Winning tips of the day · Saturday
Winning tips 12 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time153 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 29.001Pieta Hotspurs – Naxxar Lions· Malta (2nd division)2-1model 24%Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 1:2FT 3:2
- 16.002Sportfreunde Siegen – Bonner SC· Germany2-Xmodel 31%Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:2FT 3:3
- 15.003Monza U19 – Lecce U19· Italy (Primavera U19) · Primavera 12-Xmodel 25%Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:2FT 2:2
- 4HT 0:0FT 0:015.00Nedlands – Mandurah CityX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Australia (Western Australia)
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:113.00FC 1980 Wien – SV SchwechatX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Austria
1X2
match result459 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 6.60#1Chelsea – Hull City· England · Premier LeagueXmodel 39%DrawHT 1:2FT 2:2
- 6.25#2NK Ponikve – Naftas Ivanic· Croatia (3rd division)1model 42%Home winFT 3:0
- 6.00#3FC 1980 Wien – SV Schwechat· Austria2model 46%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 6.00#4Stubai – Telfs· Austria2model 40%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:2
- 4.75#5Blackburn United – Stonehaven· England (FA Cup)2model 38%Away winHT 0:0FT 3:4
Over/Under 2.5 goals
541 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 6.50#1Fortuna Sittard – Ajax· Netherlands · EredivisieO 2.5model 72%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:5
- 6.25#2Cambuur – Nijmegen· Netherlands · EredivisieO 2.5model 76%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 2.75#3Sunnersta AIF – Bollstanas· Sweden · Division 2U 2.5model 51%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.62#4Santos U20 – Mirassol U20· Brazil (U20)U 2.5model 50%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.48#5Újezd Praha 4 – Sokol Hostouň· CzechiaU 2.5model 60%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
BTTS
both teams to score548 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.71#1Karlslunds IF HFK – Örebro Syrianska IF· Sweden · Division 2NGmodel 62%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:3
- 2.67#2FK Slonim – FC Molodechno· Belarus (2nd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.65#3Marupes – Tukums II· Latvia (2nd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 5:0FT 5:0
- 2.50#4FC Dieppe – ASC Biesheim· France (4th division)NGmodel 68%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 2:0
- 2.50#5GSI Pontivy – FC Lorient B· France (4th division)NGmodel 66%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:3
ELO
result by rating57 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.55#1Académico Viseu – Vitória· Portugal · Primeira Liga1model 54%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 3.30#2V-Varen Nagasaki – Nagoya Grampus· Japan · J1 League1model 45%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 3.10#3Girona – CD Castellon· Spain · Segunda División2model 38%Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2
- 3.00#4Waasland Beveren – Sint-Truiden· Belgium · Belgian Pro League1model 40%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 3.00#5AC Oulu – IF Gnistan· Finland · Veikkausliiga2model 39%Away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+66 wins
2.85- Chapecoense SC – Internacional1:22.80
- Forli FC – Pesaro2:12.75
- SCR Altach – Grazer AK1:22.70
- Longford Town – Treaty United0:22.70
1H BTTS8 wins
4.30- Blackpool – Bromley FC2:24.30
- Leyton Orient – Wycombe2:34.00
- Harrogate Town – Tamworth3:13.75
- Braunschweig – Dynamo Dresden2:23.70
2H BTTS14 wins
3.85- Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano4:13.45
- Crystal Palace – Ipswich Town2:33.25
- Blackburn Rovers – Millwall3:13.25
- Southampton – Bristol City4:13.05
1 & BTTS47 wins
6.60- Ankara Demirspor – Fethiyespor3:15.20
- Independiente Rivadavia – CA Aldosivi4:34.20
- CSKA-Sofia – Arda Kardzhali4:14.10
- Forli FC – Pesaro2:13.95
2 & BTTS20 wins
5.00- Crawley Town – Cheltenham1:35.00
- Latte Dolce – Paganese Calcio2:34.60
- Sholing – Plymouth Parkway1:34.40
- Hume City FC – Avondale FC2:34.10
1X & BTTS147 wins
4.10- Nara Club – FC Gifu2:13.05
- NK Bravo – Celje2:13.00
- Cobresal – Coquimbo Unido3:22.95
- Pieta Hotspurs – Naxxar Lions3:22.85
X2 & BTTS115 wins
6.00- Catania – Scafatese1:24.00
- Ha Noi FC – Song Lam Nghe An1:43.90
- FC Andorra – Real Sociedad B1:33.60
- Gloucester – Basingstoke1:13.40
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.