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Winning tips of the day · Saturday

Winning tips 3 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

9.60biggest winning odds59winning tips here38wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time111 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 9.601
    Patriotas Boyacá – Independiente Yumbo
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera B
    X-2model 33%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 8.602
    Tepatitlán de Morelos – Tampico Madero
    · Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX
    X-1model 23%
    Level at half-time, home winHT 0:0FT 3:1
  3. 8.203
    São Paulo – Santos
    · Brazil (Série A) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
    X-2model 16%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
  1. 4
    CD Arenteiro – Antela
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Spain (5th division) · Tercera Federación
    HT 0:0FT 2:37.50
  2. 5
    Solihull Moors – Halifax
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · England (National League) · National League
    HT 0:0FT 0:27.40

1X2

match result326 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 5.00#1
    Ciervos – Halcones Negros
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    2model 40%
    Away winHT 0:3FT 0:5
  2. 4.76#2
    Patriotas Boyacá – Independiente Yumbo
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera B
    2model 54%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  3. 4.75#3
    Team Viborg W – B93 W
    · Germany (women)
    2model 61%
    Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
  4. 4.50#4
    Bangkok FC – Thap Luang United
    · Thailand (3rd division)
    Xmodel 39%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0
  5. 4.10#5
    Guerreros del Pacífico – Delfines Coatzacoalcos
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    Xmodel 41%
    DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0

Over/Under 2.5 goals

357 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 2.69#1
    IF Böljan – Jonsered
    · Sweden · Division 2
    U 2.5model 51%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 2.62#2
    Krumvíř – Spartak Hluk
    · Czechia
    U 2.5model 85%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  3. 2.62#3
    Ardagger – Amstetten
    · Austria
    U 2.5model 62%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:1
  4. 2.53#4
    Independiente – Instituto Córdoba
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    O 2.5model 56%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 1:4
  5. 2.50#5
    Växjö Norra IF – IFK Karlshamn
    · Sweden · Division 2
    U 2.5model 51%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:2

BTTS

both teams to score320 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.83#1
    IF Böljan – Jonsered
    · Sweden · Division 2
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 2.75#2
    Ciervos – Halcones Negros
    · Mexico (3rd division)
    NGmodel 57%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:3FT 0:5
  3. 2.70#3
    Cowdenbeath – Berwick Rangers
    · England (FA Cup)
    NGmodel 53%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 4:0
  4. 2.60#4
    Dongen – Poortugaal
    · Netherlands (4th division)
    NGmodel 53%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 4:0
  5. 2.50#5
    Institute FC – Newington YC
    · Northern Ireland · NIFL Championship
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 3:0FT 7:0

ELO

result by rating15 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 2.80#1
    Crewe Alexandra – Bristol Rovers
    · England (League Two) · League Two
    1model 42%
    Home winHT 2:0FT 3:1
  2. 2.46#2
    Albacete Balompie – Eibar
    · Spain · Segunda División
    2model 49%
    Away winHT 1:0FT 1:3
  3. 2.45#3
    Exeter City – Rotherham
    · England (League Two) · League Two
    1model 41%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
  4. 2.21#4
    Rochdale – Swindon Town
    · England (League Two) · League Two
    1model 41%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 1:0
  5. 2.18#5
    Accrington Stanley – Cheltenham
    · England (League Two) · League Two
    1model 36%
    Home winHT 0:0FT 2:0

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+62 wins

6.22
Ramsgate – Carshalton
· England (Isthmian League) · Isthmian League
HT 2:2FT 2:3
  1. Juventude – Operário PR3:03.50
  2. Albion FC (URU) – Defensor Sporting3:23.00
  3. Fortaleza – Nautico1:12.95
  4. Rumilly Vallières – FC Limonest4:12.93

1H BTTS12 wins

4.55
Yalova Yeşilovaspor – Kartal Bulvarspor
· Turkey (4th division)
HT 1:2FT 2:4
  1. TOP Oss – MVV Maastricht4:13.84
  2. Thes Sport – Zelzate1:13.50
  3. FBK Karlstad – AFC Eskilstuna2:23.46
  4. Monterrey W – América W4:33.35

2H BTTS4 wins

3.55
Albion FC (URU) – Defensor Sporting
· Uruguay · Uruguayan Primera División
HT 2:0FT 3:2
  1. São Bernardo SP – CRB AL3:13.30
  2. Elgin City – Clyde FC6:22.70
  3. FC Bocholt – Gütersloh3:42.29

1 & BTTS26 wins

5.40
São Bernardo SP – CRB AL
· Brazil (Série B) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série B
HT 0:0FT 3:1
  1. AD San Juan – CD Subiza2:15.00
  2. Hyde FC – Stockton Town2:14.60
  3. TOGB – RBC Roosendal4:34.50
  4. IFK Lulea – Skellefteå FF4:24.20

2 & BTTS20 wins

5.80
Mlada Boleslav U19 – Opava U19
· Czechia (U19)
HT 1:2FT 1:3
  1. Albacete Balompie – Eibar1:35.20
  2. Ramsgate – Carshalton2:34.80
  3. Sint Maarten – St Vincent/Grenadine2:44.30
  4. Åstorps FF – Dalstorps IF1:34.10

1X & BTTS89 wins

3.35
Colchester Utd – Luton Town
· England (EFL Trophy)
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. Piteå IF – Karlstad BK1:13.30
  2. AFC Rushden & Diamonds – Braintree Town2:13.20
  3. Defensores Unidos – Argentino Quilmes1:12.95
  4. Spain – Czech Republic3:12.75

X2 & BTTS61 wins

3.65
Kano Pillars – Sporting Lagos
· Nigeria
HT 0:1FT 1:1
  1. Cittadella – AlbinoLeffe1:23.60
  2. UD Las Palmas C – UD Lanzarote1:23.40
  3. São Paulo – Santos1:23.05
  4. Guadalajara (ESP) – Gimnástica Seg.3:33.00

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks