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Winning tips of the day · Wednesday

Winning tips 23 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

13.00biggest winning odds38winning tips here15wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time19 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 13.001
    Samui United – Chainat FC
    · Thailand (cup)
    1-Xmodel 23%
    Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:0FT 1:1
  2. 7.002
    Levoca – Liptovsky Mikulas
    · Slovakia (cup)
    2-2model 37%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
  3. 7.003
    Sarmiento Res. – Atlético Rafaela Res.
    · Argentina (reserves)
    X-1model 25%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 3:1
  1. 4
    Lanús Res. – Banfield Res.
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Argentina (reserves)
    HT 0:0FT 2:17.00
  2. 5
    OH Leuven W – Roma W
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
    HT 0:0FT 0:07.00

1X2

match result61 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 8.00#1
    IJsselmeervogels – Gemert
    · Netherlands (cup)
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:3FT 0:3
  2. 6.00#2
    Mladost Petrinja – NK Vrapce
    · Croatia (3rd division)
    2model 61%
    Away winFT 1:2
  3. 3.90#3
    OH Leuven W – Roma W
    · UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
    Xmodel 45%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
  4. 3.50#4
    Al Jazira Al Hamra – Forte Virtus
    · UAE (cup)
    1model 44%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
  5. 3.50#5
    Viitorul Arad – Ghiroda
    · Romania (3rd division)
    Xmodel 40%
    DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1

Over/Under 2.5 goals

49 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.55#1
    Turks & Caicos Islands – Montserrat
    · CONCACAF Nations League
    U 2.5model 56%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 2.53#2
    VV Zwaluwen – VPV Purmersteijn
    · Netherlands (cup)
    U 2.5model 57%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:1
  3. 2.28#3
    Bataeh SC – Palm City 365
    · UAE (cup)
    U 2.5model 57%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
  4. 2.15#4
    Dreams FC – Medeama SC
    · Ghana · Ghana Premier League
    O 2.5model 61%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 2:2
  5. 2.15#5
    NK Samobor – Trešnjevka
    · Croatia (3rd division)
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsFT 2:0

BTTS

both teams to score51 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 4.50#1
    Barcelona W – Paris W
    · UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
    GGmodel 69%
    Both teams scoreHT 4:1FT 5:2
  2. 2.69#2
    Cumnock Juniors – Troon
    · Scotland (5th division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 4:0
  3. 2.37#3
    Birmingham Legion – Brooklyn FC
    · USA · USL Championship
    NGmodel 56%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 4:0
  4. 2.25#4
    Petrolul Hârtieşti – Unirea Bascov
    · Romania (3rd division)
    NGmodel 73%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:6
  5. 2.25#5
    Bataeh SC – Palm City 365
    · UAE (cup)
    NGmodel 54%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2

ELO

result by rating1 win

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 1.28#1
    Ind Medellin – Jaguares de Córdoba
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    1model 56%
    Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+6 wins

2.70
Dreams FC – Medeama SC
· Ghana · Ghana Premier League
HT 1:1FT 2:2
  1. Ind Medellin – Jaguares de Córdoba2:12.34
  2. Ostrov – Brandys n. Labem2:32.05
  3. Sparta Nijkerk – UDI '193:11.84
  4. TOGB – Rohda Raalte4:61.62

1 & BTTS3 wins

3.05
Barcelona W – Paris W
· UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
HT 4:1FT 5:2
  1. Ind Medellin – Jaguares de Córdoba2:13.05
  2. Machida Zelvia – Tochigi Uva2:12.80

2 & BTTS1 win

2.28
TOGB – Rohda Raalte
· Netherlands (cup)
HT 2:0FT 4:6

1X & BTTS6 wins

2.85
Barcelona W – Paris W
· UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
HT 4:1FT 5:2
  1. Iraq – Oman1:12.38
  2. Ind Medellin – Jaguares de Córdoba2:12.28
  3. Dreams FC – Medeama SC2:22.19
  4. Machida Zelvia – Tochigi Uva2:12.07

X2 & BTTS3 wins

3.10
FC Dimona – Ironi Kiryat Malakhi
· Israel (3rd division)
HT 0:1FT 1:5
  1. Iraq – Oman1:13.00
  2. Rubin Kazan U19 – Krasnodar U192:41.73

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks