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Winning tips of the day · Monday

Winning tips 28 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

8.00biggest winning odds40winning tips here17wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time15 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 8.001
    SCyB Atenas – San Martín Formosa
    · Argentina
    X-2model 22%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 6.002
    CDM – Artesanos Metepec
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    2-2model 24%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:1FT 2:3
  3. 5.503
    Municipal Limeño – CD FAS
    · El Salvador · Salvadoran Primera División
    X-2model 21%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 1:3
  1. 4
    Belgium – France
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · UEFA Nations League
    HT 0:0FT 0:15.50
  2. 5
    Club Necaxa – Club América
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Mexico · Liga MX
    HT 2:2FT 2:45.20

1X2

match result33 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 3.90#1
    CDM – Artesanos Metepec
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    2model 49%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 2:3
  2. 3.84#2
    SCyB Atenas – San Martín Formosa
    · Argentina
    2model 49%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  3. 3.80#3
    Dubočica Leskovac – Javor Ivanjica
    · Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First League
    Xmodel 46%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
  4. 3.25#4
    Georgia – Ukraine
    · UEFA Nations League
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
  5. 3.05#5
    N. Ireland – Hungary
    · UEFA Nations League
    Xmodel 43%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0

Over/Under 2.5 goals

40 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.46#1
    Belgium – France
    · UEFA Nations League
    U 2.5model 58%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 2.41#2
    Atlante W – Pumas UNAM W
    · Mexico (women)
    U 2.5model 72%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 2.35#3
    Deportivo Cali – Rionegro Águilas
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    U 2.5model 54%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.35#4
    Dubočica Leskovac – Javor Ivanjica
    · Serbia (2nd division) · Serbian First League
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1
  5. 2.25#5
    Denmark U21 – Belarus U21
    · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
    U 2.5model 55%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0

BTTS

both teams to score44 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.46#1
    Belgium – France
    · UEFA Nations League
    NGmodel 53%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 2.18#2
    MSK Zilina B – FK Humenné
    · Slovakia · Slovak 2. Liga
    NGmodel 55%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 2.15#3
    Atlético Cocula – Correcaminos UAT II
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    NGmodel 69%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0
  4. 2.09#4
    Flandria – Sportivo Dock Sud
    · Argentina
    GGmodel 51%
    Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:2
  5. 2.05#5
    Leganes – CD Castellon
    · Spain · Segunda División
    NGmodel 50%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2

ELO

result by rating2 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.25#1
    Leganes – CD Castellon
    · Spain · Segunda División
    2model 51%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
  2. 1.70#2
    Deportivo Cali – Rionegro Águilas
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    1model 50%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 2:0

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+3 wins

2.55
Club Necaxa – Club América
· Mexico · Liga MX
HT 2:2FT 2:4
  1. Sweden – Poland3:12.50
  2. Maccabi Bnei Raina – Hapoel Raanana1:22.43

1 & BTTS4 wins

4.00
Sweden – Poland
· UEFA Nations League
HT 1:1FT 3:1
  1. Hapoel Kfar Shalem – Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa3:13.15
  2. Club León – FC Juárez2:13.10
  3. Rudar Velenje – ND Dravinja3:13.05

2 & BTTS1 win

3.05
Hapoel Kfar Saba – Bnei Yehuda
· Israel (2nd division)
HT 1:1FT 1:2

1X & BTTS9 wins

3.15
Kharaitiyat – Al Wakra
· Qatar (cup)
HT 0:1FT 1:1
  1. Huracán FC (URU) – Miramar Misiones2:12.44
  2. Guadeloupe – Barbados2:22.40
  3. Sweden – Poland3:12.18
  4. Graficar Belgrade – Teleoptik4:12.13

X2 & BTTS7 wins

3.15
Guadeloupe – Barbados
· CONCACAF Nations League
HT 0:0FT 2:2
  1. Armenia – Montenegro2:32.65
  2. Leixões U23 – Vizela U232:22.55
  3. Maccabi Bnei Raina – Hapoel Raanana1:22.42
  4. Kharaitiyat – Al Wakra1:12.08

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks