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Winning tips of the day · Tuesday

Winning tips 22 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

6.50biggest winning odds44winning tips here14wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time22 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 6.501
    Chippenham – Yate Town
    · England (FA Cup)
    X-Xmodel 17%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
  2. 6.002
    Mes Soongoun – Mes Rafsanjan
    · Iran (2nd division)
    X-Xmodel 22%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 6.003
    Atlético FC – Tigres FC
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera B
    X-2model 18%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:3
  1. 4
    Sing Ubon – Suphanburi FC
    2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · · Thailand (cup)
    HT 0:6FT 0:115.50
  2. 5
    Nongkhae Police FC – Nong Bua Pitchaya
    2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · · Thailand (cup)
    HT 0:1FT 1:25.50

1X2

match result66 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 4.10#1
    Accrington Stanley – Sunderland U23s
    · England (EFL Trophy)
    Xmodel 35%
    DrawHT 1:2FT 3:3
  2. 3.70#2
    Rochdale – Liverpool U23s
    · England (EFL Trophy)
    Xmodel 41%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 3:3
  3. 3.60#3
    Chippenham – Yate Town
    · England (FA Cup)
    Xmodel 44%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
  4. 3.60#4
    Academico Viseu U23 – Estoril U23
    · Portugal (U23)
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
  5. 3.60#5
    Real Madrid W – PSG W
    · UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

74 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.28#1
    Real Madrid W – PSG W
    · UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
    U 2.5model 54%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
  2. 2.15#2
    Al Oruba (UAE) – Dubai City Club
    · UAE (cup)
    U 2.5model 53%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
  3. 2.14#3
    York City – Rotherham
    · England (EFL Trophy)
    U 2.5model 53%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
  4. 2.12#4
    Bury Town – Hitchin Town
    · England · Premier League
    U 2.5model 65%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
  5. 2.10#5
    Axi Adunații-Copăceni – Oxigen Bucureşti
    · Romania (3rd division)
    U 2.5model 70%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1

BTTS

both teams to score71 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.38#1
    Luton Town – Ipswich U23
    · England (EFL Trophy)
    NGmodel 60%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 3:0FT 6:0
  2. 2.37#2
    Fraserburgh FC – Cove Rangers
    · Scotland
    NGmodel 57%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:5
  3. 2.37#3
    Santos Laguna W – Cruz Azul W
    · Mexico (women)
    NGmodel 52%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.37#4
    Nueva Chicago – Patronato Paraná
    · Argentina · Primera Nacional
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:1FT 1:1
  5. 2.23#5
    Gainsborough – Leamington
    · England (FA Cup)
    NGmodel 52%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0

ELO

result by rating1 win

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.20#1
    Lanús – Estudiantes La Plata
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 36%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+6 wins

2.12
Berwick Rangers – Stranraer FC
· Scotland
HT 1:1FT 3:2
  1. Excelsior '31 – AFC '34 Alkmaar4:32.08
  2. Crewe Alexandra – Aston Villa U23s4:11.97
  3. Bayern Munich W – Man City W2:21.96
  4. Barnsley – Leeds United U213:41.81

2H BTTS2 wins

2.65
Barnsley – Leeds United U21
· England (EFL Trophy)
HT 0:3FT 3:4
  1. Crewe Alexandra – Aston Villa U23s4:12.60

1 & BTTS3 wins

2.55
Crewe Alexandra – Aston Villa U23s
· England (EFL Trophy)
HT 2:0FT 4:1
  1. Austria Klagenfurt – Donau Klagenfurt2:12.50
  2. ASA Târgu Mureș – CS Dinamo București4:32.44

2 & BTTS3 wins

4.10
Stratford Town – Bromsgrove Sporting
· England · Premier League
HT 0:0FT 2:3
  1. Stourbridge FC – Real Bedford1:43.30
  2. Groene Ster – AFC Amsterdam1:62.57

1X & BTTS16 wins

2.80
Formartine United – Montrose FC
· Scotland
HT 1:0FT 3:2
  1. Worksop Town – AFC Telford Utd5:22.35
  2. Chichester City – Chertsey Town2:22.33
  3. Cheltenham – Exeter City2:22.26
  4. Leek Town – Hyde FC2:12.16

X2 & BTTS13 wins

4.90
Barnsley – Leeds United U21
· England (EFL Trophy)
HT 0:3FT 3:4
  1. Burton Albion – Nottingham Forest U211:13.25
  2. Real Madrid W – PSG W1:12.80
  3. Academico Viseu U23 – Estoril U231:12.55
  4. Rochdale – Liverpool U23s3:32.50

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks