Winning tips of the day · Sunday
Winning tips 20 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time140 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 35.001Vitória – Cruzeiro· Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A1-2model 16%Home ahead at half-time, away winHT 1:0FT 1:3
- 26.002MFK Skalica – Sport Podbrezova· Slovakia · Slovak First League2-2model 16%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 19.003Real Salt Lake – Vancouver Whitecaps· USA · MLS2-2model 16%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:2FT 0:3
- 4HT 2:0FT 3:019.00AD Os Limianos – SCM Aljustrelense1-1 · Home ahead at half-time, home win · · Portugal (cup)
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:217.00Santa Cruz FC – Quepos CambuteX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Costa Rica · Costa Rican Segunda División
1X2
match result370 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 11.00#1Hai Phong FC – Than Quang Ninh· Vietnam (cup)2model 41%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 9.50#2FC Madalena – Lusitânia FC· Portugal (cup)2model 73%Away winHT 0:2FT 1:3
- 9.50#3Guarda – GD Chaves· Portugal (cup)2model 43%Away winHT 0:3FT 2:3
- 5.25#4CD Alcains – Vitória Setúbal· Portugal (cup)2model 45%Away winHT 0:2FT 0:2
- 5.00#5Paet Riew City – Banbueng City· Thailand (3rd division)2model 79%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:4
Over/Under 2.5 goals
415 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.70#1AZ Alkmaar – SC Telstar· Netherlands · EredivisieU 2.5model 55%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.70#2Virginia – San Martin de Yacuiba· Bolivia (2nd division)U 2.5model 63%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.70#3Amatitlan – Juventud Copalera· Guatemala · Guatemalan Segunda DivisiónO 2.5model 60%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 2.70#4Gomerano – Huehuetecos· Guatemala · Guatemalan Segunda DivisiónO 2.5model 59%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 2.70#5Peten – CSD Sacachispas· Guatemala · Guatemalan Segunda DivisiónO 2.5model 55%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:1
BTTS
both teams to score426 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.83#1Åstorps FF – Jonsered· Sweden · Division 2NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.83#2JFK Ventspils – Skanstes· Latvia (2nd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.62#3CA Lugano – Estrella del Sur· ArgentinaGGmodel 55%Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 2.60#4FK Kozlovice – FC Brumov· CzechiaNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 3:0FT 5:0
- 2.56#5Zelzate – Houtvenne· Belgium (3rd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:3
ELO
result by rating51 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.70#1Corinthians – Fluminense· Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A2model 41%Away winHT 0:1FT 1:3
- 3.10#2Parma Calcio 1913 – Genoa· Italy · Serie A1model 46%Home winFT 2:1
- 2.90#3Deportivo Pasto – Once Caldas· Colombia · Categoría Primera A1model 42%Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.85#4Auxerre – Brest· France · Ligue 11model 44%Home winHT 0:1FT 2:1
- 2.75#5Sonderjyske – Randers FC· Denmark · Danish Superliga1model 44%Home winHT 2:1FT 4:2
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+56 wins
3.00- Estrela Amadora – Académico Viseu0:23.00
- Campobasso – ASD Pineto Calcio2:22.90
- Gyeongju KHNP – Changwon City2:12.85
- Keshla FK – Araz Nakhchivan2:12.80
2H BTTS5 wins
3.25- Norwich City – Bolton Wanderers3:43.00
- Fulham – Manchester United1:12.65
- Olympique Marseille – PSG1:22.65
- Essen – Hansa Rostock1:12.55
1 & BTTS34 wins
6.20- Sarnese – Gelbison Cilento3:15.20
- Dos Hermanas CF – Linense3:14.80
- VPV Purmersteijn – ADO '202:14.80
- Gyeongju KHNP – Changwon City2:14.50
2 & BTTS17 wins
8.20- Londrina – Fortaleza1:26.20
- Teleoptik – Borac Cacak1:25.40
- Trastevere Calcio – Paganese Calcio1:65.40
- Zamora – Metropolitanos1:34.50
1X & BTTS114 wins
3.40- CSM Ramnicu Valcea – Bihor Oradea3:23.25
- Milford FC – Durban City1:13.05
- AC Horsens – AGF Aarhus2:23.00
- Parma – Genoa2:12.95
X2 & BTTS85 wins
5.40- Djurgårdens – Elfsborg1:23.75
- Amora FC – UD da Serra3:43.55
- CA Lugano – Estrella del Sur1:13.50
- Resources Capital – South China AA1:13.35
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.