Winning tips of the day · Monday
Winning tips 21 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time9 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 5.501Chievo – Ciserano· Italy (4th division)X-1model 33%Level at half-time, home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
- 5.002Bandeirante U20 – Bragantino U20· Brazil (U20)2-2model 22%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 0:6
- 5.003Bogotá FC – Barranquilla FC· Colombia · Categoría Primera BX-1model 17%Level at half-time, home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
- 4HT 0:0FT 1:04.50Petrzalka – FK PohronieX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Slovakia · Slovak 2. Liga
- 5HT 1:1FT 3:14.33Luís Ángel Firpo – Atlético BalboaX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · El Salvador · Salvadoran Primera División
1X2
match result42 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 4.33#1Ingenieros – 26 de Febrero· Bolivia (2nd division)2model 56%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 4.20#2Atlético San Luis W – Pachuca W· Mexico (women)1model 44%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
- 4.20#3Sacachispas – Victoriano Arenas· Argentina2model 40%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 3.65#4Werder Bremen W – Stuttgart W· Germany (women)Xmodel 36%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 3.60#5Ängelholms FF – Eskilsminne· Sweden · Division 2Xmodel 36%DrawHT 1:0FT 2:2
Over/Under 2.5 goals
41 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.50#1Backa Topola – Dubočica Leskovac· Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First LeagueU 2.5model 60%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.27#2Werder Bremen W – Stuttgart W· Germany (women)U 2.5model 70%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.15#3Suchitepéquez – Club Xelajú MC· GuatemalaO 2.5model 60%Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:2FT 2:2
- 2.06#4Umm Salal SC – Kharaitiyat· Qatar (cup)U 2.5model 52%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.03#5Svoge – Vihren Sandanski· Bulgaria · Bulgarian Second LeagueO 2.5model 50%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 3:2
BTTS
both teams to score48 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.25#1Claypole – Yupanqui· ArgentinaGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 2:1
- 2.20#2LD Alajuelense – Inter San Carlos· Costa Rica · Liga FPDNGmodel 66%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 5:0
- 2.20#3Lusail City FC – Markhiya SC· Qatar (cup)NGmodel 64%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.13#4Ituano U20 – Palmeiras U20· Brazil (U20)GGmodel 84%Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.10#5Bandeirante U20 – Bragantino U20· Brazil (U20)NGmodel 54%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:6
ELO
result by rating4 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 3.30#1CA Aldosivi – Atlético Tucumán· Argentina · Liga Profesional1model 39%Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.25#2Atlético PR – Bahia· Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A1model 42%Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
- 2.20#3Vélez Sársfield – CA Tigre· Argentina · Liga Profesional1model 51%Home winHT 1:0FT 3:2
- 1.44#4Belgrano Córdoba – Estudiantes Río Cuarto· Argentina · Liga Profesional1model 41%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+3 wins
2.60- Pachuca CF – Club Tijuana2:22.55
- Deportivo Toluca – Santos Laguna2:31.94
1 & BTTS1 win
4.701X & BTTS8 wins
2.90- Deportes Tolima – América de Cali1:12.70
- Claypole – Yupanqui2:12.55
- Benjamín Aceval – CA Tembetary2:12.35
- LDU – Univ Católica Quito2:12.32
X2 & BTTS11 wins
3.20- Pachuca CF – Club Tijuana2:23.10
- Deportes Tolima – América de Cali1:13.05
- Otelul Galati – Corvinul Hunedoara2:32.80
- Jedinstvo Ub – FK Loznica2:32.65
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.