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Winning tips of the day · Sunday

Winning tips 4 October 2026

For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.

35.00biggest winning odds53winning tips here31wins at odds 3.00+

These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →

HT-FT

half-time/full-time71 wins

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

  1. 35.001
    Real Sociedad B – Granada
    · Spain · Segunda División
    1-2model 18%
    Home ahead at half-time, away winHT 2:0FT 2:3
  2. 10.002
    Barito Putera – Persela Lamongan
    · Indonesia (2nd division)
    X-2model 18%
    Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  3. 8.503
    Brooklyn FC – Rhode Island
    · USA · USL Championship
    2-2model 24%
    Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:2FT 1:3
  1. 4
    Hradec Kralove B – Mlada Boleslav B
    X-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Czechia (3rd division)
    HT 0:0FT 0:17.00
  2. 5
    Blaublitz Akita – Sagan Tosu
    X-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Japan (2nd division) · J2 League
    HT 0:0FT 1:07.00

1X2

match result233 wins

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

  1. 5.50#1
    Semen Padang – PSPS Pekanbaru
    · Indonesia (2nd division)
    2model 36%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  2. 5.00#2
    S. Rzeszow U19 – Raków Częstochowa U19
    · Poland (youth)
    2model 36%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  3. 4.45#3
    Barito Putera – Persela Lamongan
    · Indonesia (2nd division)
    2model 43%
    Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
  4. 4.30#4
    Barranquilla FC – Millonarios
    · Colombia (cup)
    Xmodel 42%
    DrawHT 1:1FT 1:1
  5. 3.90#5
    Sham Shui Po SA – Supreme
    · Hong Kong (2nd division)
    2model 44%
    Away winHT 0:2FT 1:3

Over/Under 2.5 goals

253 wins

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

  1. 3.00#1
    OH Leuven W – La Louvière W
    · Belgium (women)
    U 2.5model 70%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
  2. 2.75#2
    Manila Digger – Dynamic Herb Cebu
    · Philippines
    U 2.5model 63%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 2:0
  3. 2.62#3
    Vålerenga W – Trondheims-Ørn W
    · Norway (women)
    U 2.5model 56%
    Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 1:1
  4. 2.48#4
    Gimnasia Chivilcoy – Club Olimpo
    · Argentina
    O 2.5model 50%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:2
  5. 2.45#5
    San Martin San Juan – Club Almagro
    · Argentina · Primera Nacional
    O 2.5model 52%
    Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:2

BTTS

both teams to score240 wins

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

  1. 2.50#1
    Stuttgart W – Union Berlin W
    · Germany (women)
    NGmodel 64%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:4
  2. 2.34#2
    Hradec Kralove B – Mlada Boleslav B
    · Czechia (3rd division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
  3. 2.25#3
    Querétaro W – Atlético San Luis W
    · Mexico (women)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:1
  4. 2.24#4
    Slavia Prague C – Povltavska FA
    · Czechia (3rd division)
    NGmodel 63%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 4:0
  5. 2.22#5
    Brindisi – Aversa Normanna
    · Italy (4th division)
    NGmodel 51%
    At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0

ELO

result by rating3 wins

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

  1. 1.71#1
    CA Huracán – CA Aldosivi
    · Argentina · Liga Profesional
    1model 60%
    Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
  2. 1.69#2
    Cúcuta Deportivo – Deportivo Pereira
    · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
    1model 49%
    Home winHT 3:0FT 4:0
  3. 1.55#3
    Sporting Gijón – Celta de Vigo B
    · Spain · Segunda División
    1model 48%
    Home winHT 2:1FT 3:2

Goals · halves and combos

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.

1H 2+32 wins

3.05
Inter Limeira SP – Brusque FC SC
· Brazil (Série C) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série C
HT 2:1FT 2:2
  1. Real Sociedad B – Granada2:32.95
  2. Ligorna – Saluzzo2:12.78
  3. Recanatese – ACD Maceratese2:32.77
  4. Sarnese – Paganese Calcio2:12.76

1H BTTS5 wins

5.00
Inter Limeira SP – Brusque FC SC
· Brazil (Série C) · Campeonato Brasileiro Série C
HT 2:1FT 2:2
  1. Sarnese – Paganese Calcio2:14.40
  2. NK Bistrica – Rudar Velenje3:13.58
  3. Royal Knokke – Oud-Heverlee Leuven II3:23.12
  4. SK Trygg/Lade – IK Junkeren1:22.84

1 & BTTS16 wins

5.40
Tromsdalen UIL – Levanger FK
· Norway (3rd division)
HT 1:0FT 4:2
  1. FC Siena – Seravezza2:14.30
  2. NK Bistrica – Rudar Velenje3:14.30
  3. Brattvag IL – Sotra SK3:23.75
  4. Potenza SC – Picerno4:23.55

2 & BTTS5 wins

5.80
Real Sociedad B – Granada
· Spain · Segunda División
HT 2:0FT 2:3
  1. Tottenham W – London City Lionesses W1:65.25
  2. Brian Lignano – Luparense1:34.60
  3. SK Trygg/Lade – IK Junkeren1:23.40
  4. Bangor FC – Coleraine FC2:32.65

1X & BTTS38 wins

3.10
San Martín Formosa – SCyB Atenas
· Argentina
HT 0:0FT 1:1
  1. Godoy Cruz – Los Andes2:13.05
  2. Danubio FC – Cerro Largo2:12.65
  3. Igea Virtus – Nissa1:12.60
  4. Correggese Calcio – AC Pavia2:12.60

X2 & BTTS28 wins

3.90
SK Benátky n. Jiz. – MFK Chrudim
· Czechia (3rd division)
HT 1:0FT 3:3
  1. Gimnasia Chivilcoy – Club Olimpo1:23.70
  2. Inter Limeira SP – Brusque FC SC2:23.40
  3. AC Mestre – Campodarsego1:13.20
  4. Igea Virtus – Nissa1:12.85

Earlier days

Every day stays at its own address as an archive.

How we pick the winning tips

Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.

Odds and the model's estimate

The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.

FAQ

Are these all the tips from that day?

No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.

When does a new day appear?

The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.

Where are today's picks?

In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.

See today's picks