Winning tips of the day · Monday
Winning tips 28 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time15 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 8.001SCyB Atenas – San Martín Formosa· ArgentinaX-2model 22%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 6.002CDM – Artesanos Metepec· Mexico (3rd division)2-2model 24%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 2:3
- 5.503Municipal Limeño – CD FAS· El Salvador · Salvadoran Primera DivisiónX-2model 21%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 1:3
- 4HT 0:0FT 0:15.50Belgium – FranceX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · UEFA Nations League
- 5HT 2:2FT 2:45.20Club Necaxa – Club AméricaX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Mexico · Liga MX
1X2
match result33 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 3.90#1CDM – Artesanos Metepec· Mexico (3rd division)2model 49%Away winHT 0:1FT 2:3
- 3.84#2SCyB Atenas – San Martín Formosa· Argentina2model 49%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 3.80#3Dubočica Leskovac – Javor Ivanjica· Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First LeagueXmodel 46%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 3.25#4Georgia – Ukraine· UEFA Nations LeagueXmodel 39%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 3.05#5N. Ireland – Hungary· UEFA Nations LeagueXmodel 43%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
Over/Under 2.5 goals
40 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.46#1Belgium – France· UEFA Nations LeagueU 2.5model 58%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.41#2Atlante W – Pumas UNAM W· Mexico (women)U 2.5model 72%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.35#3Deportivo Cali – Rionegro Águilas· Colombia · Categoría Primera AU 2.5model 54%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.35#4Dubočica Leskovac – Javor Ivanjica· Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First LeagueU 2.5model 52%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 2.25#5Denmark U21 – Belarus U21· UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)U 2.5model 55%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0
BTTS
both teams to score44 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.46#1Belgium – France· UEFA Nations LeagueNGmodel 53%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.18#2MSK Zilina B – FK Humenné· Slovakia · Slovak 2. LigaNGmodel 55%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.15#3Atlético Cocula – Correcaminos UAT II· Mexico (3rd division)NGmodel 69%At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0
- 2.09#4Flandria – Sportivo Dock Sud· ArgentinaGGmodel 51%Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:2
- 2.05#5Leganes – CD Castellon· Spain · Segunda DivisiónNGmodel 50%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2
ELO
result by rating2 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.25#1Leganes – CD Castellon· Spain · Segunda División2model 51%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
- 1.70#2Deportivo Cali – Rionegro Águilas· Colombia · Categoría Primera A1model 50%Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+3 wins
2.55- Sweden – Poland3:12.50
- Maccabi Bnei Raina – Hapoel Raanana1:22.43
1 & BTTS4 wins
4.00- Hapoel Kfar Shalem – Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa3:13.15
- Club León – FC Juárez2:13.10
- Rudar Velenje – ND Dravinja3:13.05
2 & BTTS1 win
3.051X & BTTS9 wins
3.15- Huracán FC (URU) – Miramar Misiones2:12.44
- Guadeloupe – Barbados2:22.40
- Sweden – Poland3:12.18
- Graficar Belgrade – Teleoptik4:12.13
X2 & BTTS7 wins
3.15- Armenia – Montenegro2:32.65
- Leixões U23 – Vizela U232:22.55
- Maccabi Bnei Raina – Hapoel Raanana1:22.42
- Kharaitiyat – Al Wakra1:12.08
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.