Winning tips of the day · Wednesday
Winning tips 30 September 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time11 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 5.501Hapoel Beit Shean – Ironi Baka El Garbiya· Israel (3rd division)X-1model 26%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 2:1
- 4.802Unión Magdalena – Real Cartagena· Colombia · Categoría Primera BX-Xmodel 13%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:1FT 1:1
- 4.003Arna-Bjørnar W – Frigg W· Norway (women, 2nd division)X-1model 39%Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 5:0
- 4HT 2:1FT 3:13.75Belisia Bilzen – Heist1-1 · Home ahead at half-time, home win · · Belgium (3rd division)
- 5HT 1:0FT 2:03.10FK Ryazan – Zenit Penza1-1 · Home ahead at half-time, home win · · Russia (4th division)
1X2
match result40 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 3.40#1KRC Harelbeke – Hoogstraten VV· Belgium (3rd division)Xmodel 36%DrawHT 2:2FT 3:3
- 3.35#2FK Podgorica – Jedinstvo BP· MontenegroXmodel 40%DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
- 3.20#3Ironi Kiryat Malakhi – Hapoel Herzliya· Israel (3rd division)Xmodel 44%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 3.10#4Ind Medellin – Millonarios· Colombia · Categoría Primera AXmodel 43%DrawHT 1:2FT 2:2
- 3.10#5Samper W – Getafe W· Spain (women)1model 41%Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
Over/Under 2.5 goals
42 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 2.18#1RWD Molenbeek – Union Rochefortoise· Belgium (3rd division)U 2.5model 72%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 1:1
- 2.16#2Tamworth – Sutton United· England (National League) · National LeagueU 2.5model 51%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.07#3Platense Res. – Huracán Res.· Argentina (reserves)U 2.5model 50%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.05#4Madureira U20 – Vasco U20· Brazil (Carioca) · Campeonato CariocaU 2.5model 67%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.00#5Czech Rep U21 – Bulgaria U21· UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)U 2.5model 53%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:0
BTTS
both teams to score33 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.65#1FK Ryazan – Zenit Penza· Russia (4th division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.34#2Hapoel Ironi Arraba – Hapoel Migdal HaEmek· Israel (3rd division)GGmodel 54%Both teams scoreHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.31#3Tamworth – Sutton United· England (National League) · National LeagueNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.25#4Umeå FC Akademi – IFK Umeå· Sweden · Division 2NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 3:0FT 6:0
- 2.20#5Independiente Riva. Res. – Belgrano Córdoba Res.· Argentina (reserves)GGmodel 61%Both teams scoreHT 2:3FT 3:3
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+7 wins
2.85- Botafogo SP – Ponte Preta2:02.38
- FC Nazareth Ilit – Tzeirey Tamra2:32.24
- Belisia Bilzen – Heist3:12.17
- Scotland U21 – Azerbaijan U215:22.05
1H BTTS1 win
4.951 & BTTS1 win
4.201X & BTTS11 wins
2.85- Unión Magdalena – Real Cartagena1:12.40
- Ind Medellin – Millonarios2:22.36
- CD Águila – Inter F.A2:12.33
- Levante W – Alhama W3:12.19
X2 & BTTS9 wins
2.70- Ind Medellin – Millonarios2:22.70
- Shimshon Tel Aviv – Ramat HaSharon1:22.49
- Frome Town – Taunton2:22.39
- Maccabi Neve Sha'anan – FC Tira2:32.23
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 9 NovMonday
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.