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Winning tips of the day · Saturday

Winning tips 19 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

21.00biggest winning odds54winning tips here22wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time149 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 21.001
    NK Brežice – Rudar Velenje
    · Slovenia · Slovenian Second League
    1-2model 24%
    Home ahead at half-time, away winHT 2:1FT 3:4
  2. 15.002
    Heilongjiang Lava – Dongguan United
    · China · China League One
    1-Xmodel 22%
    Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:0FT 1:1
  3. 15.003
    FC Bacău – Cetate Suceava
    · Romania (2nd division)
    1-Xmodel 16%
    Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:0FT 2:2
  1. 4
    Birmingham City – Middlesbrough
    2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · England (Championship) · Championship
    HT 0:1FT 2:214.00
  2. 5
    Balikesirspor – Utas Usakspor
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Turkey (4th division)
    HT 0:0FT 4:110.00

1X2

match result441 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 7.00#1
    Ajax – Excelsior
    · Netherlands · Eredivisie
    Xmodel 36%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
  2. 6.00#2
    Progresul – Dinamo Bucureşti II
    · Romania (3rd division)
    2model 39%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:3
  3. 5.50#3
    Menemen Bld – Ankaraspor
    · Turkey (3rd division)
    1model 41%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
  4. 5.00#4
    Atletico-MG U20 – Nacional AC MG U20
    · Brazil (Mineiro) · Campeonato Mineiro
    1model 43%
    Home winHT 2:2FT 4:2
  5. 5.00#5
    CE Carroi – Penya Encarnada
    · Andorra · Andorran Primera Divisió
    Xmodel 38%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2

Over/Under 2.5 goals

452 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.88#1
    Kisvárda FC – Paksi
    · Hungary · NB I
    U 2.5model 54%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 2.75#2
    Correcaminos UAT II – Acatlán
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    U 2.5model 80%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  3. 2.70#3
    Ciudad Nueva SC – Central Union
    · Bolivia (2nd division)
    U 2.5model 53%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.70#4
    Temperley – Club Almagro
    · Argentina · Primera Nacional
    O 2.5model 51%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 3:1
  5. 2.60#5
    Hoffenheim II – Meppen
    · Germany (3. Liga) · 3. Liga
    U 2.5model 60%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0

BTTS

both teams to score455 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.79#1
    GVVV – Kloetinge
    · Netherlands (3rd division)
    NGmodel 52%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
  2. 2.75#2
    PuiU Helsinki – MyPa
    · Finland · Ykkönen
    NGmodel 57%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0
  3. 2.75#3
    National Defense – Nagaworld FC
    · Cambodia · Cambodian League
    GGmodel 56%
    Both teams scoreHT 3:2FT 4:5
  4. 2.75#4
    Legia Warszawa II – NKP Podhale
    · Poland · Polish II liga
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
  5. 2.65#5
    Hoffenheim II – Meppen
    · Germany (3. Liga) · 3. Liga
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 1:0

ELO

result by rating52 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.55#1
    Tottenham – Aston Villa
    · England · Premier League
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 2:3
  2. 3.20#2
    Vasteras SK FK – Malmö
    · Sweden · Allsvenskan
    1model 41%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
  3. 3.00#3
    Austria Lustenau – SCR Altach
    · Austria · Austrian Bundesliga
    1model 46%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.75#4
    VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Dortmund
    · Germany · Bundesliga
    2model 39%
    Away winFT 0:1
  5. 2.65#5
    Le Mans – Lorient
    · France · Ligue 1
    1model 43%
    Home winFT 2:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+16 wins

6.62
Chesham United – Ware FC
· England (FA Cup)
HT 2:0FT 7:2
  1. Stockton Town – Bamber Bridge5:25.78
  2. Mirassol SP – Botafogo2:02.70
  3. Elgin City – Stranraer FC1:52.50
  4. Kelty Hearts – Edinburgh City1:32.47

1H BTTS3 wins

3.65
AFC Fylde – Altrincham
· England (National League) · National League
HT 1:2FT 1:2
  1. Borussia M'gladbach – Mainz3:43.50
  2. VfB Stuttgart II – Jahn Regensburg3:33.30

2H BTTS5 wins

2.85
Paris FC – Strasbourg
· France · Ligue 1
HT 1:0FT 2:1
  1. Hamburger SV – Köln2:12.70
  2. Borussia M'gladbach – Mainz3:42.65
  3. Independiente Petrolero – CD San Antonio1:32.55
  4. Werder Bremen – Augsburg3:22.36

1 & BTTS1 win

2.90
Hamilton Academical – Queen of the South
· Scotland (3rd division)
HT 3:1FT 4:1

2 & BTTS5 wins

6.00
Elgin City – Stranraer FC
· Scotland (4th division)
HT 1:3FT 1:5
  1. Eldense – Eibar1:25.40
  2. Dynamo Dresden – Hertha1:23.75
  3. Borussia M'gladbach – Mainz3:43.75
  4. Sevilla – Barcelona1:32.15

1X & BTTS24 wins

2.90
Millwall – West Ham
· England (Championship) · Championship
HT 2:0FT 2:2
  1. Athletic Club MG – Botafogo SP1:12.85
  2. Osasuna – Rayo Vallecano1:12.50
  3. Burton Albion – Mansfield2:22.48
  4. Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers2:22.48

X2 & BTTS17 wins

2.90
Oxford United – Cambridge Utd
· England (League One) · League One
HT 1:0FT 1:1
  1. Holstein Kiel – VfL Osnabruck1:12.85
  2. Colchester Utd – Cheltenham1:12.85
  3. Alianza Petrolera – Ind Santa Fe1:42.75
  4. Eldense – Eibar1:22.60

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks