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Winning tips of the day · Friday

Winning tips 2 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

10.50biggest winning odds46winning tips here23wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time19 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 10.501
    Andorra U21 – Moldova U21
    · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
    X-Xmodel 16%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 0:0
  2. 9.502
    Oberpullendorf – St. Margarethen
    · Austria
    X-2model 19%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 1:2
  3. 6.003
    Unirea Bascov – Jiul Petrosani
    · Romania (3rd division)
    X-Xmodel 12%
    Level at half-time, draw at full-timeHT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. 4
    Qviding FIF – Landvetter IS
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Sweden · Division 2
    HT 0:0FT 0:15.50
  2. 5
    Austria U21 – Denmark U21
    X-X · Level at half-time, draw at full-time · · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
    HT 0:0FT 1:15.50

1X2

match result76 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 7.00#1
    Andorra U21 – Moldova U21
    · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
    Xmodel 40%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
  2. 4.95#2
    Kazakhstan – Moldova
    · UEFA Nations League
    2model 38%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 1:2
  3. 4.33#3
    Encarnación – Resistencia SC
    · Paraguay (2nd division)
    2model 36%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:3
  4. 4.33#4
    ACS Poli Timişoara II – Metalurgistul Cugir
    · Romania (3rd division)
    Xmodel 35%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 1:1
  5. 3.90#5
    Zaglebie U19 – Wisla U19
    · Poland (youth)
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 0:1FT 2:2

Over/Under 2.5 goals

80 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.60#1
    SK Hranice – Líšeň II
    · Czechia (3rd division)
    U 2.5model 82%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  2. 2.76#2
    Andorra U21 – Moldova U21
    · UEFA U21 European Championship (qualifiers)
    U 2.5model 52%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 2.48#3
    Smedby AIS – Nyköpings BIS
    · Sweden · Division 2
    U 2.5model 59%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 1:1
  4. 2.42#4
    Lunds BK – Laholms FK
    · Sweden · Division 2
    U 2.5model 51%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  5. 2.30#5
    SV Seekirchen – Union Gurten
    · Austria (Salzburg/Upper Austria)
    U 2.5model 90%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0

BTTS

both teams to score74 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 3.30#1
    Red Star-Penzing – Team Wiener Linien
    · Austria
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
  2. 2.67#2
    Cumnock Juniors – Auchinleck Talbot
    · England (FA Cup)
    NGmodel 64%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 2:0
  3. 2.41#3
    SV Schwechat – Simmeringer SC
    · Austria
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 2:0
  4. 2.38#4
    Belgium – Türkiye
    · UEFA Nations League
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
  5. 2.34#5
    SV Seekirchen – Union Gurten
    · Austria (Salzburg/Upper Austria)
    NGmodel 63%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:0

ELO

result by rating2 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.55#1
    Eldense – Real Oviedo
    · Spain · Segunda División
    1model 39%
    Home winHT 0:1FT 4:1
  2. 1.50#2
    Seattle Sounders – Sporting Kansas City
    · USA · MLS
    1model 59%
    Home winHT 0:1FT 2:1

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+19 wins

3.10
Athletic Club MG – Sport Recife
· Brazil (Série B) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B
HT 1:2FT 1:2
  1. Cyprus – Armenia2:03.03
  2. Fremad Amager – B93 København0:32.70
  3. Bayer Leverkusen W – Werder Bremen W3:22.25
  4. Athlone Town – Cork City2:12.25

1H BTTS3 wins

3.36
Hluboká nad Vltavou – FK Krimice
· Czechia
HT 1:1FT 1:1
  1. Kremser SC – Wiener SK4:33.34
  2. Lilla Torg – Nosaby2:33.14

1 & BTTS4 wins

3.85
Wisloka Debica – Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
· Poland
HT 1:0FT 2:1
  1. Oberwart – Horn3:12.95
  2. Ilves 2 – Huima / Urho3:12.95
  3. FOC Farst – Fittja IF2:12.75

2 & BTTS2 wins

3.40
Dundalk FC – Bohemians FC
· Ireland · League of Ireland Premier Division
HT 0:1FT 1:2
  1. Polonia Nysa – Miedź Legnica II1:23.25

1X & BTTS12 wins

2.75
Ittihad Tanger – Maghreb Tétouan
· Morocco · Botola Pro
HT 0:1FT 1:1
  1. Athlone Town – Cork City2:12.50
  2. Næstved BK – Nykøbing FC1:12.45
  3. Sportivo Carapeguá – Deportivo Capiatá1:12.41
  4. SC Poltava – Chernihiv3:22.40

X2 & BTTS15 wins

3.85
Ittihad Tanger – Maghreb Tétouan
· Morocco · Botola Pro
HT 0:1FT 1:1
  1. Carmarthen Town – Llantwit Major1:23.20
  2. Wexford Youths – Longford Town3:33.05
  3. Faroe Islands – Slovakia1:12.70
  4. Denbigh Town – Holyhead Hotspur2:42.65

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks