Winning tips 18 September 2026

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

1. 26.001
   Colwyn Bay – Barry Town
   20:45 · Wales · Cymru Premier
   2-1model 15%
   Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 1:2FT 5:2
2. 17.002
   Karbon – Oleksandria II
   12:00 · Ukraine (3rd division)
   2-Xmodel 14%
   Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:2FT 2:2
3. 15.003
   Juve Stabia – Cesena
   20:30 · Italy (2nd division) · Serie B
   2-Xmodel 28%
   Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:1FT 1:1

4. 4
   Kolding IF – Hillerod

   2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · 19:00 · Denmark · Danish 1st Division
   HT 0:1FT 1:115.00
5. 5
   Spartak Hluk – Holesov

   2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · 16:00 · Czechia
   HT 0:1FT 2:215.00

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

1. 7.50#1
   Pafos – AEL Limassol
   19:00 · Cyprus
   2model 37%
   Away winHT 0:0FT 0:2
2. 5.00#2
   Boca Juniors Res. – Atlético Rafaela Res.
   00:00 · Argentina (reserves)
   Xmodel 46%
   DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
3. 4.50#3
   Birmingham U21 – Arsenal U23s
   14:00 · England (Premier League 2) · Premier League 2
   Xmodel 40%
   DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
4. 4.50#4
   SC Pinkafeld – SC Bad Sauerbrunn
   19:30 · Austria
   2model 38%
   Away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
5. 4.33#5
   PSG Pati – Sulut United
   14:00 · Indonesia (2nd division)
   2model 48%
   Away winHT 1:0FT 1:2

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

1. 3.25#1
   Birmingham U21 – Arsenal U23s
   14:00 · England (Premier League 2) · Premier League 2
   U 2.5model 60%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
2. 2.75#2
   Haverfordwest – Holywell Town
   20:45 · Wales · Cymru Premier
   U 2.5model 55%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
3. 2.65#3
   RAAL La Louvière U21 – Sporting Hasselt U21
   20:30 · Belgium (U21)
   U 2.5model 65%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1
4. 2.50#4
   LKS Lomza – Ząbkovia Ząbki
   16:00 · Poland
   U 2.5model 52%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
5. 2.38#5
   Langenrohr – Amstetten
   19:25 · Austria
   U 2.5model 75%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

1. 2.60#1
   LKS Lomza – Ząbkovia Ząbki
   16:00 · Poland
   NGmodel 51%
   At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:2
2. 2.37#2
   Ammanford – Pen-y-Bont FC
   20:45 · Wales · Cymru Premier
   GGmodel 62%
   Both teams scoreHT 0:4FT 1:5
3. 2.37#3
   Lyngby BK – Silkeborg
   19:00 · Denmark · Danish Superliga
   NGmodel 50%
   At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:4
4. 2.25#4
   La Viena – Masar
   15:30 · Egypt (2nd division)
   GGmodel 61%
   Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
5. 2.25#5
   Polonia Bytom – Ruch Chorzow
   20:45 · Poland · Polish I liga
   NGmodel 53%
   At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

1. 3.00#1
   Monza – Sassuolo
   20:45 · Italy · Serie A
   1model 41%
   Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
2. 2.75#2
   Brentford – Chelsea
   21:00 · England · Premier League
   1model 48%
   Home winHT 0:0FT 3:0
3. 2.05#3
   Monaco – Lens
   20:45 · France · Ligue 1
   1model 42%
   Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
4. 1.89#4
   Bristol City – Watford
   21:00 · England (Championship) · Championship
   1model 53%
   Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
5. 1.80#5
   Gent – Standard Liège
   20:45 · Belgium · Belgian Pro League
   1model 51%
   Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.