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Winning tips of the day · Monday

Winning tips 21 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

5.50biggest winning odds38winning tips here15wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time9 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 5.501
    Chievo – Ciserano
    · Italy (4th division)
    X-1model 33%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
  2. 5.002
    Bandeirante U20 – Bragantino U20
    · Brazil (U20)
    2-2model 22%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 0:6
  3. 5.003
    Bogotá FC – Barranquilla FC
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera B
    X-1model 17%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
  1. 4
    Petrzalka – FK Pohronie
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Slovakia · Slovak 2. Liga
    HT 0:0FT 1:04.50
  2. 5
    Luís Ángel Firpo – Atlético Balboa
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · El Salvador · Salvadoran Primera División
    HT 1:1FT 3:14.33

1X2

match result42 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 4.33#1
    Ingenieros – 26 de Febrero
    · Bolivia (2nd division)
    2model 56%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 4.20#2
    Atlético San Luis W – Pachuca W
    · Mexico (women)
    1model 44%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
  3. 4.20#3
    Sacachispas – Victoriano Arenas
    · Argentina
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
  4. 3.65#4
    Werder Bremen W – Stuttgart W
    · Germany (women)
    Xmodel 36%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
  5. 3.60#5
    Ängelholms FF – Eskilsminne
    · Sweden · Division 2
    Xmodel 36%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 2:2

Over/Under 2.5 goals

41 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.50#1
    Backa Topola – Dubočica Leskovac
    · Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First League
    U 2.5model 60%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  2. 2.27#2
    Werder Bremen W – Stuttgart W
    · Germany (women)
    U 2.5model 70%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
  3. 2.15#3
    Suchitepéquez – Club Xelajú MC
    · Guatemala
    O 2.5model 60%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:2FT 2:2
  4. 2.06#4
    Umm Salal SC – Kharaitiyat
    · Qatar (cup)
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
  5. 2.03#5
    Svoge – Vihren Sandanski
    · Bulgaria · Bulgarian Second League
    O 2.5model 50%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 3:2

BTTS

both teams to score48 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.25#1
    Claypole – Yupanqui
    · Argentina
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 2:1
  2. 2.20#2
    LD Alajuelense – Inter San Carlos
    · Costa Rica · Liga FPD
    NGmodel 66%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 5:0
  3. 2.20#3
    Lusail City FC – Markhiya SC
    · Qatar (cup)
    NGmodel 64%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
  4. 2.13#4
    Ituano U20 – Palmeiras U20
    · Brazil (U20)
    GGmodel 84%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:1
  5. 2.10#5
    Bandeirante U20 – Bragantino U20
    · Brazil (U20)
    NGmodel 54%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:6

ELO

result by rating4 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 3.30#1
    CA Aldosivi – Atlético Tucumán
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 39%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
  2. 2.25#2
    Atlético PR – Bahia
    · Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
    1model 42%
    Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
  3. 2.20#3
    Vélez Sársfield – CA Tigre
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 51%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 3:2
  4. 1.44#4
    Belgrano Córdoba – Estudiantes Río Cuarto
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 41%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+3 wins

2.60
Montana – Hebar Pazardzhik
· Bulgaria · Bulgarian Second League
HT 0:3FT 0:5
  1. Pachuca CF – Club Tijuana2:22.55
  2. Deportivo Toluca – Santos Laguna2:31.94

1 & BTTS1 win

4.70
Benjamín Aceval – CA Tembetary
· Paraguay (2nd division)
HT 0:0FT 2:1

1X & BTTS8 wins

2.90
FC Arlanda – Hammarby TTF
· Sweden · Ettan
HT 3:0FT 4:2
  1. Deportes Tolima – América de Cali1:12.70
  2. Claypole – Yupanqui2:12.55
  3. Benjamín Aceval – CA Tembetary2:12.35
  4. LDU – Univ Católica Quito2:12.32

X2 & BTTS11 wins

3.20
FK Napredak – FK Smederevo
· Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First League
HT 1:2FT 1:4
  1. Pachuca CF – Club Tijuana2:23.10
  2. Deportes Tolima – América de Cali1:13.05
  3. Otelul Galati – Corvinul Hunedoara2:32.80
  4. Jedinstvo Ub – FK Loznica2:32.65

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks