Winning tips of the day · Saturday
Winning tips 26 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time118 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 24.001Ferroviária U20 – Flamengo SP U20· Brazil (U20)X-1model 15%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 17.002Cove Rangers – Aberdeen Youth· Scotland2-1model 22%Away ahead at half-time, home winHT 0:1FT 2:1
- 17.003US Quevilly – Amiens· France (National) · Championnat National1-Xmodel 16%Home ahead at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 4HT 0:1FT 1:115.00Jonsered – Hestrafors2-X · Away ahead at half-time, draw at full-time · · Sweden · Division 2
- 5HT 1:1FT 1:115.00El Paso Locomotive – FC TulsaX-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · USA · USL Championship
1X2
match result337 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 4.75#1Dunston UTS – Avro· England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy2model 44%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 4.75#2Thame – Chichester City· England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy2model 41%Away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
- 4.75#3Tiverton Town – Gosport Borough· England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy2model 40%Away winHT 0:0FT 1:3
- 4.75#4Stanway Rovers FC – Faversham Town· England (FA Trophy) · FA Trophy2model 39%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 4.40#5Landshut – Pfaffenhofen· GermanyXmodel 39%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
Over/Under 2.5 goals
334 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.75#1Charlton Athletic W – Man City W· England (women) · Women's Super LeagueU 2.5model 53%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 3.00#2Korona II Kielce – Wieczysta Kraków II· PolandU 2.5model 67%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 3.00#3Frome Town – Willand Rovers· England (FA Trophy) · FA TrophyU 2.5model 57%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.65#49 de Octubre – San Antonio· Ecuador · Ecuadorian Serie BO 2.5model 57%Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 3:0
- 2.62#5RSC Anderlecht W – La Louvière W· Belgium (women)U 2.5model 77%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0
BTTS
both teams to score318 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 3.00#1Korona II Kielce – Wieczysta Kraków II· PolandNGmodel 52%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.85#2ASM Oran – WA Mostaganem· Algeria (2nd division)GGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 2:1FT 3:1
- 2.75#3Acatlán – FC Santiago· Mexico (3rd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 2.60#4Solihull Moors – Boreham Wood· England (National League) · National LeagueNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:3
- 2.55#5Estudiantes BsAs – CA San Miguel· Argentina · Primera NacionalGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 2:1
ELO
result by rating4 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.43#1AD Ceuta – Real Sociedad B· Spain · Segunda División1model 40%Home winHT 0:0FT 3:1
- 1.64#2Bristol Rovers – Exeter City· England (League Two) · League Two1model 52%Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
- 1.50#3York City – Gillingham· England (League Two) · League Two1model 53%Home winHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 1.32#4Stockport County – Peterborough· England (League One) · League One1model 68%Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+52 wins
2.95- Picerno – Audace Cerignola2:12.85
- Oldham Athletic – Salford City1:42.65
- Swindon Town – Accrington Stanley1:12.60
- Rotherham – Crewe Alexandra1:12.55
1H BTTS1 win
3.302H BTTS3 wins
3.05- Aldershot Town – Tamworth5:12.65
- Dorking Wanderers – Braintree Town4:32.55
1 & BTTS17 wins
4.90- Skovde AIK – BK Olympic Malmö2:14.50
- Cambrian & Clydach – Llandudno4:34.30
- Crusaders Belfast – Bangor FC2:14.20
- Aldershot Town – Tamworth5:14.20
2 & BTTS10 wins
5.20- Kamatamare Sanuki – FC Gifu3:43.85
- Laholms FK – Åtvidabergs FF1:23.80
- Barry Town – GAP Connah's Quay1:43.70
- Sollentuna FK – Stockholm Internazionale1:23.45
1X & BTTS65 wins
3.05- Estudiantes BsAs – CA San Miguel2:13.00
- South Africa – Guinea2:12.95
- Oita Trinita – Fujieda MYFC1:12.90
- CSK Uherský Brod – Sigma Olomouc B2:12.80
X2 & BTTS57 wins
3.55- Carlisle Utd – Woking2:53.25
- Faroe Islands – Kazakhstan1:13.15
- Corinthians W – São Paulo W1:23.10
- Bulgaria – Luxembourg1:23.05
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.