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 5:0
  3. 2.50#3
    Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat – La Viena
    · Egypt (2nd division)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 2:0FT 2:1
  4. 2.38#4
    Itesalat – Tanta FC
    · Egypt (2nd division)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 3:1
  5. 2.38#5
    Tersana Giza – Mansoura SC
    · Egypt (2nd division)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:1

ELO

result by rating11 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.00#1
    Vissel Kobe – Kashima Antlers
    · Japan · J1 League
    1model 43%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
  2. 2.20#2
    Wisla Krakow – Jagiellonia
    · Poland · Ekstraklasa
    1model 36%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
  3. 2.15#3
    Rennes – Marseille
    · France · Ligue 1
    1model 52%
    Home winFT 1:0
  4. 2.05#4
    Kolos Kovalivka – Karpaty Lviv
    · Ukraine · Ukrainian Premier League
    2model 36%
    Away winHT 0:2FT 0:2
  5. 2.00#5
    Sevilla – Valencia
    · Spain · La Liga
    1model 42%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+38 wins

2.75
Burgos CF – AD Ceuta
· Spain · Segunda División
HT 1:1FT 3:1
  1. Cherno More Varna – Lokomotiv Sofia2:22.70
  2. Barry Town – Llandudno4:12.50
  3. Ajman Club – Ittihad Kalba2:32.44
  4. UCD Dublin – Athlone Town2:22.41

2H BTTS1 win

2.80
Darmstadt – Arminia Bielefeld
· Germany (2. Bundesliga) · 2. Bundesliga
HT 1:0FT 2:1

1 & BTTS16 wins

4.50
AEL Limassol – Nea Salamina
· Cyprus
HT 1:0FT 2:1
  1. Nürnberg – Hannover 962:14.30
  2. Illertissen – 1. FC Nurnberg II2:14.20
  3. Barry Town – Llandudno4:14.10
  4. Parma U19 – Genoa U192:13.95

2 & BTTS4 wins

3.95
IF Böljan – Hestrafors
· Sweden · Division 2
HT 1:2FT 1:3
  1. Kyoto Sanga – Kashiwa Reysol2:33.45
  2. Lindome GIF – Landvetter IS1:23.15
  3. Baťov – FK Kozlovice2:32.94

1X & BTTS48 wins

4.10
FC Fiorentino – SP La Fiorita
· San Marino
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat – La Viena2:13.05
  2. Al Arabi (UAE) – Al Oruba1:12.70
  3. Vissel Kobe – Kashima Antlers2:12.70
  4. Benevento Calcio – Verona3:12.65

X2 & BTTS35 wins

7.40
Buriram United – Chiangrai United
· Thailand · Thai League 1
HT 1:0FT 1:1
  1. Riga FC – Auda2:24.40
  2. UTC Cajamarca – Juan Pablo II College1:23.10
  3. Newell's Old Boys – Vélez Sársfield1:13.00
  4. Sariyer SK – Bandirmaspor1:12.95

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks