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Winning tips of the day · Friday

Winning tips 25 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

6.00biggest winning odds42winning tips here19wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time26 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 6.001
    Atlético Nacional – Millonarios
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    X-Xmodel 22%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:1FT 1:1
  2. 6.002
    Cayman Islands – Dominica
    · CONCACAF Nations League
    X-Xmodel 19%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 6.003
    Kerry – Wexford Youths
    · Ireland (2nd division)
    X-1model 16%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
  1. 4
    Nigeria – Madagascar
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers
    HT 1:1FT 2:15.50
  2. 5
    Deportiva Agropecuaria – Deportivo Llacuaba
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · Peru (2nd division)
    HT 0:0FT 0:05.50

1X2

match result74 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 5.25#1
    Union Vöcklamarkt – Union Edelweiss
    · Austria
    2model 53%
    Away winHT 0:2FT 0:3
  2. 5.25#2
    TSV Neumarkt – USC Eugendorf
    · Austria
    2model 43%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 3:4
  3. 5.25#3
    Ostermiething – Andorf / Sigharting
    · Austria
    2model 39%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 1:3
  4. 4.50#4
    Leoben – SC Bruck an der Mur
    · Austria
    2model 65%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 1:2
  5. 4.10#5
    Cayman Islands – Dominica
    · CONCACAF Nations League
    Xmodel 37%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0

Over/Under 2.5 goals

95 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.62#1
    SV Wörgl – Haiming
    · Austria
    U 2.5model 64%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
  2. 2.55#2
    ATSV Wolfsberg – Bleiburg
    · Austria (Styria/Carinthia)
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
  3. 2.35#3
    Rwanda – Liberia
    · Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers
    O 2.5model 53%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 3:1FT 3:1
  4. 2.25#4
    Aberystwyth Town – Swansea Univ.
    · Wales
    U 2.5model 83%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  5. 2.18#5
    Afan Lido – Newport City
    · Wales
    U 2.5model 75%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0

BTTS

both teams to score94 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.85#1
    Algeria – Zambia
    · Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers
    GGmodel 63%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 3:1
  2. 2.63#2
    Halbturn – Oberpullendorf
    · Austria
    NGmodel 55%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:2FT 0:4
  3. 2.46#3
    Aberystwyth Town – Swansea Univ.
    · Wales
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
  4. 2.36#4
    Afan Lido – Newport City
    · Wales
    NGmodel 52%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
  5. 2.34#5
    Palmeiras U20 – Ituano U20
    · Brazil (U20)
    GGmodel 85%
    Both teams scoreHT 1:1FT 2:1

ELO

result by rating1 win

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 1.52#1
    Girona – Albacete Balompie
    · Spain · Segunda División
    1model 53%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 2:0

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+13 wins

2.95
Cyprus U21 – Romania U21
· UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
HT 0:2FT 0:3
  1. Puerto Cabello II – Atlético El Vigía1:12.56
  2. Treaty United – Finn Harps2:12.44
  3. Girona – Albacete Balompie2:02.35
  4. Swit NDM – LKS Lomza4:02.18

1 & BTTS4 wins

3.60
Wisła Płock II – Jagiellonia II
· Poland
HT 0:0FT 2:1
  1. Treaty United – Finn Harps2:13.40
  2. Landvetter IS – Torslanda IK3:12.75
  3. Hammarby TTF – Stocksund2:12.21

2 & BTTS2 wins

2.42
Vänersborgs IF – Ahlafors
· Sweden · Division 2
HT 1:0FT 1:2
  1. Slavoj Vysehrad – Sokol Hostouň1:21.98

1X & BTTS21 wins

3.35
Hellerup IK – FC Roskilde
· Denmark · Danish 2nd Division
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. KäPa Helsinki – FC Haka3:23.35
  2. Algeria – Zambia3:13.30
  3. Gambia – Somalia2:13.20
  4. Burkina Faso – Benin1:13.05

X2 & BTTS19 wins

3.65
Bangor City – Buckley Town
· Wales
HT 2:3FT 2:6
  1. FC Pisek – Pribram B1:13.15
  2. Dalstorps IF – IF Böljan1:12.70
  3. Coleraine FC – Linfield Belfast1:32.70
  4. Mozambique – Senegal1:12.65

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks