Winning tips 5 October 2026

The result at half-time and at full-time, e.g. X-2: level at the break, then an away win. Hits are rare, so the odds are high.

1. 5.001
   Racing Club (URU) – Peñarol
   00:30 · Uruguay · Uruguayan Primera División
   X-2model 20%
   Level at half-time, away winHT 0:0FT 0:1
2. 4.752
   Deportivo Recoleta – Libertad
   15:00 · Paraguay · Paraguayan Primera División
   X-2model 23%
   Level at half-time, away winHT 1:1FT 1:2
3. 4.003
   Deportivo Guastatoya – Aurora
   01:00 · Guatemala
   X-1model 39%
   Level at half-time, home winHT 1:1FT 2:1

4. 4
   Romania – Sweden

   2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · 20:45 · UEFA Nations League
   HT 0:1FT 0:12.75
5. 5
   Moss FK – Kongsvinger

   2-2 · Away ahead at half-time, away win · 19:00 · Norway (2nd division)
   HT 0:1FT 0:22.54

The pick is the outcome (1, X or 2) the model rates most likely.

1. 4.75#1
   Real Apodaca – Vaqueros Reynosa
   00:00 · Mexico (3rd division)
   2model 38%
   Away winHT 0:1FT 1:2
2. 4.40#2
   Mouna – Yamoussoukro
   17:30
   2model 38%
   Away winHT 0:1FT 0:2
3. 4.20#3
   Trinidad & Tobago – Curaçao
   00:00 · CONCACAF Nations League
   Xmodel 44%
   DrawHT 1:0FT 1:1
4. 3.35#4
   Sanlıurfaspor – Belediye Derincespor
   18:00 · Turkey (3rd division)
   Xmodel 35%
   DrawHT 0:1FT 1:1
5. 2.85#5
   Niroye Zamini – Mes Kerman
   13:30 · Iran (2nd division)
   Xmodel 54%
   DrawHT 0:0FT 0:0

Over or under 2.5 goals, whichever the model rates higher.

1. 2.45#1
   Argentinos Juniors – CA Tigre
   00:15 · Argentina · Liga Profesional
   O 2.5model 52%
   Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:0FT 2:1
2. 2.20#2
   Guadeloupe – Saint Lucia
   21:00 · CONCACAF Nations League
   U 2.5model 54%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 0:1
3. 2.15#3
   Sanlıurfaspor – Belediye Derincespor
   18:00 · Turkey (3rd division)
   U 2.5model 72%
   Under 2.5 goalsHT 0:1FT 1:1
4. 1.99#4
   Sportivo Trinidense – Sportivo Luqueno
   22:00 · Paraguay · Paraguayan Primera División
   O 2.5model 57%
   Over 2.5 goalsHT 2:1FT 3:2
5. 1.97#5
   Comunicaciones – Suchitepéquez
   03:00 · Guatemala
   O 2.5model 60%
   Over 2.5 goalsHT 1:0FT 3:0

Whether both teams score (GG) or at least one does not (NG).

1. 2.29#1
   Guadeloupe – Saint Lucia
   21:00 · CONCACAF Nations League
   NGmodel 57%
   At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:1
2. 2.24#2
   Be'sat Kermanshah – Naft Bandar Abbas
   14:30 · Iran (2nd division)
   GGmodel 51%
   Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 2:1
3. 2.20#3
   Argentinos Juniors – CA Tigre
   00:15 · Argentina · Liga Profesional
   GGmodel 53%
   Both teams scoreHT 2:0FT 2:1
4. 2.18#4
   Romania – Sweden
   20:45 · UEFA Nations League
   NGmodel 60%
   At least one team fails to scoreHT 0:1FT 0:1
5. 2.14#5
   UAI Urquiza – Ituzaingó
   20:00 · Argentina
   GGmodel 51%
   Both teams scoreHT 0:0FT 3:2

The outcome by the teams' ELO rating, built from past results.

1. 1.94#1
   Córdoba – Tenerife
   20:30 · Spain · Segunda División
   1model 37%
   Home winHT 2:1FT 3:2
2. 1.90#2
   Atlético Bucaramanga – Junior Barranquilla
   01:10 · Colombia · Categoría Primera A
   1model 36%
   Home winHT 3:1FT 3:1
3. 1.83#3
   Argentinos Juniors – CA Tigre
   00:15 · Argentina · Liga Profesional
   1model 50%
   Home winHT 2:0FT 2:1

Seven tips on goals by half and result-plus-BTTS combos. Each tip is judged on its own, only for matches where the model gives it enough chance.