Winning tips of the day · Friday
Winning tips 2 October 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time19 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 10.501Andorra U21 – Moldova U21· UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)X-Xmodel 16%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 9.502Oberpullendorf – St. Margarethen· AustriaX-2model 19%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
- 6.003Unirea Bascov – Jiul Petrosani· Romania (3rd division)X-Xmodel 12%Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 4HT 0:0FT 0:15.50Qviding FIF – Landvetter ISX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Sweden · Division 2
- 5HT 0:0FT 1:15.50Austria U21 – Denmark U21X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
1X2
match result76 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 7.00#1Andorra U21 – Moldova U21· UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)Xmodel 40%DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 4.95#2Kazakhstan – Moldova· UEFA Nations League2model 38%Away winHT 0:1FT 1:2
- 4.33#3Encarnación – Resistencia SC· Paraguay (2nd division)2model 36%Away winHT 0:1FT 0:3
- 4.33#4ACS Poli Timişoara II – Metalurgistul Cugir· Romania (3rd division)Xmodel 35%DrawHT 1:1FT 1:1
- 3.90#5Zaglebie U19 – Wisla U19· Poland (youth)Xmodel 39%DrawHT 0:1FT 2:2
Over/Under 2.5 goals
80 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.60#1SK Hranice – Líšeň II· Czechia (3rd division)U 2.5model 82%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
- 2.76#2Andorra U21 – Moldova U21· UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)U 2.5model 52%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.48#3Smedby AIS – Nyköpings BIS· Sweden · Division 2U 2.5model 59%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
- 2.42#4Lunds BK – Laholms FK· Sweden · Division 2U 2.5model 51%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.30#5SV Seekirchen – Union Gurten· Austria (Salzburg/Upper Austria)U 2.5model 90%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
BTTS
both teams to score74 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 3.30#1Red Star-Penzing – Team Wiener Linien· AustriaNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 2.67#2Cumnock Juniors – Auchinleck Talbot· England (FA Cup)NGmodel 64%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 2:0
- 2.41#3SV Schwechat – Simmeringer SC· AustriaNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
- 2.38#4Belgium – Türkiye· UEFA Nations LeagueNGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
- 2.34#5SV Seekirchen – Union Gurten· Austria (Salzburg/Upper Austria)NGmodel 63%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0
ELO
result by rating2 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 2.55#1Eldense – Real Oviedo· Spain · Segunda División1model 39%Home winHT 0:1FT 4:1
- 1.50#2Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City· USA · MLS1model 59%Home winHT 0:1FT 2:1
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+19 wins
3.10- Cyprus – Armenia2:03.03
- Fremad Amager – B93 København0:32.70
- Bayer Leverkusen W – Werder Bremen W3:22.25
- Athlone Town – Cork City2:12.25
1H BTTS3 wins
3.36- Kremser SC – Wiener SK4:33.34
- Lilla Torg – Nosaby2:33.14
1 & BTTS4 wins
3.85- Oberwart – Horn3:12.95
- Ilves 2 – Huima / Urho3:12.95
- FOC Farst – Fittja IF2:12.75
2 & BTTS2 wins
3.40- Polonia Nysa – Miedź Legnica II1:23.25
1X & BTTS12 wins
2.75- Athlone Town – Cork City2:12.50
- Næstved BK – Nykøbing FC1:12.45
- Sportivo Carapeguá – Deportivo Capiatá1:12.41
- SC Poltava – Chernihiv3:22.40
X2 & BTTS15 wins
3.85- Carmarthen Town – Llantwit Major1:23.20
- Wexford Youths – Longford Town3:33.05
- Faroe Islands – Slovakia1:12.70
- Denbigh Town – Holyhead Hotspur2:42.65
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
- 10 OctSaturday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.