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Winning tips of the day · Wednesday

Winning tips 16 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

21.00biggest winning odds54winning tips here20wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time64 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 21.001
    Partizan Cerven Brjag – FK Bdin Vidin
    · Bulgaria
    X-2model 19%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:2
  2. 17.002
    US Ben Guerdane – CS Sfaxien
    · Tunisia · Tunisian Ligue 1
    2-Xmodel 29%
    Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:1FT 1:1
  3. 12.003
    Tokat Belediye – Keşapspor
    · Turkey (cup)
    1-1model 20%
    Home ahead at half-time, home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
  1. 4
    FK Napredak – OFK Vršac
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First League
    HT 0:0FT 1:28.00
  2. 5
    Eintracht Norderstedt – Hannoverscher SC
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Germany
    HT 1:1FT 3:37.40

1X2

match result173 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 11.00#1
    Tryavna – Troyan
    · Bulgaria
    2model 39%
    Away winFT 0:2
  2. 11.00#2
    Partizan Cerven Brjag – FK Bdin Vidin
    · Bulgaria
    2model 38%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:2
  3. 6.25#3
    Tokat Belediye – Keşapspor
    · Turkey (cup)
    1model 40%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
  4. 3.95#4
    Thór U19 – Žalgiris U19
    · UEFA Champions League (U19)
    2model 49%
    Away winHT 1:3FT 3:4
  5. 3.95#5
    Terrassa FC – CD Binéfar
    · Spain (cup)
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0

Over/Under 2.5 goals

155 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.85#1
    Aris Salonica – Marko
    · Greece (cup)
    U 2.5model 66%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
  2. 2.65#2
    APR FC – Marines FC
    · Rwanda · Rwanda Premier League
    O 2.5model 55%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:2FT 4:2
  3. 2.41#3
    Chemnitzer FC – Babelsberg
    · Germany
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  4. 2.41#4
    Nuova Pro Sesto – Pontedera
    · Italy (4th division)
    O 2.5model 51%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 3:0
  5. 2.33#5
    Sturm Graz – Rennes
    · UEFA Europa League
    U 2.5model 57%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0

BTTS

both teams to score152 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.65#1
    Kjelsas – HamKam
    · Norway (cup)
    NGmodel 54%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 2.50#2
    Indy Eleven – Brooklyn FC
    · USA · USL Championship
    NGmodel 69%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 3:0FT 4:0
  3. 2.40#3
    FC Santa Coloma U19 – Akademija Pandev U19
    · UEFA Champions League (U19)
    NGmodel 55%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:3
  4. 2.39#4
    Sturm Graz – Rennes
    · UEFA Europa League
    NGmodel 53%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
  5. 2.29#5
    US Ben Guerdane – CS Sfaxien
    · Tunisia · Tunisian Ligue 1
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1

ELO

result by rating5 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.12#1
    Lugano – St Gallen
    · Switzerland · Swiss Super League
    1model 56%
    Home winHT 4:0FT 4:1
  2. 1.96#2
    Baltika – Zenit St. Petersburg
    · Russia · Russian Premier League
    2model 44%
    Away winFT 2:3
  3. 1.38#3
    Atletico Madrid – Osasuna
    · Spain · La Liga
    1model 66%
    Home winFT 4:0
  4. 1.34#4
    Spartak Moscow – Fakel
    · Russia · Russian Premier League
    1model 65%
    Home winFT 1:0
  5. 1.07#5
    Barcelona – Racing Santander
    · Spain · La Liga
    1model 78%
    Home winHT 4:1FT 7:2

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+16 wins

2.55
AIK Fotboll – Mjällby AIF
· Sweden · Allsvenskan
HT 1:1FT 1:1
  1. F91 Dudelange – UN Käerjéng2:42.33
  2. Notodden FK – Odd BK2:32.22
  3. Manchester United – Brighton2:32.12
  4. Ingolstadt – Hoffenheim II1:22.12

1H BTTS3 wins

3.35
Manchester United – Brighton
· England (EFL Trophy)
HT 2:1FT 2:3
  1. Schöningen – SC Weiche-082:13.10
  2. Eintracht Norderstedt – Hannoverscher SC3:32.90

2H BTTS2 wins

2.46
Hansa Rostock – VfB Stuttgart II
· Germany (3. Liga) · 3. Liga
HT 1:0FT 3:2
  1. Eintracht Norderstedt – Hannoverscher SC3:32.22

1 & BTTS6 wins

3.90
Union Omaha – Spokane Velocity
· USA
HT 2:0FT 3:1
  1. Lugano – St Gallen4:13.40
  2. FC AGMK – Xorazm Urganch2:13.03
  3. Kubikenborgs IF – Lucksta4:22.70
  4. Hansa Rostock – VfB Stuttgart II3:22.55

2 & BTTS4 wins

3.05
Scunthorpe Utd – Boreham Wood
· England (National League) · National League
HT 0:0FT 1:2
  1. Næsby BK – AC Horsens2:32.95
  2. Os Turn – Brann1:22.55
  3. Gala Fairydean – Bonnyrigg Rose1:22.33

1X & BTTS22 wins

2.90
Jeonbuk Hyundai – Kashiwa Reysol
· AFC Champions League · AFC Champions League
HT 0:1FT 2:1
  1. APAFUT – EC Pelotas RS2:12.80
  2. The Cong – Melbourne Victory1:12.75
  3. FK Yenisey – Arsenal Tula3:12.70
  4. Leon – Piacenza Calcio1:12.55

X2 & BTTS27 wins

3.85
Ligorna – Derthona
· Italy (4th division)
HT 1:2FT 2:3
  1. Casatese – Sant'Angelo1:23.55
  2. Pescara – Gubbio1:13.50
  3. Lokomotiv Moscow – Krylia Sovetov1:13.05
  4. US Ben Guerdane – CS Sfaxien1:12.80

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks