Winning tips of the day · Saturday
Winning tips 19 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time149 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 21.001NK Brežice – Rudar Velenje· Slovenia · Slovenian Second League1-2model 24%Home ahead at half-time, away winHT 2:1FT 3:4
- 15.002Heilongjiang Lava – Dongguan United· China · China League One1-Xmodel 22%Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 15.003FC Bacău – Cetate Suceava· Romania (2nd division)1-Xmodel 16%Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:0FT 2:2
- 4HT 0:1FT 2:214.00Birmingham City – Middlesbrough2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · England (Championship) · Championship
- 5HT 0:0FT 4:110.00Balikesirspor – Utas UsaksporX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Turkey (4th division)
1X2
match result441 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 7.00#1Ajax – Excelsior· Netherlands · EredivisieXmodel 36%DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
- 6.00#2Progresul – Dinamo Bucureşti II· Romania (3rd division)2model 39%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:3
- 5.50#3Menemen Bld – Ankaraspor· Turkey (3rd division)1model 41%Home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 5.00#4Atletico-MG U20 – Nacional AC MG U20· Brazil (Mineiro) · Campeonato Mineiro1model 43%Home winHT 2:2FT 4:2
- 5.00#5CE Carroi – Penya Encarnada· Andorra · Andorran Primera DivisióXmodel 38%DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
Over/Under 2.5 goals
452 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.88#1Kisvárda FC – Paksi· Hungary · NB IU 2.5model 54%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.75#2Correcaminos UAT II – Acatlán· Mexico (3rd division)U 2.5model 80%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.70#3Ciudad Nueva SC – Central Union· Bolivia (2nd division)U 2.5model 53%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.70#4Temperley – Club Almagro· Argentina · Primera NacionalO 2.5model 51%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 3:1
- 2.60#5Hoffenheim II – Meppen· Germany (3. Liga) · 3. LigaU 2.5model 60%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
BTTS
both teams to score455 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.79#1GVVV – Kloetinge· Netherlands (3rd division)NGmodel 52%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 2.75#2PuiU Helsinki – MyPa· Finland · YkkönenNGmodel 57%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0
- 2.75#3National Defense – Nagaworld FC· Cambodia · Cambodian LeagueGGmodel 56%Both teams scoreHT 3:2FT 4:5
- 2.75#4Legia Warszawa II – NKP Podhale· Poland · Polish II ligaNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 2.65#5Hoffenheim II – Meppen· Germany (3. Liga) · 3. LigaNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 1:0
ELO
result by rating52 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.55#1Tottenham – Aston Villa· England · Premier League2model 40%Away winHT 0:1FT 2:3
- 3.20#2Vasteras SK FK – Malmö· Sweden · Allsvenskan1model 41%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 3.00#3Austria Lustenau – SCR Altach· Austria · Austrian Bundesliga1model 46%Home winHT 2:0FT 2:0
- 2.75#4VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Dortmund· Germany · Bundesliga2model 39%Away winFT 0:1
- 2.65#5Le Mans – Lorient· France · Ligue 11model 43%Home winFT 2:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+16 wins
6.62- Stockton Town – Bamber Bridge5:25.78
- Mirassol SP – Botafogo2:02.70
- Elgin City – Stranraer FC1:52.50
- Kelty Hearts – Edinburgh City1:32.47
1H BTTS3 wins
3.65- Borussia M'gladbach – Mainz3:43.50
- VfB Stuttgart II – Jahn Regensburg3:33.30
2H BTTS5 wins
2.85- Hamburger SV – Köln2:12.70
- Borussia M'gladbach – Mainz3:42.65
- Independiente Petrolero – CD San Antonio1:32.55
- Werder Bremen – Augsburg3:22.36
1 & BTTS1 win
2.902 & BTTS5 wins
6.00- Eldense – Eibar1:25.40
- Dynamo Dresden – Hertha1:23.75
- Borussia M'gladbach – Mainz3:43.75
- Sevilla – Barcelona1:32.15
1X & BTTS24 wins
2.90- Athletic Club MG – Botafogo SP1:12.85
- Osasuna – Rayo Vallecano1:12.50
- Burton Albion – Mansfield2:22.48
- Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers2:22.48
X2 & BTTS17 wins
2.90- Holstein Kiel – VfL Osnabruck1:12.85
- Colchester Utd – Cheltenham1:12.85
- Alianza Petrolera – Ind Santa Fe1:42.75
- Eldense – Eibar1:22.60
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.