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Winning tips of the day · Saturday

Winning tips 26 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

24.00biggest winning odds53winning tips here33wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time118 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 24.001
    Ferroviária U20 – Flamengo SP U20
    · Brazil (U20)
    X-1model 15%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
  2. 17.002
    Cove Rangers – Aberdeen Youth
    · Scotland
    2-1model 22%
    Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 0:1FT 2:1
  3. 17.003
    US Quevilly – Amiens
    · France (National) · Championnat National
    1-Xmodel 16%
    Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:0FT 1:1
  1. 4
    Jonsered – Hestrafors
    2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · Sweden · Division 2
    HT 0:1FT 1:115.00
  2. 5
    El Paso Locomotive – FC Tulsa
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · USA · USL Championship
    HT 1:1FT 1:115.00

1X2

match result337 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 4.75#1
    Dunston UTS – Avro
    · England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy
    2model 44%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 4.75#2
    Thame – Chichester City
    · England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy
    2model 41%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
  3. 4.75#3
    Tiverton Town – Gosport Borough
    · England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 1:3
  4. 4.75#4
    Stanway Rovers FC – Faversham Town
    · England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy
    2model 39%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
  5. 4.40#5
    Landshut – Pfaffenhofen
    · Germany
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0

Over/Under 2.5 goals

334 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.75#1
    Charlton Athletic W – Man City W
    · England (women) · Women's Super League
    U 2.5model 53%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:1
  2. 3.00#2
    Korona II Kielce – Wieczysta Kraków II
    · Poland
    U 2.5model 67%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
  3. 3.00#3
    Frome Town – Willand Rovers
    · England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy
    U 2.5model 57%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  4. 2.65#4
    9 de Octubre – San Antonio
    · Ecuador · Ecuadorian Serie B
    O 2.5model 57%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 3:0
  5. 2.62#5
    RSC Anderlecht W – La Louvière W
    · Belgium (women)
    U 2.5model 77%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0

BTTS

both teams to score318 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 3.00#1
    Korona II Kielce – Wieczysta Kraków II
    · Poland
    NGmodel 52%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 1:0
  2. 2.85#2
    ASM Oran – WA Mostaganem
    · Algeria (2nd division)
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 2:1FT 3:1
  3. 2.75#3
    Acatlán – FC Santiago
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 1:0
  4. 2.60#4
    Solihull Moors – Boreham Wood
    · England (National League) · National League
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:3
  5. 2.55#5
    Estudiantes BsAs – CA San Miguel
    · Argentina · Primera Nacional
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 2:1

ELO

result by rating4 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.43#1
    AD Ceuta – Real Sociedad B
    · Spain · Segunda División
    1model 40%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 3:1
  2. 1.64#2
    Bristol Rovers – Exeter City
    · England (League Two) · League Two
    1model 52%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
  3. 1.50#3
    York City – Gillingham
    · England (League Two) · League Two
    1model 53%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
  4. 1.32#4
    Stockport County – Peterborough
    · England (League One) · League One
    1model 68%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+52 wins

2.95
Juventud Torremolinos – Algeciras CF
· Spain (3rd division) · Primera Federación
HT 1:1FT 1:2
  1. Picerno – Audace Cerignola2:12.85
  2. Oldham Athletic – Salford City1:42.65
  3. Swindon Town – Accrington Stanley1:12.60
  4. Rotherham – Crewe Alexandra1:12.55

1H BTTS1 win

3.30
Dorking Wanderers – Braintree Town
· England (National League South) · National League South
HT 2:2FT 4:3

2H BTTS3 wins

3.05
Merthyr Town – Marine
· England (National League North) · National League North
HT 0:1FT 1:2
  1. Aldershot Town – Tamworth5:12.65
  2. Dorking Wanderers – Braintree Town4:32.55

1 & BTTS17 wins

4.90
Picerno – Audace Cerignola
· Italy (3rd division)
HT 2:0FT 2:1
  1. Skovde AIK – BK Olympic Malmö2:14.50
  2. Cambrian & Clydach – Llandudno4:34.30
  3. Crusaders Belfast – Bangor FC2:14.20
  4. Aldershot Town – Tamworth5:14.20

2 & BTTS10 wins

5.20
Jong Almere City – BVV Barendrecht
· Netherlands (3rd division)
HT 0:0FT 1:4
  1. Kamatamare Sanuki – FC Gifu3:43.85
  2. Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF1:23.80
  3. Barry Town – GAP Connah's Quay1:43.70
  4. Sollentuna FK – Stockholm Internazionale1:23.45

1X & BTTS65 wins

3.05
St Vincent/Grenadine – French Guiana
· CONCACAF Nations League
HT 2:0FT 2:1
  1. Estudiantes BsAs – CA San Miguel2:13.00
  2. South Africa – Guinea2:12.95
  3. Oita Trinita – Fujieda MYFC1:12.90
  4. CSK Uherský Brod – Sigma Olomouc B2:12.80

X2 & BTTS57 wins

3.55
AS Gabès – AMS Mégrine
· Tunisia (2nd division)
HT 0:0FT 1:2
  1. Carlisle Utd – Woking2:53.25
  2. Faroe Islands – Kazakhstan1:13.15
  3. Corinthians W – São Paulo W1:23.10
  4. Bulgaria – Luxembourg1:23.05

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks