Winning tips of the day · Thursday

Winning tips 17 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

9.00biggest winning odds40winning tips here15wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time14 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

9.001
Şimal – Shahdagh Qusar
14:30 · Azerbaijan (2nd division)
2-2model 43%
Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:2FT 1:4
8.002
Corinthians – Estudiantes La Plata
02:30 · Copa Libertadores
X-2model 15%
Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
4.753
Botafogo – Grêmio
00:30 · Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
X-1model 18%
Level at half-time, home winHT 1:1FT 3:2

4
Hartford Athletic – Sporting JAX
1-1 · Home ahead at half-time, home win · 00:00 · USA · USL Championship
HT 1:0FT 2:03.75
5
FC Rosengard – Trelleborgs FF
2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · 19:00 · Sweden · Division 2
HT 1:3FT 3:43.60

1X2

match result52 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

4.70#1
Rayon Sports – Sunrise
18:30 · Rwanda · Rwanda Premier League
Xmodel 52%
DrawHT 1:1FT 1:1
4.50#2
Corinthians – Estudiantes La Plata
02:30 · Copa Libertadores
2model 36%
Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
3.80#3
Bnei Yehuda – Maccabi Herzliya
18:00 · Israel (2nd division)
Xmodel 39%
DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
3.60#4
Dynamo Vologda – Spartak-2 Moscow
17:00 · Russia (4th division)
Xmodel 41%
DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
3.60#5
Montreal Impact – Vancouver Whitecaps
01:00 · Canada (cup)
1model 35%
Home winHT 2:0FT 2:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

56 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

2.24#1
ENPPI Cairo – Pyramids
19:00 · Egypt · Egyptian Premier League
O 2.5model 54%
Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:2
2.22#2
Levski Sofia – RB Salzburg
18:45 · UEFA Europa League
U 2.5model 68%
Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:1
2.02#3
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa – Maccabi Bnei Raina
18:00 · Israel (2nd division)
U 2.5model 72%
Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
1.98#4
Shimshon Tel Aviv – Hapoel Holon
17:00 · Israel (3rd division)
O 2.5model 54%
Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 3:1
1.97#5
Lion City – Bangkok Glass
12:00 · Asia (AFC)
U 2.5model 54%
Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1

BTTS

both teams to score49 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

2.55#1
Rayon Sports – Sunrise
18:30 · Rwanda · Rwanda Premier League
GGmodel 51%
Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 1:1
2.50#2
ENPPI Cairo – Pyramids
19:00 · Egypt · Egyptian Premier League
GGmodel 63%
Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:2
2.32#3
Dakhleya – Tersana Giza
15:30 · Egypt (2nd division)
GGmodel 51%
Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:2
2.20#4
Hartford Athletic – Sporting JAX
00:00 · USA · USL Championship
NGmodel 51%
At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
2.16#5
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa – Maccabi Bnei Raina
18:00 · Israel (2nd division)
NGmodel 59%
At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2

ELO

result by rating4 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

2.28#1
FC Rostov – Dinamo Moscow
17:30 · Russia · Russian Premier League
2model 43%
Away winFT 0:3
2.20#2
Once Caldas – Deportes Tolima
01:15 · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
1model 47%
Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
1.70#3
Botafogo – Grêmio
00:30 · Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
1model 60%
Home winHT 1:1FT 3:2
1.66#4
Real Betis – Getafe
19:00 · Spain · La Liga
1model 59%
Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+2 wins

2.39

Hapoel Afula – Hapoel Kfar Shalem

18:00 · Israel (2nd division)

HT 1:2FT 3:3

Vejle BK – Brøndby1:22.33

1 & BTTS1 win

2.27

Stockholm Internazionale – Stocksund

19:00 · Sweden · Ettan

HT 5:0FT 5:2

2 & BTTS3 wins

4.20

FC Rosengard – Trelleborgs FF

19:00 · Sweden · Division 2

HT 1:3FT 3:4

Assyriska FF – AFC Eskilstuna2:54.00
Al Aqaba SC – Amman3:53.15

1X & BTTS7 wins

2.80

Rayon Sports – Sunrise

18:30 · Rwanda · Rwanda Premier League

HT 1:1FT 1:1

FK Ryazan – Saturn2:22.65
Hapoel Afula – Hapoel Kfar Shalem3:32.23
Bnei Yehuda – Maccabi Herzliya1:12.14
FC Ashdod – Hapoel Rishon Lezion3:22.04

X2 & BTTS9 wins

3.60

Bnei Yehuda – Maccabi Herzliya

18:00 · Israel (2nd division)

HT 1:0FT 1:1

FK Ryazan – Saturn2:23.45
FK Loznica – Javor Ivanjica2:22.24
Hapoel Afula – Hapoel Kfar Shalem3:32.19
FC Rosengard – Trelleborgs FF3:42.17

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks