Winning tips of the day · Wednesday
Winning tips 23 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time19 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 13.001Samui United – Chainat FC· Thailand (cup)1-Xmodel 23%Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 7.002Levoca – Liptovsky Mikulas· Slovakia (cup)2-2model 37%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 7.003Sarmiento Res. – Atlético Rafaela Res.· Argentina (reserves)X-1model 25%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 3:1
- 4HT 0:0FT 2:17.00Lanús Res. – Banfield Res.X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Argentina (reserves)
- 5HT 0:0FT 0:07.00OH Leuven W – Roma WX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions League
1X2
match result61 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 8.00#1IJsselmeervogels – Gemert· Netherlands (cup)2model 40%Away winHT 0:3FT 0:3
- 6.00#2Mladost Petrinja – NK Vrapce· Croatia (3rd division)2model 61%Away winFT 1:2
- 3.90#3OH Leuven W – Roma W· UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions LeagueXmodel 45%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 3.50#4Al Jazira Al Hamra – Forte Virtus· UAE (cup)1model 44%Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 3.50#5Viitorul Arad – Ghiroda· Romania (3rd division)Xmodel 40%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
Over/Under 2.5 goals
49 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.55#1Turks & Caicos Islands – Montserrat· CONCACAF Nations LeagueU 2.5model 56%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 2.53#2VV Zwaluwen – VPV Purmersteijn· Netherlands (cup)U 2.5model 57%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 2.28#3Bataeh SC – Palm City 365· UAE (cup)U 2.5model 57%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 2.15#4Dreams FC – Medeama SC· Ghana · Ghana Premier LeagueO 2.5model 61%Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 2:2
- 2.15#5NK Samobor – Trešnjevka· Croatia (3rd division)U 2.5model 52%Under 2.5 goalsFT 2:0
BTTS
both teams to score51 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 4.50#1Barcelona W – Paris W· UEFA Champions League (women) · UEFA Women's Champions LeagueGGmodel 69%Both teams scoreHT 4:1FT 5:2
- 2.69#2Cumnock Juniors – Troon· Scotland (5th division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 4:0
- 2.37#3Birmingham Legion – Brooklyn FC· USA · USL ChampionshipNGmodel 56%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 4:0
- 2.25#4Petrolul Hârtieşti – Unirea Bascov· Romania (3rd division)NGmodel 73%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:6
- 2.25#5Bataeh SC – Palm City 365· UAE (cup)NGmodel 54%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2
ELO
result by rating1 winThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 1.28#1Ind Medellin – Jaguares de Córdoba· Colombia · Categoría Primera A1model 56%Home winHT 1:1FT 2:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+6 wins
2.70- Ind Medellin – Jaguares de Córdoba2:12.34
- Ostrov – Brandys n. Labem2:32.05
- Sparta Nijkerk – UDI '193:11.84
- TOGB – Rohda Raalte4:61.62
1 & BTTS3 wins
3.05- Ind Medellin – Jaguares de Córdoba2:13.05
- Machida Zelvia – Tochigi Uva2:12.80
2 & BTTS1 win
2.281X & BTTS6 wins
2.85- Iraq – Oman1:12.38
- Ind Medellin – Jaguares de Córdoba2:12.28
- Dreams FC – Medeama SC2:22.19
- Machida Zelvia – Tochigi Uva2:12.07
X2 & BTTS3 wins
3.10- Iraq – Oman1:13.00
- Rubin Kazan U19 – Krasnodar U192:41.73
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.