Winning tips of the day · Tuesday
Winning tips 22 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time22 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 6.501Chippenham – Yate Town· England (FA Cup)X-Xmodel 17%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 6.002Mes Soongoun – Mes Rafsanjan· Iran (2nd division)X-Xmodel 22%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 6.003Atlético FC – Tigres FC· Colombia · Categoría Primera BX-2model 18%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:3
- 4HT 0:6FT 0:115.50Sing Ubon – Suphanburi FC2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · · Thailand (cup)
- 5HT 0:1FT 1:25.50Nongkhae Police FC – Nong Bua Pitchaya2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · · Thailand (cup)
1X2
match result66 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 4.10#1Accrington Stanley – Sunderland U23s· England (EFL Trophy)Xmodel 35%DrawHT 1:2FT 3:3
- 3.70#2Rochdale – Liverpool U23s· England (EFL Trophy)Xmodel 41%DrawHT 1:1FT 3:3
- 3.60#3Chippenham – Yate Town· England (FA Cup)Xmodel 44%DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 3.60#4Academico Viseu U23 – Estoril U23· Portugal (U23)Xmodel 39%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 3.60#5Real Madrid W – PSG W· UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions LeagueXmodel 39%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
Over/Under 2.5 goals
74 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.28#1Real Madrid W – PSG W· UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions LeagueU 2.5model 54%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.15#2Al Oruba (UAE) – Dubai City Club· UAE (cup)U 2.5model 53%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.14#3York City – Rotherham· England (EFL Trophy)U 2.5model 53%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.12#4Bury Town – Hitchin Town· England · Premier LeagueU 2.5model 65%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.10#5Axi Adunații-Copăceni – Oxigen Bucureşti· Romania (3rd division)U 2.5model 70%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
BTTS
both teams to score71 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.38#1Luton Town – Ipswich U23· England (EFL Trophy)NGmodel 60%At least one team fails to scoreHT 3:0FT 6:0
- 2.37#2Fraserburgh FC – Cove Rangers· ScotlandNGmodel 57%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:5
- 2.37#3Santos Laguna W – Cruz Azul W· Mexico (women)NGmodel 52%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.37#4Nueva Chicago – Patronato Paraná· Argentina · Primera NacionalGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 2.23#5Gainsborough – Leamington· England (FA Cup)NGmodel 52%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0
ELO
result by rating1 winThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.20#1Lanús – Estudiantes La Plata· Argentina · Liga Profesional1model 36%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+6 wins
2.12- Excelsior '31 – AFC '34 Alkmaar4:32.08
- Crewe Alexandra – Aston Villa U23s4:11.97
- Bayern Munich W – Man City W2:21.96
- Barnsley – Leeds United U213:41.81
2H BTTS2 wins
2.65- Crewe Alexandra – Aston Villa U23s4:12.60
1 & BTTS3 wins
2.55- Austria Klagenfurt – Donau Klagenfurt2:12.50
- ASA Târgu Mureș – CS Dinamo București4:32.44
2 & BTTS3 wins
4.10- Stourbridge FC – Real Bedford1:43.30
- Groene Ster – AFC Amsterdam1:62.57
1X & BTTS16 wins
2.80- Worksop Town – AFC Telford Utd5:22.35
- Chichester City – Chertsey Town2:22.33
- Cheltenham – Exeter City2:22.26
- Leek Town – Hyde FC2:12.16
X2 & BTTS13 wins
4.90- Burton Albion – Nottingham Forest U211:13.25
- Real Madrid W – PSG W1:12.80
- Academico Viseu U23 – Estoril U231:12.55
- Rochdale – Liverpool U23s3:32.50
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.