Winning tips of the day · Thursday
Winning tips 24 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time16 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 15.001Vancouver FC – York 9 FC· Canada · Canadian Premier League2-Xmodel 18%Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:2FT 3:3
- 6.502Portuguesa U20 – Ponte Preta U20· Brazil (U20)X-Xmodel 18%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 5.503Kosovo – Ireland· UEFA Nations LeagueX-1model 16%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 4HT 0:0FT 2:05.00Seattle Sounders – Real Salt LakeX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · USA · MLS
- 5HT 1:0FT 2:04.50Salzburger AK – Thalgau1-1 · Home ahead at half-time, home win · · Austria
1X2
match result37 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 3.75#1Netherlands – Germany· UEFA Nations LeagueXmodel 50%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 3.75#2Vancouver FC – York 9 FC· Canada · Canadian Premier LeagueXmodel 39%DrawHT 1:2FT 3:3
- 3.70#3Portuguesa U20 – Ponte Preta U20· Brazil (U20)Xmodel 39%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 3.50#4Hapoel Hadera – Maccabi Ironi Ashdod· Israel (3rd division)Xmodel 42%DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 3.25#5Libya – Botswana· Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiersXmodel 39%DrawHT 0:2FT 2:2
Over/Under 2.5 goals
34 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.43#1Seattle Sounders – Real Salt Lake· USA · MLSU 2.5model 64%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.28#2CA Tembetary – Sportivo Iteño· ParaguayU 2.5model 57%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.20#3Y Felinheli – Meliden· Wales (3rd division)O 2.5model 82%Over 2.5 goalsHT 3:0FT 11:0
- 2.19#4Belgium U21 – Belarus U21· UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)U 2.5model 53%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.07#5Passo Fundo RS – Guarani RS· Brazil (Gaúcho) · Campeonato GaúchoO 2.5model 78%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:1
BTTS
both teams to score29 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.50#1Libya – Botswana· Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiersGGmodel 57%Both teams scoreHT 0:2FT 2:2
- 2.37#2Seattle Sounders – Real Salt Lake· USA · MLSNGmodel 56%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.25#3Aruba – Antigua & Barbuda· CONCACAF Nations LeagueNGmodel 60%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 2.15#4Kahraba Ismailia – Pharco· Egypt (2nd division)GGmodel 55%Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 3:1
- 2.15#5Team – Dakhleya· Egypt (2nd division)GGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:2
ELO
result by rating2 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 1.75#1Seattle Sounders – Real Salt Lake· USA · MLS1model 58%Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 1.44#2América de Cali – Rionegro Águilas· Colombia · Categoría Primera A1model 54%Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1 & BTTS1 win
5.201X & BTTS12 wins
2.95- Mauritania – Central African Rep3:12.85
- Cameroon – Comoros3:12.85
- Kahraba Ismailia – Pharco3:12.75
- FC Elva – JK Tallinna Kalev3:22.55
X2 & BTTS5 wins
3.25- Andorra – Malta1:23.15
- Maccabi Herzliya – Kiryat Yam SC1:32.25
- Netherlands – Germany1:12.19
- Ironi Modi'in – FC Ashdod1:32.09
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.