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Winning tips of the day · Saturday

Winning tips 12 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

29.00biggest winning odds60winning tips here45wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time153 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 29.001
    Pieta Hotspurs – Naxxar Lions
    · Malta (2nd division)
    2-1model 24%
    Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 1:2FT 3:2
  2. 16.002
    Sportfreunde Siegen – Bonner SC
    · Germany
    2-Xmodel 31%
    Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:2FT 3:3
  3. 15.003
    Monza U19 – Lecce U19
    · Italy (Primavera U19) · Primavera 1
    2-Xmodel 25%
    Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:2FT 2:2
  1. 4
    Nedlands – Mandurah City
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Australia (Western Australia)
    HT 0:0FT 0:015.00
  2. 5
    FC 1980 Wien – SV Schwechat
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Austria
    HT 0:0FT 0:113.00

1X2

match result459 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 6.60#1
    Chelsea – Hull City
    · England · Premier League
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 1:2FT 2:2
  2. 6.25#2
    NK Ponikve – Naftas Ivanic
    · Croatia (3rd division)
    1model 42%
    Home winFT 3:0
  3. 6.00#3
    FC 1980 Wien – SV Schwechat
    · Austria
    2model 46%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  4. 6.00#4
    Stubai – Telfs
    · Austria
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:2
  5. 4.75#5
    Blackburn United – Stonehaven
    · England (FA Cup)
    2model 38%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 3:4

Over/Under 2.5 goals

541 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 6.50#1
    Fortuna Sittard – Ajax
    · Netherlands · Eredivisie
    O 2.5model 72%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:5
  2. 6.25#2
    Cambuur – Nijmegen
    · Netherlands · Eredivisie
    O 2.5model 76%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 3:0
  3. 2.75#3
    Sunnersta AIF – Bollstanas
    · Sweden · Division 2
    U 2.5model 51%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.62#4
    Santos U20 – Mirassol U20
    · Brazil (U20)
    U 2.5model 50%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
  5. 2.48#5
    Újezd Praha 4 – Sokol Hostouň
    · Czechia
    U 2.5model 60%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2

BTTS

both teams to score548 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.71#1
    Karlslunds IF HFK – Örebro Syrianska IF
    · Sweden · Division 2
    NGmodel 62%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:3
  2. 2.67#2
    FK Slonim – FC Molodechno
    · Belarus (2nd division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 2.65#3
    Marupes – Tukums II
    · Latvia (2nd division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 5:0FT 5:0
  4. 2.50#4
    FC Dieppe – ASC Biesheim
    · France (4th division)
    NGmodel 68%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 2:0
  5. 2.50#5
    GSI Pontivy – FC Lorient B
    · France (4th division)
    NGmodel 66%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:3

ELO

result by rating57 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.55#1
    Académico Viseu – Vitória
    · Portugal · Primeira Liga
    1model 54%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
  2. 3.30#2
    V-Varen Nagasaki – Nagoya Grampus
    · Japan · J1 League
    1model 45%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
  3. 3.10#3
    Girona – CD Castellon
    · Spain · Segunda División
    2model 38%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2
  4. 3.00#4
    Waasland Beveren – Sint-Truiden
    · Belgium · Belgian Pro League
    1model 40%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
  5. 3.00#5
    AC Oulu – IF Gnistan
    · Finland · Veikkausliiga
    2model 39%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 1:2

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+66 wins

2.85
Real Avilés – Unionistas CF
· Spain (3rd division) · Primera Federación
HT 1:1FT 3:1
  1. Chapecoense SC – Internacional1:22.80
  2. Forli FC – Pesaro2:12.75
  3. SCR Altach – Grazer AK1:22.70
  4. Longford Town – Treaty United0:22.70

1H BTTS8 wins

4.30
Crystal Palace – Ipswich Town
· England · Premier League
HT 1:2FT 2:3
  1. Blackpool – Bromley FC2:24.30
  2. Leyton Orient – Wycombe2:34.00
  3. Harrogate Town – Tamworth3:13.75
  4. Braunschweig – Dynamo Dresden2:23.70

2H BTTS14 wins

3.85
Atlético Mineiro – Fluminense
· Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
HT 0:0FT 3:1
  1. Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano4:13.45
  2. Crystal Palace – Ipswich Town2:33.25
  3. Blackburn Rovers – Millwall3:13.25
  4. Southampton – Bristol City4:13.05

1 & BTTS47 wins

6.60
Pieta Hotspurs – Naxxar Lions
· Malta (2nd division)
HT 1:2FT 3:2
  1. Ankara Demirspor – Fethiyespor3:15.20
  2. Independiente Rivadavia – CA Aldosivi4:34.20
  3. CSKA-Sofia – Arda Kardzhali4:14.10
  4. Forli FC – Pesaro2:13.95

2 & BTTS20 wins

5.00
Flamengo W – São Paulo W
· Brazil (women)
HT 0:0FT 1:3
  1. Crawley Town – Cheltenham1:35.00
  2. Latte Dolce – Paganese Calcio2:34.60
  3. Sholing – Plymouth Parkway1:34.40
  4. Hume City FC – Avondale FC2:34.10

1X & BTTS147 wins

4.10
Osijek – Dinamo Zagreb
· Croatia · Prva HNL
HT 2:0FT 4:2
  1. Nara Club – FC Gifu2:13.05
  2. NK Bravo – Celje2:13.00
  3. Cobresal – Coquimbo Unido3:22.95
  4. Pieta Hotspurs – Naxxar Lions3:22.85

X2 & BTTS115 wins

6.00
Chelsea – Hull City
· England · Premier League
HT 1:2FT 2:2
  1. Catania – Scafatese1:24.00
  2. Ha Noi FC – Song Lam Nghe An1:43.90
  3. FC Andorra – Real Sociedad B1:33.60
  4. Gloucester – Basingstoke1:13.40

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks