Winning tips of the day · Tuesday

Winning tips 29 September 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

12.00biggest winning odds40winning tips here16wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time30 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

12.001
Gabon – Niger
21:00 · Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers
X-1model 15%
Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 2:0
6.502
Whitby Town – Lancaster City
20:45 · England (Northern Premier League) · Northern Premier League
X-2model 20%
Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
5.503
Khor SC – Umm Salal SC
17:00 · Qatar (cup)
X-2model 16%
Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:2

4
Barrow AFC – Scunthorpe Utd
X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · 20:45 · England (National League) · National League
HT 0:0FT 3:05.40
5
América Mineiro – Juventude
X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · 00:30 · Brazil (Série B) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B
HT 0:0FT 0:15.20

1X2

match result66 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

3.58#1
Havant & Waterlooville – Hanwell Town
20:45 · England · Premier League
Xmodel 42%
DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
3.40#2
Bulgaria – Estonia
20:45 · UEFA Nations League
Xmodel 43%
DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
3.34#3
Sagan Tosu – Tokyo Verdy
12:00 · Japan (cup)
Xmodel 49%
DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
3.30#4
Racing Club Warwick – Worcester
20:45 · England · Premier League
Xmodel 36%
DrawHT 0:1FT 2:2
3.25#5
Chertsey Town – Poole Town
20:45 · England · Premier League
2model 46%
Away winHT 1:0FT 1:3

Over/Under 2.5 goals

60 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

2.55#1
AFC Fylde – Carlisle Utd
20:45 · England (National League) · National League
U 2.5model 80%
Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2
2.38#2
Roasso Kumamoto – Kawasaki Frontale
12:00 · Japan (cup)
U 2.5model 62%
Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
2.30#3
Somalia – Ivory Coast
21:00 · Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers
U 2.5model 65%
Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:2
2.30#4
Zambia – Togo
18:00 · Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers
U 2.5model 58%
Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
2.24#5
Inter Bratislava – Sport Podbrezova
15:30 · Slovakia (cup)
U 2.5model 51%
Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2

BTTS

both teams to score66 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

2.65#1
AFC Fylde – Carlisle Utd
20:45 · England (National League) · National League
NGmodel 51%
At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2
2.62#2
Mozambique – Sudan
15:00 · Africa – Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers
GGmodel 55%
Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 4:1
2.40#3
St Kitts & Nevis – Grenada
02:00 · CONCACAF Nations League
NGmodel 51%
At least one team fails to scoreHT 2:0FT 3:0
2.25#4
Inter Bratislava – Sport Podbrezova
15:30 · Slovakia (cup)
NGmodel 52%
At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:2
2.21#5
Matsumoto Yamaga – Albirex Niigata
12:00 · Japan (cup)
NGmodel 57%
At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 1:0

ELO

result by rating1 win

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

1.84#1
Deportivo Pereira – Ind Santa Fe
22:30 · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
2model 46%
Away winHT 1:1FT 1:2

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+6 wins

2.29

Woking – Solihull Moors

20:45 · England (National League) · National League

HT 2:3FT 2:4

Fukushima United – Mito HollyHock0:72.27
Needham Market – Stamford4:02.25
Spain – Croatia4:12.16
Forest Green – Wealdstone1:12.09

1 & BTTS4 wins

3.30

Uxbridge – Basingstoke

20:45 · England · Premier League

HT 1:0FT 2:1

Spain – Croatia4:12.85
Dartford – Whitehawk FC2:12.60
Real Bedford – Leiston FC3:22.50

1X & BTTS20 wins

3.75

FC Osaka – Avispa Fukuoka

12:00 · Japan (cup)

HT 0:0FT 1:1

Mozambique – Sudan4:13.10
Benin – Mauritania2:13.00
Madagascar – Tanzania1:12.95
Al Waab SC – Lusail City FC1:12.70

X2 & BTTS17 wins

3.25

Slovenia U21 – Israel U21

16:00 · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)

HT 1:1FT 2:3

Madagascar – Tanzania1:13.20
Forest Green – Wealdstone1:12.90
Burundi – Algeria2:22.75
Congo – Cameroon1:12.65

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks