Winning tips of the day · Sunday
Winning tips 4 October 2026
For each section of the Stats forecast we pick up to 5 winning tips with the highest odds that day, with the half-time and full-time score. The tip is the model's pick before kickoff, and the odds are the pre-match market odds.
These are selected wins only: not every pick won that day, and higher odds also mean a lower chance.
For the model's overall hit rate, day by day, see AI model performance →
HT-FT
half-time/full-time71 winsThe result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.
- 35.001Real Sociedad B – Granada· Spain · Segunda División1-2model 18%Home ahead at half-time, away winHT 2:0FT 2:3
- 10.002Barito Putera – Persela Lamongan· Indonesia (2nd division)X-2model 18%Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 8.503Brooklyn FC – Rhode Island· USA · USL Championship2-2model 24%Away ahead at half-time, away winHT 0:2FT 1:3
- 4HT 0:0FT 0:17.00Hradec Kralove B – Mlada Boleslav BX-2 · Level at half-time, away win · · Czechia (3rd division)
- 5HT 0:0FT 1:07.00Blaublitz Akita – Sagan TosuX-1 · Level at half-time, home win · · Japan (2nd division) · J2 League
1X2
match result233 winsThe pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.
- 5.50#1Semen Padang – PSPS Pekanbaru· Indonesia (2nd division)2model 36%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 5.00#2S. Rzeszow U19 – Raków Częstochowa U19· Poland (youth)2model 36%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 4.45#3Barito Putera – Persela Lamongan· Indonesia (2nd division)2model 43%Away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 4.30#4Barranquilla FC – Millonarios· Colombia (cup)Xmodel 42%DrawHT 1:1FT 1:1
- 3.90#5Sham Shui Po SA – Supreme· Hong Kong (2nd division)2model 44%Away winHT 0:2FT 1:3
Over/Under 2.5 goals
253 winsOver or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.
- 3.00#1OH Leuven W – La Louvière W· Belgium (women)U 2.5model 70%Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 0:0
- 2.75#2Manila Digger – Dynamic Herb Cebu· PhilippinesU 2.5model 63%Under 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 2:0
- 2.62#3Vålerenga W – Trondheims-Ørn W· Norway (women)U 2.5model 56%Under 2.5 goalsHT 1:1FT 1:1
- 2.48#4Gimnasia Chivilcoy – Club Olimpo· ArgentinaO 2.5model 50%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:2
- 2.45#5San Martin San Juan – Club Almagro· Argentina · Primera NacionalO 2.5model 52%Over 2.5 goalsHT 0:0FT 1:2
BTTS
both teams to score240 winsWhether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).
- 2.50#1Stuttgart W – Union Berlin W· Germany (women)NGmodel 64%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:4
- 2.34#2Hradec Kralove B – Mlada Boleslav B· Czechia (3rd division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:0FT 0:1
- 2.25#3Querétaro W – Atlético San Luis W· Mexico (women)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:1
- 2.24#4Slavia Prague C – Povltavska FA· Czechia (3rd division)NGmodel 63%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 4:0
- 2.22#5Brindisi – Aversa Normanna· Italy (4th division)NGmodel 51%At least one team fails to scoreHT 1:0FT 3:0
ELO
result by rating3 winsThe outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.
- 1.71#1CA Huracán – CA Aldosivi· Argentina · Liga Profesional1model 60%Home winHT 1:0FT 1:0
- 1.69#2Cúcuta Deportivo – Deportivo Pereira· Colombia · Categoría Primera A1model 49%Home winHT 3:0FT 4:0
- 1.55#3Sporting Gijón – Celta de Vigo B· Spain · Segunda División1model 48%Home winHT 2:1FT 3:2
Goals · halves and combos
Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.
1H 2+32 wins
3.05- Real Sociedad B – Granada2:32.95
- Ligorna – Saluzzo2:12.78
- Recanatese – ACD Maceratese2:32.77
- Sarnese – Paganese Calcio2:12.76
1H BTTS5 wins
5.00- Sarnese – Paganese Calcio2:14.40
- NK Bistrica – Rudar Velenje3:13.58
- Royal Knokke – Oud-Heverlee Leuven II3:23.12
- SK Trygg/Lade – IK Junkeren1:22.84
1 & BTTS16 wins
5.40- FC Siena – Seravezza2:14.30
- NK Bistrica – Rudar Velenje3:14.30
- Brattvag IL – Sotra SK3:23.75
- Potenza SC – Picerno4:23.55
2 & BTTS5 wins
5.80- Tottenham W – London City Lionesses W1:65.25
- Brian Lignano – Luparense1:34.60
- SK Trygg/Lade – IK Junkeren1:23.40
- Bangor FC – Coleraine FC2:32.65
1X & BTTS38 wins
3.10- Godoy Cruz – Los Andes2:13.05
- Danubio FC – Cerro Largo2:12.65
- Igea Virtus – Nissa1:12.60
- Correggese Calcio – AC Pavia2:12.60
X2 & BTTS28 wins
3.90- Gimnasia Chivilcoy – Club Olimpo1:23.70
- Inter Limeira SP – Brusque FC SC2:23.40
- AC Mestre – Campodarsego1:13.20
- Igea Virtus – Nissa1:12.85
Earlier days
Every day stays at its own address as an archive.
- 8 NovSunday
- 7 NovSaturday
- 6 NovFriday
- 5 NovThursday
- 4 NovWednesday
- 3 NovTuesday
- 2 NovMonday
- 1 NovSunday
- 31 OctSaturday
- 30 OctFriday
- 29 OctThursday
- 28 OctWednesday
- 27 OctTuesday
- 26 OctMonday
- 25 OctSunday
- 24 OctSaturday
- 23 OctFriday
- 22 OctThursday
- 21 OctWednesday
- 20 OctTuesday
- 19 OctMonday
- 18 OctSunday
- 17 OctSaturday
- 16 OctFriday
- 15 OctThursday
- 14 OctWednesday
- 13 OctTuesday
- 12 OctMonday
- 11 OctSunday
- 10 OctSaturday
How we pick the winning tips
Every day the model rates a large number of matches. In the 1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS, HT-FT and ELO sections the pick for a match is the tip with the highest rating, while in Goals each of the seven tips is judged on its own. When the match ends, the tip is checked against the real score. Here are the winners, sorted by odds from the highest, at most five per section.
Odds and the model's estimate
The odds show the return per unit staked, and the model's estimate is the chance the model gave before kickoff. A win at high odds is rare and does not mean the next similar tip will win. That is why the overall accuracy is worth a look next to the wins.
FAQ
Are these all the tips from that day?
No. Only the winners are here, up to five with the highest odds in each section. We publish the model's overall accuracy on the AI model performance page.
When does a new day appear?
The next morning, once the results are in. While a match is still waiting for its result, the list updates by itself.
Where are today's picks?
In the StatsAI app, in the Stats section, before kickoff.