Winning tips 1 October 2026

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

1. 5.951
   Hapoel Afula – Hapoel Rishon Lezion
   18:00 · Israel (2nd division)
   X-Xmodel 16%
   Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 1:1FT 2:2
2. 5.002
   Israel – Kosovo
   20:45 · UEFA Nations League
   X-Xmodel 23%
   Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
3. 5.003
   Miami FC II – Sporting JAX
   01:00 · USA · USL Championship
   1-1model 23%
   Home ahead at half-time, home winHT 2:1FT 4:1

4. 4
   N. Ireland U21 – Georgia U21

   X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · 20:45 · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
   HT 0:0FT 1:14.95
5. 5
   Sacramento Republic – Las Vegas Lights

   X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · 04:00 · USA · USL Championship
   HT 1:1FT 3:24.50

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

1. 3.65#1
   Hapoel Afula – Hapoel Rishon Lezion
   18:00 · Israel (2nd division)
   Xmodel 35%
   DrawHT 1:1FT 2:2
2. 3.60#2
   Podlasie BP – Star Starachowice
   18:00 · Poland
   Xmodel 47%
   DrawHT 0:1FT 2:2
3. 3.46#3
   N. Ireland U21 – Georgia U21
   20:45 · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
   Xmodel 38%
   DrawHT 0:0FT 1:1
4. 3.38#4
   Israel – Kosovo
   20:45 · UEFA Nations League
   Xmodel 45%
   DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
5. 3.32#5
   North Macedonia U21 – Montenegro U21
   18:00 · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
   Xmodel 36%
   DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

1. 2.80#1
   Germany – Serbia
   20:45 · UEFA Nations League
   U 2.5model 56%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 2:0
2. 2.35#2
   Héroes de Zaci – Acatlán
   20:00 · Mexico (3rd division)
   U 2.5model 80%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:1
3. 2.31#3
   BV Islands – Montserrat
   22:00 · CONCACAF Nations League
   U 2.5model 54%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:2FT 0:2
4. 2.29#4
   Azerbaijan – Liechtenstein
   18:00 · UEFA Nations League
   U 2.5model 56%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
5. 2.00#5
   Brooklyn FC – Detroit City FC
   01:00 · USA · USL Championship
   O 2.5model 53%
   Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:3

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

1. 2.69#1
   Malta – Gibraltar
   20:45 · UEFA Nations League
   GGmodel 55%
   Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 1:1
2. 2.62#2
   New York Red Bulls – Saint Louis City
   01:30 · USA · MLS
   NGmodel 51%
   At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:3
3. 2.31#3
   Kiryat Yam SC – Hapoel Kfar Saba
   18:00 · Israel (2nd division)
   NGmodel 51%
   At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
4. 2.25#4
   Madla IL – Viking FK
   18:00 · Norway (cup)
   NGmodel 62%
   At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:3
5. 2.20#5
   Dominica – Guyana
   23:00 · CONCACAF Nations League
   GGmodel 66%
   Both teams scoreHT 0:2FT 1:5

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

1. 1.50#1
   Atlético Nacional – Junior Barranquilla
   03:00 · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
   1model 50%
   Home winHT 2:1FT 3:1

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.